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GOP Ahead In Florida Early Vote by 17,000
Tampa Bay Times ^ | 11-02-2016 | Adam C. Smith

Posted on 11/03/2016 5:35:46 AM PDT by CWW

GOP early vote is 17,000 ahead of Dems.

This time on 2012, Dems were 39,000 ahead.


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; 2016swingstates; election; elections; fl2016; florida; hillary; polls; trump
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To: CWW

A swing of 56,000 towards Republican voters? I’ll take it! :-D


21 posted on 11/03/2016 6:02:51 AM PDT by simpson96
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To: pb929

You hit the nail on the head there. Florida’s Election Day votes trend Republican. If Trump is holding Crooked Hillary to a draw there with the Early Vote (and keeping it somehow), he beats her in Florida.

I also think this “Hillary leads in NC” meme is a little tired and overstated. If Florida goes, so does NC. As far as I am concerned, Trump is one state away from victory right now and CO and NH and PA are all looking good.


22 posted on 11/03/2016 6:04:45 AM PDT by NYRepublican72 (Radical Islamic terrorist Omar Mateen is "Ready for Hillary!" Are you too?)
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To: CWW

There was a story on fox business about Broward Co where there was a complaint about thousands of absentee ballots being opened and counted before certified by the proper authorities. They are goingto try to steal it of course


23 posted on 11/03/2016 6:14:14 AM PDT by McCarthysGhost
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To: McCarthysGhost

Please notify the Trump campaign. We need lawyers, stat.


24 posted on 11/03/2016 6:15:24 AM PDT by gathersnomoss
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To: CWW

That’s an early vote swing of 56,000 votes. The total win by Barack Hussein in 2012 was only 74,000. It’s almost like Hillary is not exciting her voters. Almost. If it weren’t for fictional, illegal, and dead voters, she’d have almost no votes at all.


25 posted on 11/03/2016 6:24:52 AM PDT by Pollster1 (Somebody who agrees with me 80% of the time is a friend and ally, not a 20% traitor. - Ronald Reagan)
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To: gathersnomoss

According to the story, somebody was aware and contemplating a lawsuit. I think it was the RNC.


26 posted on 11/03/2016 6:27:17 AM PDT by McCarthysGhost
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To: Pollster1

The actual Dem lead after all combined forms of early voting in 2012 was 168,000. That is the number we will be way ahead of this year.


27 posted on 11/03/2016 6:28:20 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: Robert DeLong
It should absolutely be illegal to announce who is up from early votes before all voting has been completed.

No votes have been counted yet. These are only the numbers of registered voters, and the party they are registered with (if at all) who have voted, not who they voted for.

28 posted on 11/03/2016 6:45:47 AM PDT by Drew68
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To: donozark

It’s NOT the early voters that are important, its WHO they vote for that counts. Why do we never hear anything about the military votes until AFTER the election? Are those votes going to arrive on time or be held back so they don’t count?


29 posted on 11/03/2016 6:46:26 AM PDT by DaveA37
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To: donozark

same as in the south east FL counties, where they just stayed open when they were supposed to be closed, and they even handed out ballots to people in line outside without checking ID.

It is this country which needs poll observers, just like the Mickey Mouse countries.

The Democrats have made this country a laughing stock, and with the help of the ignorant, dopey college kids.


30 posted on 11/03/2016 7:00:00 AM PDT by manc ( If they want so called marriage equality then they should support polygamy too.)
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To: donozark

Rs will win early + absentees by 5-10,000 for a flip of 165,000 to 170,000 from 12.


31 posted on 11/03/2016 7:13:21 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: LS

Florida moved to Trump’s corner even in the MSM. Let’s close the deal and get Michigan, Wis, Pa and Va. 300evs.


32 posted on 11/03/2016 7:33:19 AM PDT by pburgh01 (Negan all the MSM)
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To: CWW
Tampa Bay Times, formerly the St. Petersburg Times, is a despicable liberal rag.

If they printed this then there is definitely a suicide watch in their building with editors taking lunch on the rooftop.

33 posted on 11/03/2016 7:46:05 AM PDT by N. Theknow (Kennedys-Can't drive, can't ski, can't fly, can't skipper a boat-But they know what's best for you.)
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To: Ravi
The actual Dem lead after all combined forms of early voting in 2012 was 168,000.

So they need to be ahead by 94,000 on early voting if Election Day turnout is the same for both sides as in 2012 (unlikely they will do as well on Election Day). In other words, they are in deep manure.

34 posted on 11/03/2016 9:31:39 AM PDT by Pollster1 (Somebody who agrees with me 80% of the time is a friend and ally, not a 20% traitor. - Ronald Reagan)
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To: Pollster1

Yes ahead in the sense that there were 168,000 more DEM and GOP voters in 2012. If all those 168,000 Dems voted Obama in 2012 and the unaffiliateds split 50:50, that would put them up 168,000 just from early voting in 2012. Romney ended up losing by 74,000. So we generally do better on election day.

The key is to keep it close before election day. This year thus far, we are actually slightly ahead with more GOP voters than DEM voters voting early. We have an advantage of 12,000 this morning with about 3.5 days left of early voting. If we are slightly ahead or tied or slighty behind going into election day, then I feel very confident about FL.

Also I’m estimating turnout of 75% in FL (about 9.5 to 9.6 million). Right now as of this morning, there are 4.87 million votes already cast. Essentially we are already above 50% turnout. For us to be even in terms of voters with 50% of the turnout already in, I think that’s pretty much unheard of.

And add to that there are plenty of moderate/conservative Dems left especially in North Florida that crossover.

My only main CAVEAT is I don’t believe we are cannibalizing our election day voters.


35 posted on 11/03/2016 9:46:25 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: Ravi

Cannibalizing Election Day is the threat.


36 posted on 11/03/2016 9:56:24 AM PDT by Owen
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To: Robert DeLong
It should absolutely be illegal to announce who is up from early votes before all voting has been completed.

It is. These are just counts of ballots received, broken down by party affiliation.

The Revolution is ON!

Vote Trump!

37 posted on 11/03/2016 9:58:06 AM PDT by sargon (The Revolution is ON! Vote Trump!)
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To: sargon

Here here. Every time someone pipes in not understanding what these numbers are.


38 posted on 11/03/2016 10:02:34 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: Robert DeLong
It should absolutely be illegal to announce who is up from early votes before all voting has been completed.

More that ANY other election integrity measure, restricting any partial counts from being reported until ALL ballot counts are in would be the most powerful bulwark against fraudulent votes manufactured by the party establishments.

Waukesha County, Wisconsin was a very good example in 2011.

39 posted on 11/03/2016 12:19:08 PM PDT by fwdude (Stronger, To Get Her)
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