Posted on 05/05/2016 8:50:19 AM PDT by GilGil
In September 2015, writer and statistician Nate Silver urged people to "calm down" about the possibility of Donald Trump winning the Republican presidential nomination.
Two months later, he wrote that the media should "stop freaking out about Donald Trump's polls" and that Trump's odds were "higher than 0 but (considerably) less than 20 percent."
Six months after that, after Ted Cruz had dropped out of the race but before John Kasich had done so, Silver wrote: "Donald Trump is going to win the Republican nomination."
(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...
Soccer. Leicester City was 5000-to-1.
I guess it is all in the view of the listener. I have not heard Trump being vilified by Rush. He consistently said Ted was the better constitutional conservative, but Rush realized that Trump knew how to tap into the anger that is out there. In my opinion, Rush is leery of Trumps policies and somewhat liberal social agenda, but he respects what he has done. I am a Ted Cruz supporter but I will proudly vote for Trump in november, and so will lots of other people who never had any interest in doing so until just recently. Hillary is the devil. She must be defeated. I fear for Trump’s life so he will be in my prayers. Lots of crazy Democrats out there.
Nate Silver is tarnished.
++++
Perhaps. But, despite his excellent liberal/Marxist credentials, I still think he is one of the best if not the best - at analyzing polling data.
At guessing or reading the mood of the American public, however, it appears he is not so hot. That’s life. A lot of supposedly smart people made his mistake.
But as the Hillary vs Trump polling data rolls in you will see a different Nate Silver. Right now Hillary has the lead and Trump has the trend. Generally it is better to have the trend. We will see. And we will see what Nate Silver sees as our November future.
GOPe leader at the bar in his posh country club...Drink in hand, he says, “I just don’t see how Trump became the nominee??? No one I know voted for him...”
Don’t you just love it when a plan comes together?
Hmmmm... Maybe I should put a little cash down on the Cleveland Browns winning the Super Bowl next year...
Not basically. Blitheringly, totally.
Exactly. And just shows how homogeneous the LSM is. Not an original thought anywhere ever.
Nate Silver needs to change his name to Rusty Metal
Sock puppet media misses again
- or -
Is the pope socialist?
It’s nice to know that Nate Silver can be wrong. I was hoping he would be wrong about Obama in 2012, but he wasn’t, unfortunately.
Well, but Rush also thought Cruz would win in a landslide.
He also said Romney would win.
They both suck and what they do and are usually wrong.
Then you are not a regular listener. However his real vile was saved for the Trump Pest callers he ridiculed and vilified them like I have never seen him do to liberals. If you have 24/7 then you could see the animated versions of disrespect to Trump Pests. I have never felt I had to mute Rush but over the last two weeks not only did I put him i shouted at him.
He will now become a Trump supporter deluxe because the real enemy is the Democrats, something that Cruz sycophants need to remember unfortunately many of them have joined the #NeverTrump brigade.
It’s a stretch to say Rush has trashed Trump. He totally GETS Trump. He has used his observations to learn how his listeners are feeling regarding it all and in that will play devil’s advocate sometimes. But, he hasn’t trashed Trump at all.
+1.
wishful thinking + emotionalism + subjectivism + goal of indoctrination = wrong predictions
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