Posted on 07/14/2016 7:04:02 AM PDT by NYRepublican72
The State of the Race Heading into the two parties' conventions, the race for President is a dead heat, a change from last month when Hillary Clinton led by six points. Forty percent of registered voters now say they will back Clinton (a dip of three points), while 40 percent will vote for Trump (a bump up of three points). A month ago, Clinton led Trump 43 to 37 percent.
Most registered voters say they have made up their minds about who to support: 90 percent of Trump voters and 88 percent of Clinton voters say their choice is set. About one in 10 of each's candidates' supporter say their minds might change before the election.
The race looks essentially the same in a three-way contest when Libertarian candidate Governor Gary Johnson is added to the mix. He gets 12 percent of the vote, but Clinton and Trump remain tied, with 36 percent each.
I find these polls highly questionable. Hillary is extremely unlikeable. People know her and they simply don’t like her.
She won the nomination thanks to Super Delegates and by winning Southern States that will reject her in the general election.
In most liberal states she only won a handful of counties while Bernie won the majority. Heck in Oregon she only won one county...and that was by one vote.
Don’t believe the lies from the media. Trump is going to spank Hillary in November.
Fivethirtyeight was a joke during the primaries. And the last election was an Easy Call, my brother and I were just as accurate.
There is a lot more press and interest in who Trump will select as VP than who Hillary will pick.
Only thing that matters is the electoral college.
Again with the Johnson 10-12%. Ridiculous on its face.
Trump had better have a contingency plan to run against Biden or Warren. If Hillary can’t pull out of this tailspin the Dems will kick her to the curb.
But enough about Fox Snooze.
NY Slimes, see Rasmussen poll.
The problem that is Hillary has is that she will have to give a speech at the convention...the true believers will love it, of course...but most people are generally turned off by her. That’s why she doesn’t give press conferences, never allows a hostile interviewer near her, and lets Bubba and Chelsea do the heavy lifting in the campaign...while she speaks to teacher unions in school gymnasiums.
I doubt she gets much of a bump at the convention.
Trump’s bump? It will likely be the most watched acceptance speech in history...and he will likely get a bump.
Personally, I’m relishing the first debate.
KellyAnn Conway was on Fox last night and she was practically giddy. Her internals sounded really good and lots of Bernie supporters are not going to Hillary but Johnson. Trump has the advantage with almost every demographic and poor old Hil is slipping badly.
The MSM loves a horse race narrative.
At brunch yesterday talked turned to the election. Not one person wanted to vote for Hillary because of the unequal treatment. I think Gary Johnson and other third party candidates are going to get a lot of rat votes.
First, why do they interview 1600 “adults” and then say 1300 “registered” voters? Is the sample 1600 or 1300? My guess is that they are desperately using the “adults” to water down Trump’s support.
This poll, if done with “likely” voters, is a 4-5 point Trump win, and they know it.
67% say they can’t trust Cankles, and she’s losing massively (12 points) with white men.
increases their ad revenue
Hillary has spent how much so far?lol
Can someone do a back of the envelope calculation on how much Hillary spent vs Trump to just tie him? She spend a fortune and Trump has not run one commercial yet.
Can't wait to see mid-September polls.......
Agree. Prediction: the August-September narrative will be "Trump collapses!"
I'm old enough to know the media pattern:
Aug-Sept: "After small convention bump, bottom falls out for Trump!"
Oct: "Race tightens - but Dem surging!"
Nov: Trump blowout.
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