Posted on 04/28/2016 8:35:24 AM PDT by mandaladon
Cruz and allies have five days to stop Trump
When Ted Cruz unveiled Carly Fiorina as his running mate on Wednesday, and when he struck that alliance/truce with John Kasich on Sunday night, they were from a position of weakness – not strength. The reason: If Cruz and the “Stop Trump” movement don’t win in Indiana on May 3, they’re done. It’s that simple. After Trump ran the table in Tuesday’s primaries, including getting at least 35 of the 54 Pennsylvania unbound delegates (and that number could go above 40), a win in Indiana – even by a single point – would put him on a glide path to 1,237 delegates. So those are the big stakes for next week’s primary in the Hoosier State. But you have to give the Cruz campaign credit: Given that must-win situation, they’re trying every trick in the book (early VP pick, alliance) to win. But when you throw that “Hail Mary” and the pass falls incomplete, the game is usually over.
How Trump can get shut out of Indiana but still get to 1,237
But here’s the thing: Even if Trump gets shut out in Indiana, he still has a viable path to 1,237. Trump is currently sitting at 991 delegates after Tuesday. Now consider the following contests:
Indiana: 0/57 Nebraska: 0/36 West Virginia: 34/34 Oregon: 14/28 Washington: 22/44 California: 120/172 Montana: 0/27 New Jersey: 51/51 New Mexico: 10/24 South Dakota: 0/29
So if you add up those numbers with Trump’s current delegate haul, you get 1,242 – five more delegates than the 1,237 he needs for a majority on the first ballot. Here’s the current delegate math:
Trump holds a 427-delegate lead over Cruz
(Excerpt) Read more at msnbc.com ...
There is another reason -- It's not to assist him in winning; it's to assist him in being a spoiler. This is what Virginia political science professor Larry Sabato had to say:
Twitter: Larry Sabato @LarrySabato The VP has to be an attack dog--but the ankle chomped is the other party's POTUS candidate, In this case, Trump's ankle is the target.
I guess Ted is trying the Ben Carson routine. He told a crowd today that Kssich has pulled out. He also told reporters that there is no alliance
He lies with ease of a BKC. Depends on what the meaning of is is
Picked her as a spoiler....
Guess what?? She will FAIL at that, too. Ms Snarly has more baggage than Imelda had shoes.
What ever that woman did to her eyes and cheeks is NOT attractive. She looks like a Bette Midler wannabe- all squinty like like. Or, the Madam puppet, with those new cheek *bones*.
Yes, Trump will have something like 1300 delegates and Cruz will still be talking about a 2nd ballot at the convention!
Manafort just said on msnbc that Trump was going to have the same kind of results in the remaining states as in last Tuesday!
Futile PMSNBC you Never Trump crowd. Stick a fork in you guys. You’re done roasTed.
Reading just the headline, I said to dear spouse “must be National Review” but upon opening, I see it’s MSNBC. Same difference. Except, MSNBC is more objective.
Five days left? I think that’s pretty generous given their goose is already cooked.
Many former Cruz supporters find themselves in a difficult position. Presently there is no place to go...
Excellent reality reply!
“This is no Hail Mary. You can still win the game with a Hail Mary.”
“This game is over. The crowd has left. The janitors are sweeping up. Yet Ted Cruz remains on the court, shootin’ rings.”
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