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Global warming could surpass 1.5 degree target from Paris talks by 2026
UPI.com ^ | May 9, 2017 | By Brooks Hays

Posted on 05/09/2017 12:49:38 PM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer

Global temperatures could rise more than 1.5 degrees Celsius by 2026 if the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation shifts into a positive phase.

The Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation, or IPO, is an ocean-atmosphere climate phenomenon that drives weather patterns and global temperatures. It's similar to the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, but covers a large portion of the Pacific.

According to a new study by climate scientists at the University of Melbourne, a positive phase IPO would dramatically accelerate global warming.

The IPO has remained in a negative phase since 1999, but significant oceanic and atmospheric warming over the last three years suggests the phenomenon could be on the verge of a shift.

"Even if the IPO remains in a negative phase, our research shows we will still likely see global temperatures break through the 1.5 degrees Celsius guardrail by 2031," researcher Ben Henley said in a news release.

The results of the new study, published in the journal Geophysical Research Letters, suggests a slowdown in global warming over the last two decades could be explained by the IPO's current negative phase.

"Although the Earth has continued to warm during the temporary slowdown since around 2000, the reduced rate of warming in that period may have lulled us into a false sense of security," Henley said. "The positive phase of the IPO will likely correct this slowdown. If so, we can expect an acceleration in global warming in the coming decades."

(Excerpt) Read more at upi.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: climategate; fakescience; globalwarming; hoax; socialism; veryfakenews
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

>>Global temperatures could rise more than 1.5 degrees Celsius by 2026 if the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation shifts into a positive phase.<<

Or they could go DOWN by that much or more. Or they could STAY THE SAME.

AGW is NOT SCIENCE based on the definition of science, scientific theories and the scientific method.

It has ZERO utility as there are no scientific data which can ONLY be explained by it.

This is a really important point that people need to take with them.

We (many on this board) hand the left a strong argument that AGW and Evolution are both equivalent and equally science. This is false. TToE has billions of data points and 200 years of study all which have created a Scientific Theory that cannot be explained by any other competing theory.

OTOH, Weather (for example) competes with AGW as an alternative to explain observed changes.

PLEASE — even if you don’t understand TToE (and I am not going to re-fight the CREVO wars here) STOP handing this argumentative tool to the Left. They have been successfully bashing us on the head with it for YEARS.


21 posted on 05/09/2017 1:18:54 PM PDT by freedumb2003 (The Civil Rights movement compared content of their character to skin color and chose the latter)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Most of these chicken little predictions are 10 to 15 years out and there’s never an apology or an acknowledgement when it doesn’t come to pass.

The global warming alarmists have zero credibility, just like the coming ice age alarmists in the 70s. And some of them are the same people. I guess there’s money to be made in junk science fear tactics.


22 posted on 05/09/2017 1:23:45 PM PDT by Two Kids' Dad (((( ))))
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Could!
Possibly!
Maybe!
Might!
Potentially!

Something potentially terrible could maybe happen one day...


23 posted on 05/09/2017 1:28:08 PM PDT by Army Air Corps (Four Fried Chickens and a Coke)
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To: dp0622

Have some Pepto or a glass of cold milk.


24 posted on 05/09/2017 1:28:58 PM PDT by Army Air Corps (Four Fried Chickens and a Coke)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Maybe the earth is warming up, maybe not, but there is no way in h*ll that you will convince me that we are the cause of it, or that we can influence it.


25 posted on 05/09/2017 1:30:58 PM PDT by nikos1121 (Rudy Guiuliani for Head of FBI)
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To: All

What we are seeing is a full push to keep us in the stupid Paris thing. I am so ticked Trump put this in Ivanka’s hands. Another delay while she meets with that Rat traitor Murkowski. He’s going to break his promise he’s just figuring the best way tell us.


26 posted on 05/09/2017 1:35:25 PM PDT by gibsonguy
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Or... it could not.


27 posted on 05/09/2017 1:44:36 PM PDT by Mr. K (***THERE IS NO CONSEQUENCE OF REPEALING OBAMACARE THAT IS WORSE THAN OBAMACARE ITSELF***)
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To: Freee-dame

My mother could sprout wheels and call herself a Mazda Miata.


28 posted on 05/09/2017 1:45:48 PM PDT by EQAndyBuzz (Nuke Bilderberg from orbit. It's the only way to be sure.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer
Significant oceanic and atmospheric warming over the last three years suggests the phenomenon could be on the verge of a shift.

Utter bull$hit. "could be"???

The Sun has more say in this and his blank face says "Bundle up, Pilgrim".

29 posted on 05/09/2017 1:49:02 PM PDT by katana (It still hasn't occurred to them that Trump doesn't give a s***)
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To: All

“It’s tough to make predictions, especially about the future.”

—Yogi Berra, Climate Scientist


30 posted on 05/09/2017 1:53:10 PM PDT by FirstFlaBn
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Then, too...maybe it won’t. What a bunch of scientifically-illiterate savages. These anti-science morons mainly want to line their pockets with taxpayer grant money. They should be beaten with their always-worthless dissertations.


31 posted on 05/09/2017 2:07:26 PM PDT by hal ogen (First Amendment or Reeducation camp?)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

....or not.


32 posted on 05/09/2017 2:18:26 PM PDT by beethovenfan (I always try to maximize my carbon footprint.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer
"...temperatures could...."


33 posted on 05/09/2017 2:22:30 PM PDT by moehoward
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Still less than the Medieval Warm period and much less than the Roman Warm Period.


34 posted on 05/09/2017 2:38:59 PM PDT by Seruzawa (I kill you filthy This is Steve from Salt Lake Scientology inviting you to the 67th Dianetics Vorga.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Could = Never


35 posted on 05/09/2017 2:39:04 PM PDT by butlerweave
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Communists trying to push their agenda through made up garbage. It changes from decade to decade but the goals are the still the same.


36 posted on 05/09/2017 2:40:22 PM PDT by Trillian
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

If the sun explodes, the warming limit could exceed one million degrees. Oh well.


37 posted on 05/09/2017 2:41:30 PM PDT by Cementjungle
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

It’s already averaging 150 degrees F here in the American Midwest. /s


38 posted on 05/09/2017 2:42:48 PM PDT by <1/1,000,000th%
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

It’s May 9, 2017, and for Ashvillle, North Carolina the climate scientists are predicting rain for Asheville on May 9, 2026.

There, I just said something as scientifically accurate as predicting average global “warming” by a certain degree Celsius by 2016.


39 posted on 05/09/2017 2:47:08 PM PDT by Wuli
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To: Oldeconomybuyer
The planet might get warm. Again.


40 posted on 05/09/2017 2:49:54 PM PDT by TigersEye (Make up my mind, NBC,CBS,CNN,ABC. What are the "facts" today?)
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