Posted on 11/11/2016 5:26:45 PM PST by Hojczyk
Like many people around the world, I expected a comfortable Hillary Clinton victory on Tuesday. But I’m not a random pundit when it comes to understanding presidential races and the electorate — I managed one Obama presidential campaign and oversaw another from the White House. So of all the forecasts that got it wrong, my prediction that Mrs. Clinton was a 100 percent favorite was a glaring miss.
My confidence was not partisan spin. It was based on public data, voting history and some sense of the Clinton campaign’s own models. I played with various state scenarios, and even in the most generous outcomes, could not get Donald J. Trump to 270 electoral votes.
But he ended up winning 306 electoral votes and, most important, did it by breaking into the Upper Midwest, leaving the blue Big Ten firewall in ruins.
What happened? We will know much more when all the data is in and we can see exactly who voted. But based on what we know, it was a combination of several factors that led to this stunning upset.
STRONG AND WEAK CURRENTS BEAT DATA AND ANALYTICS The models for both support (vote share) and turnout were off significantly. It appears that there really were hidden Trump voters, meaning his ceiling of support was higher than most of us believed possible based on polling and modeling survey responses. And millions of potential Clinton voters who the models suggested would vote stayed home.
(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...
The MSM seems to have a blackout on mentioning the effect of the emails released by wikileaks. They seem to agree that Hillary’s historic levels of corruption laid bare in Wikileaks had NOTHING to do with this “surprise.” I’m guessing all their projections ignored teh possibility that TRUTH might escape into the public eye and spoil all their proejctions. Now, of course, Republican “HATRED” is blamed because they will never admit Hillary’s and her DNC were taking over the electoral process so effectively (i.e., Bernie) that this was our last chance at a fair election. Literally the last chance.
I think it’s simpler than all that stuff we hear. The MSM was the willing propaganda wing of Hillary Clinton. Many of them knowingly lied about internals, externals, slice and dice data. They tried to, per Podesta emails, win by telling the electorate it was already over weeks ago. The whole thing was political propaganda common to the Soviet Union days. They failed to win and now are exposed AGAIN as faithless, traitors who willingly manipulate public opinion if promised access and prestige (power sharing in return). They are sellouts extraordinaire and all this pontificating about “How did we get it wrong?” is really “Lie to them so they won’t hold us accountable as traitors/propagandists.”
And millions of potential Clinton voters who the models suggested would vote stayed home.
Dude don’t read FR, I can tell you that. If he popped in here ONCE in the last 6 months he’d have been schooled.
If you want to have some fun, feel free to read his twitter for the past several months. Very condescending! https://mobile.twitter.com/davidplouffe
Might have something to do with running the worst candidate ever
Powerful people, or people who consider themselves powerful, tend to make assumptions about how American politics works centered upon themselves. She had the money, she had the machine, she had the connections. Trump was making speeches to arenas full of middle-class Deplorables who would never make it past the doorman in the Hamptons. Problem is, they voted.
Hence the hubris that leads people with swollen heads to err in fundamental ways, not only Hillary but her staff as well. That they are not as important as they think is, I suspect, a very hard lesson. Most of us normal people learn it in early adolescence. Hothouse flowers might live and die never learning it at all, but when they do, it tends to be a pretty rough lesson.
Rule One: NO PLOUFFETERS!
Which was all based on partisan spin.
It's stunning that the Dems blame the FBI for Hillary's legal issues, rather than laying blame at the feet of her own criminal choices. There is a very deep pathology at work here. Thanks God the people saw through it. We need to shake off that old flea-ridden blanket smothering our country and burn it in a joyous fire.
If you want to have some fun, feel free to read his twitter for the past several months. Very condescending! https://mobile.twitter.com/davidplouffe
A possible explanation is that he was lying before, and he’s lying now. It was hard to find a single MSM poll whose demographics weren’t comically skewed to support her. There were none that I found that even attempted to justify their demographics model.
Serial wrong
Hell man..... you write for the Old Gray Whore. You are a lowly presstitute. there is no way you will ever be right
Who wants to vote for a corrupt hag?
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