Posted on 11/07/2016 11:28:51 AM PST by 11th_VA
ST. LOUIS, MO (KMOV.com) - If the poll that correctly predicted the outcome of the last three elections is correct this year, a victory for Donald Trump is imminent.
The Investors Business Daily and TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence poll has been the most accurate poll in recent presidential elections, correctly predicting the 2004, 2008 and 2012 election.
In the last IDP/TIPP Presidential Election Tracking Poll before the 2016 election, Donald Trump holds a 2 point lead over Hillary Clinton.
I’ve been saying for over a year that turnout will determine this election.
Most Trump voters are DETERMINED to vote for Trump. A large part of Hillary’s base are merely LEANS for her or PREFER her. A lot of these folks are not motivated to show up at all. And people rarely vote simply to vote AGAINST someone. But when they do in this election, I think more people will vote against Hillary than Trump.
Tomorrow will simply show whether voter fraud can beat a huge enthusiasm gap. I am expecting it is a chasm too big for the fraudsters to cross.
One more day. Go Trump!
Thanks boss for pulling the Glenn Beck thread - it's moves like that that make me proud to be a Freeper.
OK
So, do I liquidate my IRA until Wednesday?
Glad to her that because Fox News has the beest up by 6.
Look, I’ll take any good news I can get, but with 5 percent saying “not sure”, I don’t think there is much comfort in this poll. With only a 2 point lead, how they break is everything. Some polls have undecideds breaking for Trump, but I’ve seen others where the majority goes to Hildabeast. This is way too close for such a disgusting Dem candidate. Our Country is already screwed up based on that.
The 6% claiming that they support Gary Johnson (which I personally don’t buy) .......Very astute of you. The last five polls I’ve answered, I said I was voting for Johnson. In reality, I said “Who?”.
This poll has 5% undecided. Give Trump 2 and Hillary 1 and 2 stay home. That gives Trump a +3 .
LaTimes shows Trump up 4.8%. One of the most accurate in 2012.
If you take the average of these you get +3.4% win for Trump.
That will be my guess Trump wins by 3.4% which will easily be enough for an electoral win as well.
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Also what makes us think the election hasn’t already been decided no matter how many ballots are cast?
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Just the morons think that.
If you believe that, then are you planning on staying home?
No?
Well ok then.
I believe this is America’s last chance to get it right.
If it does tomorrow, the nation lives on to work out it’s troubles with a good man at the helm.
If it doesn’t, tomorrow is essentially the end of the nation our Forefathers provided for us.
Trump has laid it all on the table. People can select criminal leadership that does not respect the Constitution or the rule of law at all, or they can select a man with a proven record that respects the U. S. Constitution and the laws of our nation.
If, having presented the Conservative model for review, the people of this nation turn it down in favor of criminality, never again will someone get the opportunity to present it. It will be deemed to have been tried, and rejected. Nobody will adopt that policy in a run for the presidency again.
The prospect of the absolute nightmare of Clinton being given the leadership over this nation is so calamitous, that it is overpowering in and of itself. Regardless of her viability, even the prospect of someone that evil being give the nomination and then the chance to fight to rule us, forces any other thoughts out of our minds.
Do I think Trump will prevail? In Trump’s campaign for the presidency, I think he has matured, realized what is truly on the line, and I think he is God’s man in this campaign.
Essentially we have God’s plan for us, and we have Satan’s plan for us. It’s really about that simple.
A nation that truly wants a future for it’s children and future generations will choose Trump. A nation that wants to be PC and elect the nation’s first woman president whether she is a criminal or not, will chose Clinton.
I don’t know how this will end. I do know how Christian history ends, and if Clinton is chosen, it will end sooner than later.
So I hope for the best, see signs of hope and signs that are troubling.
I await the will of the governed.
They hold our fate in their hands.
I’m ALL CASH ...
these early voting polls are not telling us anything. Huge numbers of voters have gone independent.( at least 20% ) The republicrat party has lost MILLIONS to independent— LIKE ME!! It is my absolute strong belief that independents have broken heavily to Trump. by at least 20% margin. That shifts 4 to 6 % added to where Trump stands. Florida and North Carolina are looking very good for this reason. Pennsylvania does not have early voting . I expect disappointment due to massive voter fraud , as usual, in Philadelphia. BUT — if we over whelm that fraud in the rest of Pennsylvania , this thing could be over.
FOX Snooze had to make a fake poll so they could ignore the most accurate poll in the last 20 years. Maintain the Hillary win by the NeverTrumpers.
Pray America wakes
Won’t be this close folks.... Trump will win, but margin is going to be far far higher than 2 points.
Two points is bigger than it looks when you factor in the size of the electorate in some of the blue states that are locked in. California, IL and NY are huge and Hillary's lead in both is probably bigger than Trump's lead in many solid red states. I feel comfortable with where we are now but can't wait for tomorrow to be over.
“It will be.”
Thanks. I’m trying to stay as optimistic as possible here, but this really is nerve wracking.
Second it.
“Trump will win, but margin is going to be far far higher than 2 points.”
That’s a comfort, coming from one of the more wizened posters on the board.
Thank you.
Well I don’t think you need to be that wise to realize a poll that only gets to 83% of those reponding to the major candidates, doesn’t add up... Third party candidates are not going to get anywhere near 17%... most likely will not get 10%.. most realistically 5-6% or less... so if that’s true, that’s 11 or 12% that are going to go for the major party candidates that this poll isn’t showing.... so, where do you think they will go?
I wouldn’t hold my breath if I was a Hillary supporter expecting she’s going to win them.....
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