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According to Sharyl Attkinsson this poll sampled 18.9% more dems than republicans. Last I hear dems and repubs were more like even. Does that mean than if this poll reflected reality that Trump would be u 9%?

Here is what Sharyl said in her latest tweets:

"Just for curiosity sake since most polls iview more Dems, wd be interesting to see results of poll that iviews 18% more Repub.

NBC/WSJ interviewed 440 who identify as Dems, 370 Repubs. So 70 (18.9%) more Dems. HC is ahead in this sample by 10 percentage pts."

How can they sample 18.9% more democrats and make this poll credible?

1 posted on 10/16/2016 10:09:12 AM PDT by GilGil
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To: GilGil
Apparently a Trump rebound is now showing in the Real Clear Politics Poll average http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html...


60 posted on 10/16/2016 10:58:48 AM PDT by right-wingin_It
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To: GilGil

It seems that these polls are to be “self fulfilling prophecies”.

The more the people see them like this the more they are to believe them and will vote that way. E.g. people want to vote for a winner and might change their vote so they feel they voted for a winner.

This is the insidiousness of these “polls”.


61 posted on 10/16/2016 10:59:38 AM PDT by CapnJack
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To: GilGil
(John Podesta's Collaboration with Hillary Clinton to Destroy the Constitution)......the entire Saul Alinsky approach to destroy a real winner by making them look a lot worse than you. Remember, Hillary Clinton - or her organization - has made a call for anything on Donald Trump, and they will pay well to get it.

Now examine why Hillary Clinton wants John Podesta as not only her campaign manger, but also as her chief of staff, should she be elected.

John Podesta is not a Democrat/Progressive, he is this; (Communist Tactician Podesta to Obama: Ignore Voters & Congress – abuse Executive Powers)....DOES ANYONE CARE THAT HILLARY HAS THIS ANTI-CONSTITUTION, ANTI-FREEDOM, ANTI-CAPITALIST, AS HER CAMPAIGN MANAGER AND WANTS HIM AS HER CHIEF OF STAFF IN A CLINTON WHITE HOUSE.....Wake up America.....pray Trump wins.

64 posted on 10/16/2016 11:06:19 AM PDT by yoe (Vote Trump and save America!)
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To: GilGil
I don't know who is the bigger scum. Is it the lying lib media and the leite left that is behind them or is it the treacherous,feckless, backstabbing Republican elite that refused to buy media and helps the Dems bring in more Dem voters just so they can have cheap labor. I know one thing I am against tax cuts for either of these two groups and frankly I think they should pay more since they are the ones that are messing up the country.
65 posted on 10/16/2016 11:06:23 AM PDT by amnestynone (We are asked by people who do not tolerate us to tolerate the intolerable in the name of tolerance.)
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To: GilGil

Nah. Trump is up about 7.4% in the internal pols. Hence the panic by the Dems and LSM.


66 posted on 10/16/2016 11:07:28 AM PDT by piytar (http://www.truthrevolt.org/videos/bill-whittle-number-one-bullet)
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To: GilGil

“How can they sample 18.9% more democrats and make this poll credible?”

It’s completely credible.

They’re telling you their margin of vote fraud.

Disbelieve this at your peril.


68 posted on 10/16/2016 11:08:36 AM PDT by Black Agnes
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To: GilGil

I’m betting that if the polling were more representative of the general population, she would still have a slim lead. There was some of the “poll-bias” talk going around in 2012, questioning why the polls favored 0bama over Romney. Well, you know the results of that election. The polls were right.


70 posted on 10/16/2016 11:09:58 AM PDT by Tolerance Sucks Rocks (Just one of a basket of deplorables.)
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To: GilGil

She’s getting slaughtered.


73 posted on 10/16/2016 11:11:17 AM PDT by Carry me back (Cut the feds by 90%9)
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To: GilGil

Pollsters want to live and/or be enriched so pollsters lie.


