Posted on 10/22/2016 3:33:03 AM PDT by rb22982
Donald Trump expanded his lead over Hillary Clinton in a four-way race to two points, 42%-40%, in day 4 of the IBD/TIPP presidential tracking poll, with Trump moving past his Democratic rival in a head-to-head match-up for the first time.....
Meanwhile, in a 2-way race, Trump leads Clinton by a half-point -- 42.2% to 41.7%. Previously, Clinton had led by two or three points in a 2-way race vs. Trump.
(Excerpt) Read more at investors.com ...
Amen.
It’s new this year but was the #1 rate poll firm the last 3 presidential cycles - The first 3 days all had trump up 1 in the 4 way and down ~2% in the 2 way.
I pray you are right.
I heard Rush say that too he said wait til the last week as polling companies want to be able to brag they picked the winner. Made sense.
“I hope Trump wins by a margin to cover the DNC/CPUSA voter fraud”
Yeah, the main stream talking heads keep repeating that the voter base is much to large for the outcome to be affected by a few hi-jinks here and there. These people are practicing decepton of the first order. The election will probably be close. So, all it may take is to diddle the voter count in some state where the count will be close. Say, maybe Florida, Ohio, maybe Colorado? That’s all. It will take a few extra hundred votes, the equivalent of a few graveyards and it’s done....
Trump probably has better than 85%.
I simply do not believe Hillary can even get double digits.
Actually, the most accurate over the last 3 elections.
The Hillary Signature Collection from the Franklin Mint
Both Johnson and Stein ran in 2012. In 2012, Johnson received 0.99% of the vote, and Stein received 0.36%. The highest percentage that the Libertarians have ever won is 1.06% in 1980. My guess is that even if he breaks the 1980 record, Johnson won't get anywhere near 7.3%, The Green Party's best showing was 2.74% in 2000 with Ralph Nader. IMO, Stein is no Ralph Nader and she won't get near 3.6%. My guess is that the majority of the Johnson and Stein votes will not go to Clinton.
In a Gallup poll of October 26th in 1980, they had Jimmy Carter 47, Ronald Reagan 39.
Trump is working hard and fighting for every single vote.
Clinton is at home resting. AWOL from the campaign trail.
The big media learned their lesson on Carter/Reagan drama. They will attack Trump ten times harder when they sense Trump exceeds or pull even with Hillary. Their goal is to leave no chance of a Trump win. This is life and death struggle, they know it.
Where is he generally? According to the news, he’s way behind and it’s all over. Then I come to FR and he’s ahead it some. So confusing!
Fox News yesterday,all day, said Trump is finished. Whoraldo Rivera said it would the “biggest upset in American presidential history, bigger than Truman over Dewey”. Program over program they all weighed in. Hillary Clinton is the next president. Then Lou Dobbs and set em all straight. This election is not over by a long-shot!!
The collective corrupt MSM and the infested agencies like the FBI, DoJ, et al are all they have left helping Clinton.
She certainly isn’t drawing any crowds (for the precious few appearances she does make).
Basically, these last days are down to a psyops campaign trying to demoralize Trump voters. I go vote early tomorrow morning.
Personally? I can see 1980 from here.
The 4 tracking polls have him tied or ahead slightly (LA Times, IBD/TIPP, Rasmussen, PPD). All of the one off polls - mostly major media polls - show Clinton ahead 4-12%. The 3 polls that show Trump with a huge deficit appeared to massively oversample Democrats - the 2008 and 2012 elections were roughly +5D vs R as a % of those voting - the ones with Trump losing by 10-12% are more than double that - extremely unlikely. My best guess is the race is somewhere between Trump +3 and Clinton +4; ie a dead head.
In 2012 though, Romney and Obama didn’t have anywhere near the negatives of Clinton and Trump. I don’t think Johnson and Stein end up with 11%, but I think 7-9% combined is likely. It’s possible in states like CA or NY, some Dems may vote one of those 2 as a protest vote since its “safe” - especially bernbots - won’t change the Electoral college but will the pop vote.
LMAO...I just love this forum.
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