I think VA and CO will be very close. The potheads in CO and the gubment employees in VA will make it so.
However, two recent elections tell us the VA polls are next to useless (actually, three, but only two are statewide):
1) Eric Cantor was up big. I don’t know how much, but as I recall it was double-digits.
2) Gillespie was supposedly not even competitive, yet made it a close race. Final RCP average was just under 10, Warner won by under 1, so error factor of NINE.
3) RCP likelwise had McAuliffe ahead by more than 6, but the final margin of victory was 2.5 and error factor of THREE.POINT FIVE.
So, regardless of what this poll says, it’s wrong. It may be off by 9, it may be off by 3.5, but it’s seriously wrong. Now, is Trump behind? I think by 1-2 points. There were two pre-DNC convention polls showing him up 5 and tied, but both of those were relative “nobody” polls.
Once you get the D/R splits fixed and the F/M splits fixed, this is a very close race and winnable for Trump, especially if he has a lot of crossovers.
They oversample Democrats big time and there are no internals. Color me doubtful.
This 16 point lead is PURE BS if this were true HELLARY’S buddy the governor wouldn’t be working overtime to MAKE SURE 200 thousand felons would be voting on Election Day !!! PURE BS!!!!