76 posted on 10/16/2016 11:13:10 AM PDT by Crucial
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To: GilGil

QF4 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something
else? (IF “DEMOCRAT” OR “REPUBLICAN,” ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican)
or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF “NOT SURE,” CODE AS “NOT VERY STRONG
DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN.”) (IF “INDEPENDENT,” ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the
Republican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF
“NOT SURE,” CODE AS “STRICTLY INDEPENDENT.”) +
Strong Democrat
...............................
26
Not very strong Democrat
.................
9
Independent/lean Democrat
..............
9
Strictly Independent
...........................
13
Independent/lean Republican
............
11
Not very strong Republican
...............
7
Strong Republican
.............................
19
Other (VOL) ................................
.....
4
Not sure ................................
...........
2
+ Results shown reflect responses among
registered vo


79 posted on 10/16/2016 11:21:08 AM PDT by PghBaldy (12/14 - 930am -rampage begins... 12/15 - 1030am - Obama's advance team scouts photo-op locations.)
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To: GilGil

I wish crooked Hillary was winning by 50 points in these polls. That will certainly depress her turnout by making the non-deplorable’s over-confident.


82 posted on 10/16/2016 11:25:20 AM PDT by entropy12 (GO DONALD J TRUMP! MAGA!!!)
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To: GilGil
Seems its a +9 Democrat poll, but I see where the 18.9% came from:

Strong + not strong Dem: 26% + 9% = 35%
Strong + not strong Rep: 19% + 7% = 26%

So a difference of +9% democrat.

But if we include independent/leaning to party than its +7 Dem:

Dem: 26% + 9% + 9% = 44%
Rep: 19% + 7% + 11% = 37%

I note that 44% is 18.9% more than 37%...but I would simply call this poll +9 Democrat.

83 posted on 10/16/2016 11:25:21 AM PDT by AndyTheBear
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To: GilGil

I’ll bet Trump is at least +7 nationwide. Possibly a landslide in november.

If they’ll fabricate stories about Trump and get their talking points from the Hillary Campaign, they’ll have no problem throwing out fake polling numbers.

That being said, I always act on these numbers as if they’re real. Just makes us work harder for a Hillary defeat even is there’s a possibility that those polls are wrong. That way, the worst that can happen is an even bigger landslide.


102 posted on 10/16/2016 12:52:46 PM PDT by tsowellfan (https://twitter.com/cafenetamerica)
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To: GilGil

Registration differences are about 28 R to 32 D. So this is about A 15% oversampling...


107 posted on 10/16/2016 1:25:41 PM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: GilGil

NBC couldn’t produce an honest, unbiased poll if it had a gun to its head. This poll contradicts other polls out there right now. Even the Wash Post/ABC is resigned that the race is even, which means Trump is ahead. I think the LA Times poll is the most accurate. Still Trump needs to get ahead by at least a few more points.


115 posted on 10/16/2016 1:58:01 PM PDT by Proudcongal (Make America great again! Make America safe again!)
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To: GilGil

Why is Non Contributor, Newbie, obviously Troll, Debbie Downer Liar, allowed to needlessly post crap? You know who you are...


118 posted on 10/16/2016 2:03:56 PM PDT by heights
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To: GilGil

Hart Associates, who conducted this poll, identify themselves as a group who polls exclusively for Progressive causes and politicians.


123 posted on 10/16/2016 2:16:41 PM PDT by Ikemeister
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To: GilGil

Why is a Newbie, Non Contributor, allowed to call FR old timers and Contributors, “Liars”?


126 posted on 10/16/2016 2:27:18 PM PDT by heights
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To: GilGil
I say its bs....push polls or trying to make it SEEM like everyone is voting for her....well maybe all the dead and illegals are....

people PLEASE JUST VOTE ...JUST VOTE TRUMP..ITS NOT OVER....

152 posted on 10/16/2016 9:09:48 PM PDT by cherry
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To: GilGil

Not a true poll.


153 posted on 10/16/2016 9:11:20 PM PDT by Salvation ("With God all things are possible." Matthew 19:26)
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