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Aggregate polling from BigEdLB
BigEdLB's Computer | 7/17/16 | BigEdLB

Posted on 07/17/2016 5:08:40 PM PDT by BigEdLB

Since Morning consult did all states, and we have polling going back, I decided to [put together a hypothetical aggregate of state pols. I assumed Hillary as de-facto incumbent, so I apportioned undecideds as 2-1 for Trump.

See Below


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; clinton; polls; trump
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To: BigEdLB

Even if this is off, if Trump is within one or two in CT???

That’s massive.


21 posted on 07/17/2016 6:45:40 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: BigEdLB
I assumed Hillary as de-facto incumbent, so I apportioned undecideds as 2-1 for Trump.

Yeah right.

22 posted on 07/17/2016 6:53:31 PM PDT by plain talk
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To: BigEdLB

“I would like to be low in CT... Most excellent.”

I think CT is the most likely state to go Trump, much more so than NH or ME.

During the primaries Trump + pubblies got almost as much votes as Hillary + Bernie. However most of CT is independent and don’t vote in primaries.

And, IMO, most Indy’s in CT will break Trump, just like Long Island.


23 posted on 07/17/2016 7:01:46 PM PDT by JPJones ( You can't help the working class by paying the non-working class.)
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To: JPJones

most likely NE state


24 posted on 07/17/2016 7:02:40 PM PDT by JPJones ( You can't help the working class by paying the non-working class.)
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To: BigEdLB

Very sensible, and nice work!
Best predictive poll I’ve seen, period.
(Some are obviously ‘too close to call’)


25 posted on 07/17/2016 7:17:51 PM PDT by mrsmith (Dumb sluts: Lifeblood of the Media, Backbone of the Democrat/RINO Party!)
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To: Timpanagos1

Figured there was a reason. Thanks!
Suspect it skews the result though, but have no rationale. It’s just a suspicion.


26 posted on 07/17/2016 7:20:03 PM PDT by mrsmith (Dumb sluts: Lifeblood of the Media, Backbone of the Democrat/RINO Party!)
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To: BigEdLB

Thanks.


27 posted on 07/17/2016 8:39:51 PM PDT by Gator113 ( Go Trump, Go! Just livin' life my way. Don't worry, everything's gonna be alright. 👍 &#1)
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To: aposiopetic

As a Nevadan, I think Nevada flips, you already show it almost even. Unionists don’t hate casino moguls as long as they produce jobs.


28 posted on 07/17/2016 8:46:47 PM PDT by DaxtonBrown
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To: BigEdLB

Your calculations to God’s ears....


29 posted on 07/18/2016 4:44:04 AM PDT by trebb (Where in the the hell has my country gone?)
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