Posted on 10/14/2016 10:19:59 AM PDT by OneVike
FOX News released their Presidential poll numbers this morning, and they claim that Hillary beating Trump by 7%. However, their big news is how they have Trump losing big to women. Like the rest of the MSM, Fox is doing it's best to show how Trump hates women and they claim their poll numbers prove it.
We always hear how badly Trump is doing with women, and while they do admit that Trump is beating Hillary with men, the never tell us by how much. So I decided to look into the internal numbers of their poll to find out how much trump leads among men.
What I found astonished me.
The first flag was that they polled 45% Democrats and only 36% Republicans. As usual I expected as much. However, as I searched for their numbers on how much Trump was leading with men over Hillary I found this.
With white women Trump is defeating Hillary by 3 points.
However, nowhere in their methodology do they breakdown how many whites, blacks, or Hispanics they interviewed for their poll. Now If she is behind Trump with white women by 3 points, then the facts are that there are not enough minorities to give Hillary a win. That is why they are trying so hard, this late in the election, to move Trumps poll numbers down with women.
I did a screen shot of the portions of the poll internals that matter for my discussion. I offer both registered and likely voters.
For anyone wanting to look at their internal numbers and their methodology, here is the link to the poll numbers in pdf.
I leave the rest for you all to discuss.
He got the married/divorced woman vote.
That said, the internals show there isn’t much enthusiasm for Hillary among women voters.
The internals show the opposite of what their polls lead people to believe.
Hillary may be up but its cold comfort.
Sorry to hear, get well soon! My lovely daughter has a lab shepherd huskie mix, he’s a good friendly dog, but if he sees another dog, look out!
You are prescient. .
I could have written very similar words. A lot of us are older and in despair of what we see on a daily basis.
The lack of interest, the social justice brainwashing, the pussification of our young men, the feminazi culture, the PC culture, the nation awash in drugs, the Cloward-Piven strategy on steroids, the planned destruction of the nation from 3rd world countries to get more dem votes, the Muslim Brotherhood American-hating President, the do nothing congress and hopeless Rinos, the horrible lack of civility, the language, the lack of basic respect and sophistication, the criminal 'pay for play' former Secretary of State who's actually running for President, her rapist husband, WikiLeaks, the past eight years, the various subgroup lobbies, BLM, MSM, Hollywood and TV brainwashing, the attack on Christianity and Judeo/Christian ethics and morality, . . . you could go on and on.
Trump is our only chance to right the ship of state. If he loses, we all know what has to happen next, and we will have a short window to accomplish it. Are there enough Men in America to pull it off?
Pray for America and prepare.
Hillary is losing men and she’s barely ahead with women.
Not a guaranteed formula for victory in November.
So, the poll went from +2 Democrat to +9 Democrat? That alone makes the poll a joke.
No, you’re not nuts. Sigh...
One Vike: please take care of yourself, feel better, and thanks for posting.
Two words - lift chair. Hubby is still recovering since last spring from the same thing doubled and substituting a motorcycle for the dogs.
The only woman I’ve spoken to who was never in Trump’s box was an elderly one without tv or computer. She dislikes both candidates.
BTW, I just bought Ann's book on Trump and almost hemorrhaged with laughter reading it. Such a wit! Highly recommended although it's going to need to be updated.
Sorry about your mishap!
Thanks for the work you’ve done here through your pain and all. I was wondering about their internals, now there’s no doubt what they’ve been up to.
Bingo! Most people are overlooking that 7% net sample adjustment in Hillary’s favor!
Part of that is because a large number of minority men can not vote as they are felons.
If I understand OneVike's reasoning correctly, it's because the non-white women aren't expected to show up in as great a number as white women, because of diminished enthusiasm with Hillary and the simple fact that since they are by definition a "minority", they would have to overwhelm the white women vote by a larger margin than they are in this poll. Again, if I understand the reasoning correctly.
I think it's a bit of positive spin, we will see Election Day at this point. After all using the same reasoning Clinton will win overall because all the other internals (the demographic categories) give her the win, so all those votes outnumber the one category Trump wins. Personally I think it will be a small miracle if Trump ekes out a win here.
“I suspect that reading those lyrics will win over a lot of women enraged by private guy-talk. “
Uh, what kind of non-feminist women are enraged by alpha male guy talk (who happen to employ a lot of airhead bimbos who would not get a real honest job otherwise, but that is another story)
Very true.
We dont really need any other explanation of how these numbers shifted. They MADE them shift.
BINGO!!
WHich makes them Engineered ADVERTISING for a Political Candidate, NOT A LEGITIMATE POLL.
We call that an UNDISCLOSED AND ILLEGAL “In KIND CONTRIBUTION”
Where is the FEC? DOJ?????
I broke 3 ribs and injured my left shoulder.
OUCH, Been there done that. DON’T SNEEZE whatever you do
I sneezed in the Parking lot after dinner with 2 broken ribs and fell to the ground where I laid for 5 minutes unable tomove from the pain
I feel for ya .
You must not be too deplorable.
We have a 4 month old half German Shepherd and half who knows what that is driving me crazy. Never had a dog as hard as her. Smart as a whip but bull headed as heck. If she doesn’t want to do it she’s just not gonna. I’ve had to crate her, never crated a dog before, and when she’s in the house have her on a leash. I finally have given up on the Devil Dog and enrolled her in obedience school starting the end of the month. Wish me luck! Lol
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