Posted on 08/04/2016 8:36:29 AM PDT by usafa92
A post-convention bounce appears to have given Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton her biggest lead over Republican rival Donald Trump since June in our latest weekly White House Watch survey. This is the first update that includes both the Libertarian and Green Party candidates.
A new Rasmussen Reports telephone and online survey finds Clinton with 44% support to Republican nominee Donald Trump’s 40%. Six percent (6%) prefer Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson, while three percent (3%) back Green Party candidate Jill Stein. Another three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Clinton and Trump were virtually dead even over the previous two weeks. Support for Clinton ties its highest level in Rasmussen Reports tracking since October of last year. Trump reached a high of 44% support in mid-July. Support for Johnson is down slightly from a high of nine percent (9%) a month ago. This is the first survey to include Stein.
Seventy-two percent (72%) of Republicans now support Trump, down from 86% a week ago, while Clinton’s support among Democrats has risen from 79% last week to 82% this week. Fourteen percent (14%) of Republicans now prefer Clinton, while 11% of Democrats support Trump.
Trump once again leads Clinton among voters not affiliated with either party 41% to 29% after Clinton held a five-point lead a week ago. Johnson draws support from three percent (3%) of Republicans, two percent (2%) of Democrats and 14% of voters not affiliated with either party. Stein picks up five percent (5%) of the vote from unaffiliateds and just two percent (2%) support each from Republicans and Democrats.
The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on August 1-2, 2016 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
Voters followed both national political conventions with equal interest but think Clinton benefited more from hers than Trump did from his. Clinton leads Trump 50% to 32% among women this week, a significantly larger gap from last week. Trump leads 49% to 37% among men, also a noticeable jump from a week ago.
Clinton has bounced back into contention in the key state of Nevada in a survey conducted after the convention. Voters are very suspicious about the 30,000 e-mails Clinton and her staff chose to delete and not turn over to the FBI and aren’t all together sure it would be a bad thing if Russia returned those e-mails to investigators here. The FBI has concluded that Clinton potentially exposed top secret information to hostile countries when she illegally used a private e-mail server as secretary of State. Most voters disagree with FBI Director James Comey’s decision not to seek a criminal indictment against the Democratic presidential nominee.
Despite complaints from progressives in her party, Clinton’s decision to make Virginia Senator Tim Kaine her running mate makes little difference to voters. Voters are strongly convinced that Bill Clinton will be involved in his wife’s policy decisions if she is elected to the White House this fall.
Additional information from this survey and a full demographic breakdown are available to Platinum Members only.
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I will tell you this. NEVER, NEVER, EVER take criticism from a frigging Muslim bought and paid for by the Democrat Party. I don’t care if this man lost a son or not.
Give the Benghazi mother equal time and ‘consideration’ and I might rethink my position. Otherwise......horsesh!t
I keep repeating myself but this is the time to hit Clinton with media so Trump can break out of the margin or error noise and stake out a lead that Hillary cannot erase. To me, the issue is that Hillary cannot campaign to catch up. If she loses her impact via the media she has nothing.
They do and they both are within the MOE.
“The problem, if there is one, is the GOPe.”
The problem is Trump running his mouth without engaging his brain.
“Trump is only getting 72% of the GOP vote. If he gets 85-90 he is winning this thing.”
He will win if he can manage to sound mostly rational and know what he’s talking about most of the time until election day. If not, all bets are off. He REALLY needs someone to help him out with to stay on message.
It will not be clear until election day, but there will be a percentage of voters who are going to vote for Trump but will never admit it to a pollster. What that percentage is remains to be seen. It must scare the Hillary camp to death.
Movement of the polls indicates the size of the undecided. Nothing more.
That said, post-Convention bump is a mis-nomer. It is specifically a Post-Khan bump. So far, Trump has lost the propaganda war on that one due to his not framing it correctly.
There will be many bumps for everyone between now and November.
Kindly, do not talk to me about polls until the POTUS & VP debates have taken place!!! Anybody that does otherwise...please contact me immediately...for I have a wonderful bridge in Brooklyn, New York City...I would love to sell to you!!!
Are there no Americans left with backbones and brains...or, are we all just lambs marching to the Obama/Clinton...American nation slaughter!!! Get real idiots...you have been used, abused and had...by the vermin Obama/Clinton, biased media. Not me!!!
“Apparently the Republicans have low information voters, too.”
They’re well represented in Congress.... All in the House of Representatives, most in the Senate.
Its the ELECTORAL COLLEGE VOTES that matter. 270...270...270. Get ‘em, Got ‘em, Good!
Lots of Globalist Kool-Aid drinkers in the GOP. Somehow open borders and one sided trade deals are now Conservative touch stones.
Democrats are absolutely scared by Trunp
That is why they are trying to get the GOP to pressure him to drop out
If he was a sure loser they wouldn’t want a replacement
But they know he will obliterate Hillary in the debates and attack her where any other wuss GOP candidate wouldn’t
As long as Trump and Trump supporters run against other Republicans don’t expect more Republicans to jump on board. More likely, those on board will jump off in sympathy for their friends of many years.
The enemy is Clinton, not other Republicans.
I disagree. This election is for SCOTUS, sovereignty, and business. Every other sub-category falls into these.
This is for all the marbles-including the final destruction of the US. The globalists know this.
Young people are being fanned out from the WH on multiple fronts to accomplish the objective of making sure the world is ‘Post-America.’ In corporations, education, law enforcement, NGOs-everywhere. The media are their mouthpieces.
I’ll bet this poll is cooked
This is typical for every campaign season right after the conventions. The MSM will push polls showing HUGE dem leads that never pan out (look at the final election numbers). Also right after the conventions, the MSM will also jump on the GOP candidate with one hit piece after another, creating controversy with hearsay. They will take the candidates word out of context and try to place them on the defensive.
It does not matter who the GOP candidate is. By it Trump or Cruz or Jeb or Rubio (or in the past Romney or McCain or GWB or Dole, etc.) THE EXACT SAME THING HAPPENS EVERY 4 YEARS.
The problem for the dems and the MSM, this is a long campaign, the election is over 3 months away. They cannot keep this up that long. I think they are ‘shooting their wad’ now hoping that it will damage Trump. It will not. Ad more terrorist attacks and Wikileaks email releases and the game completely changes.
It was interesting this morning visiting with friends who went to a very large flea market. One booth had both Trump and Hillary t-shirts for sale. The guy in the booth told my friends that he sells about four Trump shirts to every Hillary shirt.
Didn’t Carter have a double digit lead over Reagan at about this time in 1980?
Bingo. Liberals are ruthless. The problem is the GOP. As a party they don’t deserve to win.
Roughly 10%-20% of the GOP does not want to win. Look at all the AWOL “true conservatives” right now. They prefer Commander in Chief Hillary and her SCOTUS picks to Trump. How pathetic is that?
Call me naive but how can anybody in clear conscience vote for this criminal given her history?
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