[SoFloFreeper]

Only 486 likely voters.

Margin of error 5 points.

Breakdown: 47% Democrats 39% Republican 10% Independent 3% other party

49% Male 51% Female

Trump is getting 9% of Democrats Hitlery is getting 5% of Republicans

other internals here: https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/3113757/2016-Muhlenberg-College-Morning-Call-late.pdf

[Voluntaryist]

Goooooooooooooo Trump!!!!!

[Personal Responsibility]

She’s only up 2 with a D+8 sample??(

[goldstategop]

Trump will win PA.

I don’t think there’s any question about it.

Only guess is by what margin he will win.

[OrangeHoof]

Crazy. Johnson drops 6 points and Stein 2. In one week.

Not sure how much weight I want to give this one.

[af_vet_1981]

Wow; big poll on the eve of the debate.

[mancini]

*\o/*

[EDINVA]

Come election day, Johnson’s and Stein’s support will disappear, as is already starting to show. Voters know there are really only two viable choices and 11/8/16 will not be a date to cast a “statement” vote.

[Nicojones]

This and the fact that republicans are ahead in the early voting numbers in Florida is great news!

[Henchster]

Obama won Pennsylvania by 10.3% over McVain and only 5.4% over Romney, so I think Dem +8 with an unmotivated Dem electorate due to their terrible candidate is probable at least +4 too high.

In other words, Trump is now leading PA!

[phoneman08]

Small sample, but welcome new nonetheless.

Polls aside, I truly believe that Trump takes Pennsylvania. His win in the primary there was epic. Outperformed the polls then, and will in the general election. He won’t win every county this time, but I expect his rural numbers to be overwhelming. Plenty of 70-25 counties I suspect.

[Flavious_Maximus]

This is the same poll that gave Clinton a 9 point lead just three days ago.

So what has happened in the last 3 days to have Trump surging?

[tennmountainman]

Go Trump!

[Helicondelta]

Ipsos Reuters has Trump ahead in PA. It has a much better track record than this Muhlenberg College poll. Never heard about it before.

[MIA_eccl1212]

I am tired of the narrative... “trump makes gains in Pennsylvania” Hillary only ahead by x.x%”...

and I can point to a dozen different polls that said the same thing, exactly... just last week, last month or even last year... and polls where he was ahead by five or more, a few weeks or months ago.

if he is not ahead, significantly.. then he has made NO IMPROVEMENT in PA...

in reality... I suspect he is ahead by at least 10 points in PA... and the powers that be are using this recycled push poll crap... to try and get us frustrated over no apparent movement...

when she drops dead from her disease on national television, that will be the end of her. until then... I will believe no polls.

[Verginius Rufus]

This poll was taken before Jill Stein appeared on Stossel. Maybe she will get a huge boost from that.

As long as the added support comes at the expense of Johnson and Hillary...

[HamiltonJay]

Hillary has no shot at PA. What folks not from here don’t get is just how well Trump’s message resonates with the blue collar rust belt workers.

His anti nafta and free trade messages play so good here that the Democratic Senate candidate has adopted them, running ads attacking the sitting republican for voted she claimed help ship jobs out of the country.

Hillary will not carry any of the rust belt beyond MN and IL.

Hillary has ZERO innate or organic support. Obama hemoraged 300k votes in PA between 8 and 12, scoring Just shy of 3.3M in 8 and just shy of 3.0M in 12. Republicans, with 2 dogs who had no enthusiasm in either election here 2.65M in 8 and 2.68M in 12. So R’s here can basically run anyone and get ~2.7M votes. Hillary does not have anywhere near the support that Barry had and has absolutely zero enthusiasm. I don’t think she will be able to get 2.5 M voted on Election Day in PA... Meanwhile Trump has more support than I have seen any R candidate have in all the time AI have been in this state... It is through the roof. And yes I was here when Bush I took it in 88. I fully expect 3M or more votes for Trump and Hillay has no prayer of getting anything near that.

[CatOwner]

I would love to believe Trump has a better than 50/50 shot at PA. But given the history of major liberal cities in the state holding back votes until all other precincts have reported, I am not hopeful.

[LongWayHome]

Monday night folks....and Trump delivers the Coup de grace.

[Impy]

PA poll ping.

[Pollster1]

She’s Got Cookie Monster Eyes (with thanks to Kim Carnes)

Her hair is just fools gold
Her lips frighten guys
Her heart is always cold
She’s got Cookie Monster eyes

She’ll turn her cops loose on you
She won’t have to think twice
She’s gray as New York snow
She’s got Cookie Monster eyes

She’ll alarm you
IRS harm you
All the better to disarm you
She’s precocious, and she knows just
What it takes to make her fans blush
She got psycho ex-wife standoff sighs
She’s got Cookie Monster eyes

She’ll let Bill take girls home
It whets her appetite
But she wants her own throne
She’s got Cookie Monster eyes

She’ll take a tumble or two
Eyes roll like they were dice
Until she comes out blue
She’s got Cookie Monster eyes

They’ll expose her, but she snows you
Off your feet with the crumbs she throws you
She’s ferocious, and she knows just
What it takes to make her fans blush
Americans think she’s a spy
She’s got Cookie Monster eyes