Posted on 10/10/2016 6:43:33 PM PDT by GilGil
In todays USC Daybreak poll, Trump improved in almost all categories and has won back all the support he lost over the weekend.
Nationally, Trump reversed three days of declines and now leads Clinton by 45.8 to 42.7% - a 3.1% margin. Clinton saw her biggest decline in 10 days, sinking 6/10s of a percent yesterday. 2,893 people were sampled in yesterdays poll.
Trump still leads in all three age demographics, recovering most of what he had lost among middle-aged voters, and returned to a solid 4 percentage point lead 46.7 42.7%.
In the +65s group, Trump now leads 49% to 44.3% - a 4.7% lead.
When sorted by educational levels, Trumps lead with those with a high school education or less increased to 54 Trump, 36 Clinton a dominating 18 point lead...
But heres the big number of the night. Clintons support among females dropped 1.4% yesterday from 50.3% down to 48.9% today. That still gives her a 10.1% lead over Trump, but since we expect further declines in this number tomorrow its not a good sign for Clinton, especially when Trump held onto his 16.8% lead with men - 52.9 to 36.1.
The bottom line here is the Clinton dirty tricks machine even with the all-out support of the crooked mainstream media was able to get only a small bump in the polls over the weekend, but Trump has already won that back and more, and we believe that the full measure of Trumps debate performance will not be seen until tomorrows numbers come out.
(Excerpt) Read more at youtube.com ...
So much for watching the local FOX news program...
They also weight enthusiasm and likelihood to vote so a person who is 100% certain is counted more than less sure participants. Although I can’t imagine being in this poll every day for months on end then not voting.
I believe the NBC poll was post-tape leak and prior to the debate. That will change for sure in the next few days as Trump recovers.
As far as this Daybreak poll is concerned, what is the D/R/I breakdown and M/F breakdown?
I trust this more than other polls. It’s methods are just different enough to give it a more realistic look at the electorate. That being said the real vote on November 8th will see if it is accurate.
you’re wrong. Wallace is Trump’s best chance for a fair fight.
I know it’s in fashion to say fox is hard left nowadays, though they still keep hannity and Pirro on the payroll and in prominent positions.
Wallace ain’t the best we could have gotten but hillary’s team didn’t bitch and cry and stomp their feet over wallace being picked for nothing.
Please don’t flame me for this, but if you read the USC methodology, they say that it takes about 9 days for the full effect of an event to show up in their numbers. (e.g. the Access Hollywood tape, or the second date).
Debate #1 -- defensive and probing
Debate #2 -- kick the sh!t out of the shrew and get it all out of his system
Debate #3 -- look confident, presidential and dominant
the MSM are trying to make it sound as if all of a sudden 20 or so million staunch Trump supporters have all of a sudden fallen in love with Hillary! How could Trump go from 47/48% to 35% in two nights?
The polls are completely out of sync. This poll continues to have Trump leading. Some have the race tied. Others have Clinton comfortably leading. Ultimately, the only polls that matter are those in November and December (the latter is for the Electoral College).
Do those NBC and CNN polls way oversample dems?
That’s par for this course amongst these liberal “news” outlets.
Always look at the internals.
Those will be out of sync, too. Guaranteed.
I believe the polls showed Reagan losing too. I still think Trump pulls it out by a pretty large margin.
Caww!
Where was this!!???
Love it !
All you have to do is look at the rallies. People are not excited by Hillary, they don’t show up. People show up at Trump rallies by a power of 10 compared to Hillary’s rallies. There is simply no way any poll is correct. They aren’t polling average Americans.
Which way?
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