Posted on 11/13/2016 11:44:29 AM PST by LS
Boy was I wrong. All along I had Trump at between 62 and 64 million votes. Our overly optimistic friend "Sundance" at www.conservativetreehouse.com was completely off the charts unrealistic, with a projection of 73 million.
Yes, Trump won the electoral college---as I predicted---big. As of today I think he is at 304. Another 720,000 votes in seven states would have given him an additional 43 electoral votes.
But unfortunately I was right in another prediction: the margin would be large, but each state would be decided by a small fraction of voters. Pennsylvania, Michigan, North Carolina, and Florida all hinged on fewer than 180,000 votes. To appreciate how close that is, Obama won reelection in 2008 by under 480,000 votes, and I thought that was very close. I did correctly predict that the dominoes would all fall in the same direction, and, more or less, they did. We lost VA and NH in the east, and NV and CO by larger margins in the west, but the battleground tier of OH, WI, MI, PA, IA, NC, and FL all fell to Trump.
So it's time to put good feelings aside for just a moment---we'll have plenty more in the coming months---and appreciate just how close . . . how MIRACULOUS . . . this election was.
You begin with Hillary Clinton, the equivalent of a new coach being given a Super Bowl team with All Stars at every position and a free agent budget the size of Jupiter (less the emigrating Cher). Cankles had 90% name recognition, a sitting president more or less behind her, a docile party obedient to her whims, and a fawning media such that Saddam Hussein or Napoleon would have been fortunate to have.
And with all that she got six million fewer votes than Zero in his second election (where he got millions fewer than in 2008). It's darn near unfathomable, looking at it objectively, to figure out how she lost, given the numbers.
She'll likely end up winning the popular vote by 500,000 to 1 million, held the expected liberal vote treasures of New York, Illinois, and California, held Obama's western states without exception, eked out a narrow win in New Hampshire, and got Virginia as expected.
Yet she was crushed in the electoral college by a guy who spent HALF as much as she did. How?
*She didn't make any inroads at all with females---supposedly Cankles' calling card. White women went for Trump. There was no big "gender gap," except with men, who couldn't stand her.
*She lost millions of black and hispanic votes. Pew's research is unreliable---these guys did polls, remember? ---but they say Trump only got 8% of blacks. (I find that very unlikely, especially when every other poll was showing him at nearly double that.) But if blacks didn't vote for Trump, they sure didn't vote for Cankles. In FL and NC, when all is said and done she probably lost several hundred thousand African-American votes.
*"Da Yuts" were repelled by her. They stayed home.
*She lost the northern tier of rust belt states because she just didn't care. Cankles made NO visits to Wisconsin, only a couple of desperation trips to Michigan and Pennsylvania in the end. That message got out.
*Trump was indeed hurt by the tape, and vote counters in Ohio found that erstwhile R absentees dated right after the tape release suddenly had a very high percentage of Johnson votes. I'm guessing the tape cost Trump NH, possibly MN.
Still, the tape cannot account for the lack of turnout for Trump. NeverTrumpers? Some. For whatever reason, though, Trump did not turn out the large number of new voters that was expected by his supporters such as myself. (The limited data we have says that 90% of Republicans voted for him).
That leaves us with one explanation: Trump's election was a miracle. Some 60,000-70,000 voters in MI and PA saved the country. WI was a nice addition, but without one more state, WI's 10 electoral votes wouldn't have put Trump over. No, this was divine intervention.
And, in a way, it is perfectly in keeping with the Bible, for it was Gideon who prepared to go to war with 30,000 men . . . "the old fashioned way." God told him many were not committed, and to winnow them out. When only 3,000 remained, Gideon was told to cut the number further. Finally only 300 fully committed men remained. The message was that God wanted Gideon to know that it was His power, not numbers or the skill of the troops, that would bring victory.
So in the end, our "monster vote" never materialized. God cut the number down to under 180,000 in five states so that no one could doubt Who really won this one.
Awesome.
Green and Libertarian parties also way under performed.
Skankles very high unfavorables (also Trump’s) high unfavorables, and the conclusion is about 10 million voters stayed home this year.
And, to an extent, he ran about a 40 state campaign, conceding CA, OR, WA, obviously HA and AK, and not needing to go to ND, SD, MT, WY or the Gulf States.
Agree. Mrs. Schafly was a great woman and the conscience of this nation.
Agree. Mrs. Schafly was a great woman and the conscience of this nation.
This was all I could find. It seems the msm is silent on the matter, or talking “projections”.
https://70news.wordpress.com/2016/11...-petition-now/
There was likely massive vote fraud in this election. My guess is that they simply couldn’t overcome Hillary’s unpopularity and not get caught. Of course, who is really paying attention to vote fraud? Where are the resources to fight it? Our destiny as a country seems to almost depend on blind luck.
In VA, Fairfax county ALWAYS reports last. I personally think its the margin of fraud at work, but also very left just to start with. So that’s what you’re seeing when you look at VA polling results.
Thanks - I eventually got that one - posted elsewhere, and people are wondering how accurate, do you have any idea? I did a few searches and nothing concrete came up, just about everything is old. Seems pretty clear the msm doesn’t want to update the popular vote numbers.
Jesus Christ: You can't impeach Him and He ain't gonna resign.
YAY MICHIGAN!!!
And keep an eye on a growing threat. Kieth Ellison, dem muslim in Minnesota making the news and being hailed.
Yay, Arizona!
Love your posts, but this was NOT in the same league as the W election.
You are shorting the huge changes in the midwest, and minimizing the difference between 180,000 votes and 937, plus the difference in electoral votes of 306 to just over 270.
PA, MI, WI, Minnesota in play, those haven't been in play or even close since Reagan. Those states went over the top because of a huge turn in public opinion.
I am not discounting God's hand, it was clear, just think you may be underselling what happened.
Thanks for the posting!
The Media was able to suppress the Trump vote and prevent a landslide. That was their goal all along. It almost worked well enough to get Hillary elected.
But, as you say, ultimately, it was a miracle... I firmly believe that.
Thank you.
I may have run by that site earlier today. I did hit one of their sites.
At any rate, this link is off line now. Thank you for providing it.
Thank you! And didn’t you used to have a link to music? I was away from FR for more than a year and been not so active as I used to be.
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