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‘Missing’ White Voters Could Elect Trump. But First They Need To Register.
FiveThirtyEight.com ^ | SEP 29, 2016 AT 11:21 AM | David Wasserman

Posted on 09/29/2016 10:33:19 AM PDT by Behind Liberal Lines

In 2012, President Obama won re-election by almost 5 million votes, but about 47 million eligible white voters without a college degree — including 24 million men — didn’t bother to vote. In 2016, these nonvoters are part of the demographic that is most strongly in favor of Donald Trump.

If Trump rouses even a fraction of these notoriously disaffected Americans — like this grease-smudged, 61-year-old first-time voter in western Pennsylvania — he could surge to victory. There’s just one catch: If we’re on the cusp of a blue-collar Great Awakening, it’s not yet showing up in the registration data.

In the 15 months since Trump announced his run, net registration gains in heavily white, rural and GOP-leaning counties have been unremarkable.

it could be that white working class voters are out there to be activated, but Trump’s campaign and the Republican National Committee have waited until too late to build the analytics and ground infrastructure necessary to identify and register them. That’s where Clinton and the Democrats have excelled.

(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: gop; numbers; registration; trump; voterdrives
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Get off the computers, my Freeper friends, and get to work.
1 posted on 09/29/2016 10:33:19 AM PDT by Behind Liberal Lines
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To: Behind Liberal Lines

These folks are probably already registered. Heck, virtually everyone (including non-citizens) are on the voter roll somewhere.

The question is whether they have been sitting out elections for a while and are only now going to show up for Trump.


2 posted on 09/29/2016 10:40:39 AM PDT by mrs9x
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To: Behind Liberal Lines

I read that those 5 million votes mainly came from California & NY

2 irrelevant States to us! lol


3 posted on 09/29/2016 10:49:05 AM PDT by KavMan
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To: mrs9x

If they were registered they’d show up someplace. And if they’re registered someplace other than where they currently live the registration is void.

The article’s point still stands.

Get out there and get the RIGHT people registered.


4 posted on 09/29/2016 10:49:12 AM PDT by Behind Liberal Lines (#nevertrump is really #readyforhillary)
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To: Behind Liberal Lines

I’m not ‘missing’, just waiting in ambush..................


5 posted on 09/29/2016 10:52:18 AM PDT by Red Badger (YES, I'm Deplorable! I Deplore the entire Democrat Party!....................)
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To: Behind Liberal Lines

My point is that most of the 47 million white voters who did not vote in 2012 are probably registered to vote. It is probably not a registration problem - it is the fact that they simply have not voted in many election cycles.


6 posted on 09/29/2016 10:52:51 AM PDT by mrs9x
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To: mrs9x
You know, I can't imagine a single "secret" Hillary voter. Those who support her are open and even obnoxious about the fact. On the other hand, I can imagine tens of thousands of "secret" Trump voters. Just look at the man who was attacked in California for wearing a "Make America Great Again" hat.

No, for even physical harm's sake, many people have to keep their Trump intentions private. Oh, but the groudswell just beneath the surface, out of view of the media and others. These privately held decisions to vote Trump are "broken glass" decisions. When the man in California is assaulted for simply wearing a hat, we are all assaulted!

The media doesn't understand (purposely, no doubt) the enthusiam gap is INCREDIBLE! 25,000 people don't come out on a Tuesday afternoon, stand in line for up to five hours, just to get a glimpse of Donald Trump and hear him for a few minutes without a STRONG commitment to vote!!

I'm confident Donald J. Trump will be the 45th President of the United States!

7 posted on 09/29/2016 11:03:46 AM PDT by The Citizen Soldier ("It's always good to be underestimated." ~Donald Trump)
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To: Behind Liberal Lines

Uh, Natey: in Cuyahoga Co. (BLUE/Cleveland) we saw a NET shift of 97,000 voters minimum (not even counting undecideds) to Republicans. That, by itself, would erase HALF the number that Minion lost by in 2012.

Would that count?


8 posted on 09/29/2016 11:07:07 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: KavMan

if they all came from those states, then why didn’t romney win?


