Posted on 09/27/2016 9:31:37 AM PDT by LS
Trump 43.3 Cankles 40.9 (Trump +2.4)
Waiting for Her Heinous to actually SCREAM this time ‘WHY AREN’T I 50 POINTS AHEAD’??
Looks like Trump is back down to pre-9/11 numbers in this poll. The full effect of this debate won’t be known for several more days.
It won't be post-debate, because the email went out to participants to vote before the debate.
I know this, because I got one.
Any honest poll Trump will be up 3-5 points by end of the week... at least.
He did what he needed to do in the debate, which was appear reasonable so that those who know they won’t vote for Clinton, but are unsure they could support him, now feel they can.
That debate was not going to stop Trump’s momentum, and would actually increase it as those not sure they could support him, now have concluded he is not the monster the left and press have been claiming he is, and they can support him.
I have no idea whether PPD does a good job in modeling which people to ask to model turnout. But I like seeing that his lead grew.
He posted on Twitter, and it’s a rolling poll. So he had last night’s info mixed in.
Sigh. He posted on Twitter and it the chart says this but on Twitter he has 1/3 POST debate.
1) Yet, mysteriously the state polls continue to show him gaining and leading. Hmmmm.
2) Gravis this morning shows that there is an undecided vote and it is breaking 3:1 for Trump, after the debate.
If the undecideds break at least 60/40 for Trump over Hillary, he'll win, and he may top 300 EVs in the process.
To win Hillary has to paint Trump as more scary then her. All Trump has to do is survive. Based on polling, people expect Hillary to do better in debates and expect the Moderators to be biased in her favor. The expectations are for Hillary to clean Trumps clock. When she fails to do that, she loses.
Clinton is the candidate of the status quo, the vast majority of voters are unhappy with the status quo. She has to do something to change the momentum against Trump. The only think she can do is create an image of “scary crazy Trump” in voters minds. As long has she fails to do that, she loses.
Hillary and the Moderators are going to have to land punches to stop her polling hemorrhaging and they failed to do so last night.
Yes, it's a 3-day rolling average -- per their methodology tab.
But, I got the email at 3:30 PM CDT, hours before the debate. I responded shortly thereafter.
They also sent out a snap poll for "who won the debate" at 6:30 PM CDT, but I waited until after the debates to answer that.
I don't dispute what he wrote on Twitter. I'm just trying to explain that you can't be certain all the votes are post-debate.
NBC Wall Street Journal: Clinton 90.5, Trump 2.8. /s
Hillary is at 40%. Not good.
She’ll be lucky to break that on Election Day.
In most state polls, she’s polling in the mid to high 30s.
Clinton is the candidate of the status quo, the vast majority of voters are unhappy with the status quo. She has to do something to change the momentum against Trump.
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Michael Moore Says Trump ‘Won’ The Debate
The 62-year-old filmmaker warned “pro-Hillary gloaters” against celebrating over how Hillary Clinton did in the debate against the Republican nominee and insisted nothing she did changed things
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3473975/posts
A week ago Trump was up by about 5 points in the PPD poll: Link
These things are going to be all over the place for the next couple of weeks.
Last night was Hillary’s last chance to turn the dynamics of the race around. She failed.
Trump is going to win in November and it won’t be close.
Hillary is polling far worse than Mondale, Dukakis, Gore and Lurch.
That’s not a compliment.
And that's tough do, since she's as scary as Skynet.
You're right. If she dies between now and election day she'll still get that 40% on election day. She hasn't moved the needle at all.
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