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CBS NEWS POLL: After Claiming the Nomination, Clinton Maintains her Lead: Clinton 43 Trump 37
CBS News ^ | 6/15/2016 | CBS News

Posted on 06/15/2016 6:59:12 PM PDT by usafa92

Top Lines Only. Link to Scribd included

(Excerpt) Read more at scribd.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: polls; trump
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Couple of takeaways on this poll. First, this should lead on CBS News tomorrow AM. This is an early link from Huff Post Pollster with a link to toplines only.

Second. Hillary is definitely ahead in the race at this point. This is the 4th poll in 2 days showing her with about a 6 point lead.

Third. It's a RV poll and the splits are 35D-29R-36I

Fourth. This is terrible news for Hillary. Hillary is again at 42. She has a sympathetic media, RV poll, just wrapped the nomination and this does not reflect Orlando in any meaningful way. At most, 1 day of Orlando data is in here and nothing reflects Trump's relentless pounding of her. And still, she can only get 42% in a CBS poll.

The close splits on Independents 37-35 Trump, are due to the fact that Indies by their very nature are indecisive and all over the map. The fact that Hillary cannot win them after the week she has had means she never will. The Indies are swaying as usual with the wind and are influenced this week by the Judge Curiel comments.

Trump is low with Republicans at the moment. This will consolidate at the convention, with a VP pick and the fact that out of survival, the weasel RINO's will have to get on board or they will lose. There is no purpose served in them not supporting Trump. They may want Hillary, but they want their seats more. They will always live to fight another day. So Trump has some work to do, but Hillary is in bad, bad shape. This race is 1980 in so many ways, and I feel optimistic that Trump will win going away. Have a great night and Make America Great Again!

1 posted on 06/15/2016 6:59:13 PM PDT by usafa92
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To: usafa92

Hillary bellow 50% means trouble for her.

In June of 2012 Bloomberg had Obama at 53% and Romney at 40%.


2 posted on 06/15/2016 7:01:35 PM PDT by Helicondelta
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To: usafa92

gosh we’re sure going to lose.


3 posted on 06/15/2016 7:01:56 PM PDT by Mr. K (Trump will win NY state - choke on that HilLIARy)
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To: usafa92

the other 20 percent can be swayed as well as some of the less crazy dems


4 posted on 06/15/2016 7:03:07 PM PDT by dp0622 (The only thing an upper crust conservative hates more than a liberal is a middle class conservative)
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To: usafa92

There was a study that came out a few years ago which showed that over 80% of those who claim to be independent end up voting for the same party’s candidate they voted for in the previous election.


5 posted on 06/15/2016 7:03:58 PM PDT by circlecity
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To: usafa92

Hillary is a strong candidate in exactly the same way that the US economy has been strong under Obama.

It’s all just lies.


6 posted on 06/15/2016 7:04:33 PM PDT by ClearCase_guy (Nation States seem to be ending. The follow-on should not be Globalism, but Localism.)
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To: usafa92

I trust these polls. Two for me and one for you.


7 posted on 06/15/2016 7:05:35 PM PDT by disndat
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To: usafa92

Oh No! /s


8 posted on 06/15/2016 7:05:43 PM PDT by Reno89519 (Like herpes, Cruz can always flare up again. Treat with Trump.)
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To: usafa92

I C more BS from CBS.


9 posted on 06/15/2016 7:05:52 PM PDT by IllumiNaughtyByNature (HTTP 500 - Internal Server Error)
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To: usafa92

Hillarys canckles are a big tree to chop down, but Trumps got at least 5 months to do it. Plus it’s not just Trump, but also those who support him. He also got gays working for him. Anyone see this speech? Fast forward to the 12:00 mark. Milo Yiannopoulos converting Hitlerys gay voter base, fantastic speech. She is freakin’ toast.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xLqkizGtFo0


10 posted on 06/15/2016 7:05:58 PM PDT by GrandJediMasterYoda (By His wounds we are healed.)
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To: usafa92

#NeverCankles!!


11 posted on 06/15/2016 7:07:45 PM PDT by Enchante (No lipstick on the PIAPS!! #NeverSHRILLARY)
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To: usafa92

Yes. Trump is only going to rise. Hillary has nowhere to go from 42.


12 posted on 06/15/2016 7:09:10 PM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: ClearCase_guy
Hillary is a strong candidate in exactly the same way that the US economy has been strong under Obama.

And she will crush Trump the same way Jeb crushed him.

13 posted on 06/15/2016 7:10:06 PM PDT by AndyTheBear
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To: circlecity

Sometimes I think people claim to be independent because they get more attention.


14 posted on 06/15/2016 7:10:43 PM PDT by Rusty0604
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To: GrandJediMasterYoda

I can see The Beast ranting that Yiannopoulos is a foreign national campaigning for Trump.


15 posted on 06/15/2016 7:10:46 PM PDT by Rebelbase
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To: usafa92
Trump leads in the "candidate voters would rather have a beer with" poll. (Don't laugh. Voters would have preferred to have a beer with Obama and before that, with Bush 43.)

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2016/would_you_rather_have_a_beer_with_clinton_or_trump

16 posted on 06/15/2016 7:11:09 PM PDT by Sooth2222 ("Every nation has the government it deserves." - Joseph de Maistre (1753-1821))
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To: usafa92

Add 3 to Trump, subtract 3 from Hillary because it’s not likely voters.

Then add 3 to Trump, subtract 3 from Hillary because the ratio of Democrats is too high, and the ratios of Republicans and Independents is too low. Much too low, in the case of the Independents.


17 posted on 06/15/2016 7:11:23 PM PDT by sourcery (Without the right to self defense, there can be no rights at all.)
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To: usafa92
It's a RV poll and the splits are 35D-29R-36I

Since Trump won the most votes in the history of the Republican primaries, and 10s of thousand see his rallies everyday "29R" is much unrealistic. 37% to 38% is more likely. Hillary is lucky to get a few hundred to see her highness. I don't even recall it be this low (29R) since I've been looking at polls, and Indies are too high by about 8%.

18 posted on 06/15/2016 7:11:34 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: dp0622

I forgot to say that the splits were interesting. 36% Independents means that the swing is already happening away from Hillary. 2012 election breakouts were 38D-32R-29I. If this is true, then there is already a 7 point increase in Independents. Now some may be Republicans, but more likely, these are the “New” Trump voters. D’s becoming Indies or people who have never voted before. They will vote Trump on election day.


19 posted on 06/15/2016 7:13:54 PM PDT by usafa92 (Trump 2016 - Destroying the GOPe while Making America Great Again)
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To: usafa92
An RV poll? They poll owners of recreational vehicles?

Where are the other 20%? Are they all planning to vote for the Libertarian guy?

20 posted on 06/15/2016 7:14:53 PM PDT by Verginius Rufus
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