9 posted on 09/29/2016 11:07:59 AM PDT by dp0622 (IThe only thing an upper crust conservative hates more than a liberal is a middle class conservative)
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To: The Citizen Soldier

John Stossel was pretty confident that Hillary will be President

He said the betting markets oversea have her winning by like 65% to 35% for TRUMP

Someone please punch John Stossel!


10 posted on 09/29/2016 11:08:23 AM PDT by KavMan
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To: 1_Rain_Drop; 3D-JOY; Abbeville Conservative; Abby4116; abigkahuna; adc; Aleya2Fairlie; ...

Make America Great Again

Ping!

This ping provides two daily lists of links to Trump-related threads on FR.
To be added to or dropped from this ping list, freepmail to Albion Wilde.

* * *

Selected Trump articles on FR, from 12:00am to 1:45pm EDT, 9/29/16:
Banzhaf: ‘We Are Heading into a Perfect Storm’ of Election Fraud –John Hayward
‘Missing’ White Voters Could Elect Trump. But First They Need to Register. –538
BREAKING: Thomas Sowell to Vote 'Against Hillary' –DailyWire
So THAT'S why Hillary thinks EVERYONE is a RACIST! (video)
Caddell: Election ‘Armageddon’ as Estab Fights to ‘Hold onto Power" –Dan Riehl
Trump stumbles into Clinton’s trap by feuding with Latina beauty queen –WaPo
Call to Repentance: Catholics, Protestants Aiding Soros’ Anti-Christian Agenda –Breitbart
FBI Docs: Hillary Deleted Nearly 1,000 Emails With David Petraeus –PJMedia
Donald Trump's Fortune Falls $800 Million To $3.7 Billion [barf alert] –Forbes
Meet the New Authoritarian Masters of the Internet –John Hayward
Congress Can Save the Internet –WSJ
ACTION!: STOP THE INTERNET TAKEOVER NOW! –Stefan Molyneux
Scandalous Behavior [Panel On Clinton Corruption] –Judicial Watch
Trump broke Cuban embargo, report says [Miami media going crazy] –MiamiHerald
Poll: Hillary Clinton has the edge among people planning to skip election –CBS
USC/Dornsife Poll 9/29/16 [Trump 46.7, Crooked Hillary 42.9]
Reuters-Ipsos Poll Showing Hillary +6 Pts. Sampled 44% Dem, 33% Rep [Actual Result Trump +2.5] –GP
Linda Tripp Reopens Foster, Filegate, Travelgate, Whitewater Scandals –Aaron Klein
Donald Trump to rally Saturday in Lancaster County [PA] –AllentownMorningCall
21 Top Conservative Scholars Pen "For Trump" Issue of American Greatness
The Cleaner” Pt II—Cleaner ID’ed—Plot Thickens [Clinton debate tricks?] –Sundance
Andrew Stein Endorses Donald Trump [NY] –Breitbart
Rasmussen: Clinton 42, Trump 41, Johnson 7, Stein 2
Democratic National Committee Expands Presence in Texas –TxTrib
Hedge Fund Legend Julian Robertson: Everything in bubble; will end in 'chaos' –BizInsdr
Clintons’ Payments to Email Tech Match Tax Deductions –DailyCaller
Ambassador Chris Stevens’ Fiancé Speaks Out –GP
O'Keefe Claims He Has an October Surprise –Inquisitr
FBI Warns of "TERRORIST DIASPORA" of ISIS Migrants to West –Daniel Greenfield
How to Avoid Immigration, Terrorism and Health Care for 90 Minutes –Ann Coulter
LIVE THREAD: Trump Rally 9/29/16 Bedford, NH, 3pm ET
NBC Donated $5.6 Million to Democratic Party, Provided Debate Moderator –DailyCaller
Abedin Family Values –Frontpage
The Jews that Choose Trump –Daniel Greenfield
Michigan Man Mows 58,000 Square-Foot ‘TRUMP’ Sign into Lawn –Breitbart
BOOM! Smug News Editors Endorse Hillary…Phones Blow Up w Cancellations –100%FedUp
DONALD TRUMP/MIKE PENCE PRAYER VIGIL 9/29/16 –FR
Trump: ‘Google was suppressing the bad news about Clinton’ –WaPo
Clinton’s Faulty New Scheme to ‘Fight’ ISIS –ConsortiumNws
What Stimulus? Next President Will Inherit Trillions of Built-In Deficits –ContraCorner
Felons to be allowed to vote in California elections –LATimes
FBI Director: I Never Said Hillary Was ‘Truthful’ –Breitbart
Comey: DOJ Prosecutors Granted Cheryl Mills Immunity, Not FBI –Katie Pavlich
FBI Dir: Cheryl Mills Had Classified Info on Her Computer –Patrick Howley
Comey: Clinton IT Contractor's Reddit Posts Not “Cover-Up”… (video)


