Posted on 07/17/2016 5:08:40 PM PDT by BigEdLB
Since Morning consult did all states, and we have polling going back, I decided to [put together a hypothetical aggregate of state pols. I assumed Hillary as de-facto incumbent, so I apportioned undecideds as 2-1 for Trump.
See Below
Even if this is off, if Trump is within one or two in CT???
That’s massive.
Yeah right.
“I would like to be low in CT... Most excellent.”
I think CT is the most likely state to go Trump, much more so than NH or ME.
During the primaries Trump + pubblies got almost as much votes as Hillary + Bernie. However most of CT is independent and don’t vote in primaries.
And, IMO, most Indy’s in CT will break Trump, just like Long Island.
most likely NE state
Very sensible, and nice work!
Best predictive poll I’ve seen, period.
(Some are obviously ‘too close to call’)
Figured there was a reason. Thanks!
Suspect it skews the result though, but have no rationale. It’s just a suspicion.
Thanks.
As a Nevadan, I think Nevada flips, you already show it almost even. Unionists don’t hate casino moguls as long as they produce jobs.
Your calculations to God’s ears....
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.