NATE SILVER: 'We basically got the Republican race wrong'

Business Insider ^ | 5/5/2016 | Dan Turkel

[GilGil]

In September 2015, writer and statistician Nate Silver urged people to "calm down" about the possibility of Donald Trump winning the Republican presidential nomination.

Two months later, he wrote that the media should "stop freaking out about Donald Trump's polls" and that Trump's odds were "higher than 0 but (considerably) less than 20 percent."

Six months after that, after Ted Cruz had dropped out of the race but before John Kasich had done so, Silver wrote: "Donald Trump is going to win the Republican nomination."

[GilGil]

That in a nutshell is the media. They first try propaganda. They pitch what they want to have happen. When that does not work, they just say they were wrong and we are to believe them. They inflict maximum damage and when they fail they move on and expect us to forgive them and let them lie to us some more. Megyn Kelly is the same. They are mostly all the same conservative or liberal media.

Today Limbaugh said he thought Trump would win in a landslide. After trashing Trump for months in favor of Cruz, he now realizes his propaganda did not work so he better do damage control hence the landslide comment.

[Sasparilla]

Nate Silver is tarnished.

[KentTrappedInLiberalSeattle]

'We basically got the Republican race wrong'

That's because you're "basically" a baldfaced, opportunistic 'Rat shill.

[capydick]

No shit Sherlock!

Their propaganda and predictions (redundant, I know) will also be wrong in the coming months when running against Shrillary. I look forward to hearing how he has a woman problem, no foreign policy experience and record unfavorables.

People arent buying their garbage anymore.....

[going hot]

LOL! really, LOL

[Signalman]

They got it wrong, as did most of the country club checked-pants GOPe pundits.

[Roccus]

What Republican politicians and pundits fail to realize is that just as THEY were the reason for the “tea party,” so too are THEY the reason for Trump.

[LongWayHome]

Good points, all.

[Sooth2222]

"Nate Silver is tarnished."

More than just tarnished. More like carbonized.

Fortunately, the pollsters, MSM, eGOP and eRats are still clueless about this election.

[taildragger]

Hey Nate...

Ya need to put us here on FR on your payroll or Listen to Jeff Kuhner.

I started listening to Kuhner last year at this time before Trump through his hat in the ring and realized how pissed the people of MA and NH and knew something was up. If I can figure it our why can't you Nate?

[HarleyLady27]

You know what is in a ‘nutshell’?

You have a choice, Trump or the HILDERBEAST!!!

Those that don’t want Trump are for her...if you don’t want to protect America and the American People by building a wall and vetting people coming into our Country; if you don’t want jobs here in America for American people; if you don’t want to honor and give the respect for our Veterans and Wounded Warriors; if you don’t want to have a better health care program; if you don’t want to have our children taught the true history and culture of America; if you want CFR; TTP; TPA; H1Bvisas; if you want Sharia Law, if you want to have men going into women’s restrooms, then vote for HILDERBEAST because that is what your going to get!!!

If you want an America who will prosper and become the Great Nation she once was, then vote for TRUMP...me, I’m for TRUMP 100% !!!

[Signalman]

Silver needed to listen to David Brooks (sarc).

[NoExpectations]

I knew Trump was going to win when I read that Megan Kelly was interviewing him a week or two ago. She knew he was going to win (internal polling) and she decided she had to “make nice” or else she would be in the back of the line during Trump’s presidency.

[MUDDOG]

"stop freaking out about Donald Trump's polls"

All the other freaks can share his cares.

(Though I love ya baby, yes I do.)

[going hot]

Friend, thy did not just get it wrong.

Those types ARE wrong, with every vibrating molecule in their bodies.

Every thought, every breath coming through their vocal chords, every command from their cerebral cortex to the end of their fingers is but for one thing....to make this county a socialist utopia.

They do not even realize that the ruling class really does not care one whit, only wants to rule. The socialism is the means whereby they can continue to rule.

The useful idiots who pose as legitimate news providers simply know no other world exists.

D Trump was inconceivable and is still incomprehensible to them.

[Objective Scrutator]

Some of his lol-worthy headlines

[austinaero]

So Nate Silver is no more enlightened or any more advanced than the average agenda-driven pollster outfit.

Shocked. I’m so shocked...not!

[Aria]

They all make the pilgrimage to Trump Tower don’t they?

I remember last election how the GOP candidates went there for his blessing.

[Political Junkie Too]

Which is why I tune out reports of polls showing Clinton beating Trump by 5, 10, 15 points, because these numbers are really supposed to be bogeymen intended to scare Republicans out of voting for Trump.

-PJ

[Flycatcher]

In October, I told a lib female co-worker that Trump would become president. She laughed, so we put 20 bucks on it.

Just texted her yesterday and told her I'm now halfway to a "small fortune."

Maybe I should try punditry...?