11 posted on 09/29/2016 11:19:13 AM PDT by Albion Wilde (We will be one People, under one God, saluting one American flag. --Donald Trump (standing ovation)
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To: mrs9x

Number estimates vary some, but 20-30 million registered voters did not vote in 2012, and something like another 50-60 million citizens are eligible to vote but not even registered.

Self-described ‘born again Christians’ should be a natural target for conservative GOTV, but are supposedly no more likely than other Americans to register and vote.


12 posted on 09/29/2016 11:22:32 AM PDT by jjotto ("Ya could look it up!")
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To: mrs9x

A LOT of them sat out the 2012 election because Romney was our candidate. Hopefully they will vote this time for Trump.

Trump fights, this is going to bring a lot of patriots out of the woodwork.


13 posted on 09/29/2016 11:23:06 AM PDT by HerrBlucher (For the sake of His sorrowful passion have mercy on us and on the whole world.)
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To: Behind Liberal Lines
didn’t bother to vote

I have multiple college degrees so don't exactly fit the stated demographic, but I refused to vote in the last election. I held my nose to vote for Jorge Busho and nearly puked to vote for McCain, but refused to vote for Romney.

I decided to never vote for a liberal again. Trump is different. Now we've got a candidate that at least appears to be listening to the electorate. The fools that preceded him apparently didn't care. I will vote this time and suspect that the white conservatives who were staying home will do likewise.

14 posted on 09/29/2016 11:29:18 AM PDT by LouAvul (The most High ruleth in the kingdom of men, and giveth it to whomsoever he will.)
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To: Behind Liberal Lines

Why do they have to register? The extremists have been erecting rules which require same-day registration and voting, in order to facilitate their fraud. Finally, our side might be able to use the infrastructure of the democrat fraud machine against them.


15 posted on 09/29/2016 11:32:43 AM PDT by Sgt_Schultze (If a border fence isn't effective, why is there a border fence around the White House?)
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To: KavMan

“He said the betting markets oversea have her winning by like 65% to 35% for TRUMP”

I think they also bet against Brexit by similar margins. Real soothsayers, they.


16 posted on 09/29/2016 11:44:10 AM PDT by rightwingcrazy ("We will not tolerate those who are intolerant of the intolerant.")
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To: The Citizen Soldier
...many people have to keep their Trump intentions private.

Especially union members who usually are a guaranteed RAT vote, and Republican leaners who are stuck working in a RAT dominated environment, like a university or a city government.

17 posted on 09/29/2016 11:49:55 AM PDT by JimRed (Is it 1776 yet? TERM LIMITS, now and forever! Build the Wall, NOW!)
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To: Behind Liberal Lines
Provisional ballots. Isn't that what the cheaters do?

How dare they disenfranchise voters!

18 posted on 09/29/2016 11:52:28 AM PDT by Repealthe17thAmendment
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To: Behind Liberal Lines
white voters without a college degree

Propaganda. Not the issue that they don't have a degree. It is the issue that a degree somehow makes someone smarter.

The reality we are seeing is that those enrolled in college are getting indoctrination in exchange for their title.

19 posted on 09/29/2016 12:04:00 PM PDT by pfflier
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To: rightwingcrazy

Overseas people get ALL their information from The Media.
Explains everything, does it not?

I was at a Trump rally, waited 3 hours in line to get into the venue. I saw and felt the enthusiasm first hand. I felt the energy and love for the America First candidate. Few, if any, foreigners see this in media.


20 posted on 09/29/2016 12:11:32 PM PDT by entropy12 (GO DONALD J TRUMP! MAGA!!!)
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