Posted on 04/07/2016 6:10:31 AM PDT by Rockitz
Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX)’s overwhelming victory in Wisconsin on Tuesday makes it all but impossible for GOP frontrunner Donald Trump to win the 1,237 delegates he needs to secure the nomination ahead of the RNC convention in Cleveland.
Trump currently leads the GOP field with 743 delegates. He would need to win 58.9 percent of the remaining pledged delegates to obtain the simple majority necessary.
A number of the states remaining award delegates proportionally. The bulk of delegates in one critical upcoming state, Pennsylvania, aren’t officially bound to any candidate. The fight for California’s massive 172 delegates will be fought largely in each of the state’s 54 Congressional Districts.
As a result, Breitbart News estimates that Donald Trump will end the primary portion of the nomination fight with 1164 delegates, 74 short of the 1,237 delegates necessary to win the nomination on the first ballot. This estimate assumes Trump’s performance in upcoming contests is consistent with the results prior to Wisconsin.
In other words, it is a static estimate, assuming no great change in the trajectory, tone, or focus of the campaigns. It isn’t based on any future missteps, like those experienced by the Trump campaign ahead of the Wisconsin primary. Our assumption is, in many respects, the most optimistic for the Trump campaign. Because of this, it underscores the steep challenge Donald Trump faces heading into the 4th Quarter of the primary season.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
It won’t be the frontrunners fault if the party awards the Nomination to the runner-up. It will be a ruin of their own making.
The standard modus operandi of all reality TV shows. Survivor, The Apprentice, the Great Race, bad mouth the competition, screw everybody over, cheat, connive whatever you need to win. That is the Trump philosophy, run the campaign as a reality show. But at least he is staying true to form. My NYC neighbors telling me he has spent his whole life bullying and suing anybody who challenges him or disagrees with him.
It could be a challenge, but after a certain point it could well fail or backfire. You can’t demand and refuse chivalry in the same breath.
I do not believe Mittens reached 1237 either... seems to me that he got nominated anyway... maybe I slept through that whole “contested “ part...
Using the Lincoln analogy is laughable. He was the first nominee of the new party and this was over 150 years ago. They didn't have a primary process.
The majority of Rep voters in the primary expect the candidate who received the most delegates, the most states won, and the most votes received--by far--to be the nominee. Otherwise why go thru the grind of the process?
You cite the rules, but the rules can be changed at will. We will see what happens with Rule 40. The rules say that anyone can receive the nomination even someone who never went thru the proccess.
Whatever else this election demonstrates, the anger of the voter at the political class who ignore their views and do the bidding of special interests is THE issue. Do you think that the 37% of the voters who voted for Trump will accept someone other than the front-runner being the nominee? Trump's voters are the most enthusiastic and motivated during the primaries. Turnout records are being set due to Trump being in the race. He has set the issue agenda with immigration and trade. He is the only true outsider left.
The GOPe can hide behind the "rules" to deny Trump the nomination, but they will suffer a devastating loss at the ballot box if Trump is not the nominee. More than likely, they don't care as long as they can take care of their corporate paymasters. The GOP is a dying party and 2016 will mark the year of their demise.
His “whole life.” Sure. Except of course for the 99.99% of it spent doing constructive things.
That is simply your opinion stated as fact. Ted Cruz, whether you like him or not does very well in national polls against Hillary. If Trump does not get the amount of delegates needed for the nomination, the rules are clear. Its not that Trump lost, is that he didn’t win. The same thing holds for Cruz.Trump has not once that I know of broken 50 percent in any primary / caucus. Your argument is based off of feelings and biased...
We don’t know the “rules” of the convention as yet.
Will they keep the eight state minimum?
will they require first ballots stay committed to winners even if delegates are unbound?
Will they allow for plurality?
this story is just “we are DOOOOOOOOOMED!!!!” fodder.
If neither Trump nor Cruz get the nomination, is that “fair and square’?
which states will cruz win that Romney lost? Mccain?
I don’t see thousands and thousands over and over at cruz ralies. I don’t see lines.
I don’t even see protesters bother with cruz.
LOLOLOL....like this is going to happen. Trump has no idea about issues. Cruz would stomp him into the ground like the no nothing he is.
Axtually, the GOPe MIGHT allow Cruz to have it, since he and his wife will be CFR co-ops. The CFR is the right hand of the globalist oligarchs, so Ted and Heidi are suitable tot he GOPe.
“Bottom line is that if Trump does lose this nomination, the guy to blame will be the one staring back at him in the mirror. He will have blown it all on his own. “
Exactly!
At least Cruz is better than anyone any Democrat would appoint.
——LOLOLOL....like this is going to happen. Trump has no idea about issues. Cruz would stomp him into the ground like the no nothing he is.
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I’d take the original platoon sgt I had in 1965 over any of these rascals, and I’m certain he would not meet anyone’s standards of debate, but sure as sh*t he’d get the job done!
These polls are meant to influence the Rep choice of a nominee. They are meaningless. Reagan trailed Carter by 20 points at this stage of the process. The polls showed McCain to be the strongest GOP candidate. Until both parties have a nominee and each sets its sights on the other, you can take these polls with a grain of salt.
The polls show that Bernie is a stronger candidate against all the Reps than Hillary. Bernie beats Cruz easily. For some reason, the Dems don't seem to care with Hillary being the front-runner and well on her way to the nomination despite this manufactured drama.
The GOP rules are clear that anyone can be the nominee if it goes to the convention. As Preibus said, Kasich is a possibility. So someone who will have won only one state or someone else who didn't even participate in the process can be the nominee. So whether you like it or not, Cruz won't be the nominee of the party either. Those are the rules. You OK with that?
Cruz trounced Trump in Wisconsin without the huge rally crowds. Your point is?
Trump supporters have lots of energy and enthusiasm, but you don’t have the numbers overall. If Trump is the candidate that a lot of FREEPers think he is, why does he have the highest negatives in the last 30 plus years? Trump also energizes the opposition, hence the protesters.
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