PPD 1/3 Post Debate: Trump +2.4 (43.3 Trump 40.9 Clinton)

People's Pundit Daily ^ | 9/27/2016 | People's Pundit Daily

[LS]

Trump 43.3 Cankles 40.9 (Trump +2.4)

[goldstategop]

Hillary has no warmth, charisma or affability.

She comes across as completely unlikable.

People just don’t warm up to her. And its even worse on TV than in person.

Hillary is done.

[Future Useless Eater]

Sorry. That ppd poll is a 7-day average poll taken sept 19 thru sept 26

Perhaps half of one days polling occurred after the debate.

By contrast the Gravis poll was taken entirely post-debate

BEFORE the debate,the gravis sample of 890 REGISTERED voters believed they would vote...

49.6% had planned to vote Trump in November,
46.2% had planned to vote Clinton in November.
+3.4% Advantage Trump

AFTER the debate, the same group of 890 registered voters...
51.2% will now vote Trump in November,
44.6% will now vote Clinton in November.
+6.6% Advantage Trump.

[goldstategop]

Hillary is not going to get 44%.

She’ll be lucky to break 40% and even that is generous.

There’s no real enthusiasm for her.

[justlurking]

Sorry. That ppd poll is a 7-day average poll taken sept 19 thru sept 26

No, PPD used a 7-day average for the first day. After that, they changed to a 3-day rolling average.

You can find that information on the Methodology tab.

[RayChuang88]

The problem is that Hillary IS the candidate of the Globalist Establishment, especially given the massive amount of money she got from like-minded donors for the Clinton Foundation. And frankly, Americans are sick of that and want someone who takes the consideration of Americans first.

[MUDDOG]

In the presidential debates, the policy points don’t matter as much as the impression of the candidate as a person. Hillary loses big-time there.

Like in 1976 when Ford said Poland wasn’t communist, the important thing was that it made him look dumb.

[Future Useless Eater]

Correction. Ppd started out as a 7-day poll

Now it’s a 3-day poll. Still, roughly 83% of that 3-day poll was taken pre debate

[LS]

No, that’s not what Baris, the pollster told me.

[RayChuang88]

I wouldn’t be surprised that Hillary only wins California, Oregon, Washington, Minnesota, New York and Massachusetts and just about lose everywhere else. And it will show the enormous divide between these states and the rest of the USA—in short, the enormous divide between the Globalist elites and the rest of the country.

[LS]

Right. Even he said it was only 1/3. He promises also “interesting” results, hinting that like Gravis he has seen big shifts in undecideds, but nothing I can report yet.

[Antoninus]

There was one shocking thing said during the debate and it happened at the very end. Trump said: “If she wins, I will absolutely support her.”

Just remember, he wasn't that clear and emphatic about supporting *any* of his GOP opponents in the primary if they had beat him.

[LS]

I think that’s a throwaway line to tell everyone, “Hey, I want us all unified.”

[Antoninus]

I think that’s a throwaway line to tell everyone, “Hey, I want us all unified.”

It was a very telling thing for him to say, particularly as this was his opportunity really nail Hillary without a chance for her to respond. He didn't do that. Instead, he went all Mitt Romney squishy.

[LS]

Baloney.

No one, and I mean no one thinks Trump is Romney. The concern with him is he’s “too combative” or “too confrontational.” The results of the undecided shifts after the debate pretty much confirm that this was the right tone for him.

Now, with ROMNEY, he needed just the opposite.

With Seabiscuit, you let him set his own pace. With other horses, maybe you use the whip.

[Quicksilver]

That probably means that one-third of 9/26 polling (a single day’s worth of polling) was post debate and 2/3 was pre-debate. Just a guess. If so, then the post debate portion of a 7-day rolling poll would be 1/21 or 0.048 percent.

[Quicksilver]

Oops, my bad: 0.048 percent should have been 4.76 percent. So, if 1/3 of a day’s polling bumped it up for Trump that is big.