Fox News Poll: Trump holds huge lead in Pennsylvania, Clinton up over Sanders

Fox News ^ | April 10, 2016 | Dana Blanton

[Trump20162020]

Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton hold commanding leads in Pennsylvania, according to a new Fox News Poll.

Trump receives 48 percent among likely GOP primary voters in the Keystone State. That’s more than the combined support for John Kasich and Ted Cruz. Kasich is at 22 percent and Cruz gets 20 percent. Another 11 percent are undecided.

Just over half of men back Trump (53 percent), while the rest split between Kasich (20 percent) and Cruz (19 percent).

Women are a bit less enthusiastic about the front-runner: 42 percent support Trump, 25 percent Kasich and 20 percent Cruz.

[moehoward]

Indiana is important no doubt about it, but it’s after the NE states where Cruz will take a serious shellacking and any momentum from WI will be a distant memory.

So chances are good for Trump in IN, and he will get some from the other states other than NE.

[silverleaf]

So women are “ less enthusiastic” for Trumo
42% support him and 20% support Cruz
Yes sure sounds like Trump has a women problem and Ted should get those delegates

[Solson]

More women support Trump over Cruz. Stuff that in your narrative Cruzers.

[moehoward]

“42% support him and 20% support Cruz”

Lyin’Ted needs women to drop out so he can win.

[Whenifhow]

PING!!

Thanks, WildHighlander57

Thanks for those #’s trump20162020! Post # 29

Trump’s odds:
New York: 95% chance of Trump victory
Connecticut: 80% chance of Trump victory; Kasich 15%; Cruz 2%
Delaware: 83% chance of Trump victory; Cruz 11%; Kasich 6%
Maryland: 75% chance of Trump victory; Cruz 13%; Kasich 12%
Pennsylvania: 82% chance of Trump victory; Cruz 10%; Kasich 7%
Rhode Island: Trump 83% chance of victory; Kasich 11%; Cruz 6%

http://predictwise.com/politics/2016-president-primaries

[silverleaf]

Md is actually a pretty conservative- moderate state except for baltimore and a few counties

They will never support Cruz
Only if he is used by party oligarchs to vote against trump

Ha anyone else noted a lot of Cruz’s support is not for Cruz but is against Trump?

[Solson]

Do you think, for even one second, that when the American people realize the man they are voting overwhelmingly to support, could lose in a contested delegate game, they'll be happy about it??

You, like Cruz, don't give a damn about the voter. They will be furious.

[DouglasKC]

I know Trump was not expected to win WI, but the loss there was still a disappointment. It was apparent in Trump’s Twitter feed, which went from being buoyantly optimistic to being somewhat plaintive. I understand, it is hard to maintain the optimism after a loss—but it is also important to keep up the good front.

Wisconsin was actually pretty good news for Trump. He only lost because essentially the entire GOP establishment was strong there. Cruz had the resources of his campaign as well as that of Ryan and Walker. They spend millions of dollars on anti-Trump ads as well. Basically they put everything they had into it as well as likely cheating and Cruz still couldn't crack 50% and Trump held his core (for now) of 35% to 40% support.

[truth_seeker]

Cruz in 3rd like in NY, which can be tied in part at least, to his unforced error of “disrespect” via “New York Values” remarks.

[WMarshal]

Trumpkins are a bit math-challenged

Yeah, we kinda expect a one-man-one-vote thing. We haven't "evolved" like the Tedophiles. I find that a lot of California Republicans suffer from Stockholm Syndrome.

[Jane Long]

Thanks for the great Trump news ping, WH57!

[lodi90]

Their only other choice is unemployment.....The RNC buys the delegates in PA, not hires them.

---

I really don’t care who the delegates “support”.

He’s the deal: if Trump wins at the ballot box PA delegates will vote Trump on all convention ballot(s). If they do not it will be a rough November for PA GOPers. For starters, Toomey will be losing his Senate seat without the support of Trumpers.

The GOPe should think real hard before they push the MAD button. There is no good ending to the hysterical Never Trump campaign and it just needs to die.

[Nextrush]

I don’t hate anyone and have sent hundreds of dollars to help Ted Cruz, but my vote leans towards Trump here in PA.

Especially when the see the GOPe and GOPe front groups like National Right To Life line up behind Ted.

For better or worse even if he’s an agent of the Clinton’s, Trump has the GOPe crushed and bleeding.

They will never change their stripes and we’ll see what the future holds, a third party or something beyond politics.

[hoosiermama]

Interesting

Projected number of delegates with those victories????
YUUUUGE

[castlegreyskull]

Solson: I think there is a misunderstanding. I was saying that “tongue in cheek.” I want Trump to win, and I getting really angry about how he wins delegates that aren’t bounded to the popular candidate of a particular state.

If Trump lost the state due the decision of the voters of the state, I am complete fine with it; whether it is “winning” takes all or “proportional.” But I find what has happened in Colorado nothing short than political thievery. I am afraid it will happen in PA.

[hirn_man]

I think it’s actually that even though there is a primary in PA, the PA delegates are all unbound and don’t have to follow the winner on any ballot. (I could be mistaken)

So even if 80% of PA voters go for Trump the actual delegates can all vote for Cruz.

I think that would be disingenuous, but Cruz people will be perfectly OK with disenfranchising the Republicans in PA.

[Nextrush]

There is a popular vote in PA with the candidates on the ballot for 17 delegates.

There is a separate delegate election in each congressional district with names only. I have 15 names to choose from for the three slots in my district.

Its the old liberal Republican Establishment system where local party and elected officials names stand out on the list and usually win by virtue of name recognition.

Reagan couldn’t get more than 10 percent of the delegates in this system in 1976 and 1980.

Trump needs to tell his supporters by direct mail and other means who to vote for in each of the 18 districts.

The media has done some digging with Trump delegates coming out.

[Nextrush]

You might be right but I would guess 10-15 based on past patterns.

In one district (10th) the Trump delegate Ryan Belz is the first of the 15 candidates.

[Scott from the Left Coast]

Rather telling that the best opportunity for Cruz coming up is someplace where there are a lot of federal employees. Bedrock conservative that constituency is...perhaps they see that he’s just another Republican talking conservatism during the campaign but playing status quo politics for real.

[MaxistheBest]

FOX News 4/4 - 4/7 802 LV 3.5 48 20 22 Trump +26
Morning Call 4/1 - 4/6 360 LV 6.0 37 29 28 Trump +8
Quinnipiac 3/30 - 4/4 578 LV 4.1 39 30 24 Trump +9
CBS News/YouGov 3/29 - 4/1 729 LV 5.0 47 29 22 Trump +18

It seems in PA the larger the size of the poll, the larger Trump’s lead is. The numbers are solid.