Posted on 08/23/2016 11:40:04 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27
Hillary Clinton is 16 points ahead of Donald Trump in Virginia, according to a new poll released Tuesday.
Clinton has 48 percent support to Trump's 32 percent among likely voters in the state, the Roanoke College survey found.
Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson has 8 percent, and Green Party nominee Jill Stein got 3 percent. In a head-to-head matchup, Clinton's lead over Trump grows to 19 points.
The poll also showed improved favorability ratings for Clinton in Virginia. Thirty-nine percent said they saw the Democratic nominee favorably, while 45 percent saw her unfavorably.
(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...
But Va is a tough nut for a Republican. NOVA is a tyrant.
http://www.roanoke.edu/about/news/rc_poll_aug_2016_politics
Is he running ads there? Or letting her control the narrative?
Obama carried Virginia in 2012 by 51-47% over Romney , with 2% going to various others.
If it was a 4 point race in 2012, is Hillary really that far ahead this time in Virginia?
And this contradicts other national polls.
Hard to believe this is real.
Except it isn’t 2012.
And no election is a rerun of the last one.
I think VA and CO will be very close. The potheads in CO and the gubment employees in VA will make it so.
However, two recent elections tell us the VA polls are next to useless (actually, three, but only two are statewide):
1) Eric Cantor was up big. I don’t know how much, but as I recall it was double-digits.
2) Gillespie was supposedly not even competitive, yet made it a close race. Final RCP average was just under 10, Warner won by under 1, so error factor of NINE.
3) RCP likelwise had McAuliffe ahead by more than 6, but the final margin of victory was 2.5 and error factor of THREE.POINT FIVE.
So, regardless of what this poll says, it’s wrong. It may be off by 9, it may be off by 3.5, but it’s seriously wrong. Now, is Trump behind? I think by 1-2 points. There were two pre-DNC convention polls showing him up 5 and tied, but both of those were relative “nobody” polls.
Once you get the D/R splits fixed and the F/M splits fixed, this is a very close race and winnable for Trump, especially if he has a lot of crossovers.
No internals. Liberal college BS.
No.
Hillary is not going to do better than Obama in VA.
If she wins there, it will be within single digits.
This poll is complete garbage.
And Peewee Herman defeated Mike Tyson TWICE for the heavyweight boxing title.
They oversample Democrats big time and there are no internals. Color me doubtful.
Exactly.
Just like CBS will not disclose party ID on many of its polls.
They don’t want you to know how its been skewed.
If this is reality, the country as we knew it, is over.
Not long ago 72% said the country was on the wrong track. Go figure.
I remember how I poopooed the 2012 presidential polls, not believing that the electoral could be so stupid as to re-elect Bath House. I was wrong.
Therefore, I don’t dismiss these polls, out of hand.
That being said, I wish my state of Virginia would go ahead and give Fairfax, Falls Church, Arlington and Alexandria to DC or Maryland.
Feces polls again.
I could conduct a poll of oversampled Republicans and show Trump leading by 25% and it would still be erroneous.
I agree they are a pox on the Commonwealth.
According to the cross-tabs Richmond and Northern Virginia are leaning Clinton.
“72. And would you describe your political party affiliation as Democrat, Republican,
Independent, some other party or no affiliation?
Democrat 39%
Republican 32%
Independent 21%
Other 8%
Refused 0%
“
Other is probably communists lol
Roanoke College tells us a lot. I say the poll is skewed.
Mitt never lead the 2012 polls. We know the outcome.
Hillary isn’t leading in any legitimate poll by more than 50%.
It seems like she is settling within the 41-45% range and hasn’t expanded beyond her base.
Nobody is asking why she can’t put Trump away with all the favorable press and establishment backing on her side.
Polls like this show the opposite of what they’re trying to prove.
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