Posted on 10/21/2016 8:34:08 AM PDT by coton_lover
Anonymous New Video on their own poll https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zaOoFH8HHrk
I didn’t realize it was April 1st.
Too good to be true
This is the same poll that’s been out for months. It has severe problems with methodology in that it does not weight by state population so that California with 38 or 40 million people is given the same number of respondents as North Dakota with 757,000. Lack of weighting by population of the states skews the total
For over a year now I have been telling y'all that it will be 65% Trump, 27% Skankles.
It seems I was a bit conservative...
Riiiiiight. Not doctoring the outcome results in "skewed" numbers, but doctoring them to fit your beliefs is somehow more probative?
What a damaged tool you are.
So when the vote comes on Nov 8, should the Fed tell Minnesota that their 500,000 votes for Trump are really only 300,000 because their State is smaller than California?
BLOW IT OUT YOUR CHEEZE GRATER!!!!!
I don’t know, however, this seems similar to the poll that Bill O’Reilly conducted. I did notice that Anonymous said they polled registered voters - not likely voters. We’ll see what happens.
Clearly, you do not understand how random, representative samples work.
You really should not be allowed to comment on threads that require a minimal understanding of the process.
How’s life with all the Commies and Fags in Vermont, Left-ennant?
Sounds a lot better than what the Clinton Campaign Staff (MSM) is holding for their candidate...wouldn’t you say?
With 20 people at any of her rallies, no matter if she’s there or not...compared to Trumps Rallies, you would have to have lost all common sense to figure out who is more popular and who is going to win...
And NO it’s not April 1 yet!!!
...perhaps ‘Anonymous’ is only polling Russian hackers... :-)
So they do it the same as the rest of the national polls.
Pray AMerica wakes
Trump will win this in the biggest landslide in modern American history.
A sample of any state of 1000 people is valid if it matches the populous by sex, income, education, race, political views, etc... If you want to adjust for population later, just apply the state electoral votes to the outcome for each state.
It would be interesting to see the poll results translated to electoral votes.
I’ve never seen your tiny penis, Left-ennant. Why would you think I had? Are you among the “Anthony Weiner School” of posting selfies of your “Li’l Left-ennant” online?
LMAO!!!
Bill O’Reilly had a poll last week
it’s still on his web site
37,000 votes
Trump 84%
HilLIARy 16%
I don’t recall that being plastered all over the news 24/7
I’ve been one of the most consistent Trump supporters on this site. I am neither a troll or a plant. I’ve been FR since 2012. I’ve also stated repeatedly that I believe you can ad 3 to 5 point to Trumps totals in any of the polls posted here. I think Trump will get about 52 to 53 percent of the vote.
I do understand a bit about statistical analysis and probability, evidently unlike you. Part of my job was assessing the condition of rare book collections in large academic libraries. I’ve actually done statistical analysis professionally! I know how to collecting samples, I understand the issues involved. A larger sample does not necessarily add accuracy if the sample is done right. There is never a need for a sample this large. By not weighting for the population of states they effectively did weight it to states with lower populations. In other words the poll is not truly random because there is a built in bias for states with smaller populations and in order have confidence in the result you must guarantee randomness. We complain about the +18 weighted Democrat polls here. This one would have a huge pro Trump weight though I haven’t done the math to know exactly how much; my guess would be something +15 at least.
This is a fun poll to look at but is a bad poll methodologically speaking.
You owe me an apology
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