Posted on 08/22/2016 3:18:15 PM PDT by oblomov
Republican candidates for the U.S. Senate in New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and a few other key states are struggling under the weight of Donald Trump’s candidacy. But there seems to be at least one exception: Republican Sen. Rob Portman of Ohio.
Polling released in the past few days — including a Monmouth University survey of Ohio released on Monday — confirms that Portman is not being swamped by the anti-GOP sentiment Trump is stirring up. The Monmouth poll found Trump down by 4 percentage points and Portman ahead by 8.
The new Monmouth survey is in line with the polling averages: Portman holds a clear advantage over Democrat Ted Strickland, leading in all four polls taken since both conventions ended. And in that time, Portman has expanded his lead while Trump’s position has deteriorated. Trump trails Hillary Clinton by 4 points in Ohio, according to our polls-only model, while he trailed Clinton by about 1 point just before the GOP convention started. But Portman leads Strickland by a little over 7 points, on average, in post-convention polls. In the month before the conventions, Portman led Strickland by an average of just 1 point.
How is Portman resisting Trump’s downward pull? Here are three factors that may be helping him separate himself from the presidential nominee in the eyes of Ohio voters:
1. Portman is in many ways the opposite of Trump. He’s a quiet, Chamber of Commerce-type of Republican, whereas Trump is a bombastic populist. Moreover, Portman has been in Ohio politics for over 20 years — he has an established brand in the Buckeye State that is distinct from Trump’s. 2. Ohio’s Republican Party has distanced itself from Trump in a way that few other state parties have.
(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...
You need to vote downticket as well. Give Trump the support he needs in Congress. Even though my Senator Ron Johnson is a moderate squish, I'm still voting for him because Russ Feingold is a leftist Rat. I can understand if Trump wasn't the nominee, if he wasn't I'd probably stay home.
Interesting how 538 quotes Monmouth, the topic of other FR threads today.
I can’t wait to see the pie adorned faces of these media whores the day after the election.
Toomey made his own problems in PA. Gun control is not real popular with the folks he needed to get re-elected.
“He’s a quiet, Chamber of Commerce-type of Republican”
That should be changed to Chamber of COMMUNISTS. Portman should be glad I am not a constituent, because I would not vote for him given the chance.
Any “downward pull” being experienced by GOP RINOs is entirely of their own making.
NRA gives Portman a 93% rating
http://votesmart.org/candidate/evaluations/27008/rob-portman#.V7uGqDWfLMo
Check interest group ratings for politicians here:
If I was still in OH, I’d vote Trump and leave the senate line blank.
Just voted today for Kelli Ward over Juan McLame.
Nice unsubstantiated meme from the media.
But better than Ted Strickland.
Silver is a fraud. He only looked good in 2012 because the cheat was in before election day.
You should check to see if there are other worthy conservative nominees on your ballot.
Toomey is aiming at liberal women in the Philadelphia suburbs: won’t work, will it?
Doubtful, he needed those guys in between Pittsburgh and Philly.
They hunt.
They don’t like gun control.
Manchin will probably lose his seat when he comes up again.
West Virginians don’t like gun control laws either.
They just passed Constitutional carry.
If Portman keeps crab walking away from Trump (at the behest of Ba$$turd Kasich), he will lose to discredited former Ohio Governor Strickland.
Ole Rob better embrace Trump, like he did the Gay marriage deal when his son told him he was Gay (like Dad).
oh, Portman has already done that on social issues. His son is sexually confused, so Portman endorses the behaviour.
Sad.
.. says the noob with no state flag on his profile.
If it were up to me, Filthadelphia would be part of Jersey and PA would be one of the very 'reddest' states in the country.
And btw, I *love* that DJ is trying to wrest back the traditional blue for our side 1
As an Ohioan I know that Portmann is your basic example of the Ohio GOP - RINO to the Core. This POS is also very proud of his mental defective, queer son. I will no longer vote for any of the Ohio GOP. Let the state rot.
We either win it all or lose it all.
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