*LIVE 3/8/16 GOP Primary Thread (MI, MS, ID, HI)*

self | 3/8/16 | tatown

[tatown]

Hawaii · 19 delegates Last poll closes at 11:00 PM CT

Idaho · 32 delegates Last poll closes at 10:00 PM CT

Michigan · 59 delegates Last poll closes at 8:00 PM CT

Mississippi · 40 delegates Last poll closes at 7:00 PM CT

[Sacajaweau]

btt

[VanDeKoik]

Just voted in my ultra leftist Grand Rapids district. I really don’t enjoy the process of being so public that the primary entails though. I have to still live here. :^|

Not many people at all. Took more time to psych myself up than to go and do it.

The people there look to be a mix of Sanders and Clinton types for sure.

I was voter #135. Thankfully I avoided the rush it seems.

+1 for Trump. I can finally relax. Too early for a drink though.

[Baldwin77]

Let’s roll !!

[McGruff]

Prediction markets give John Kasich better odds than Marco Rubio to win GOP nomination - MarketWatch

Ouch!

[Bailee]

I agree with your states.

What will interest me is the margins they win by.

Trump appears to be taking some damage with the endless attacks. Plus he has fumbled a few issues.

Better now than in the General

Tonight margins will be interesting.

IMHO

[grania]

In Michigan, you’ve had Cruz and Kasich going for the same anti-Trump vote. I don’t think anyone can figure out this Chess game, but let me try this idea for a possibility: Kasich and Cruz split the vote that Trump doesn’t get. Trump would prevail in that scenario.

[manc]

nothing t do with Cruz winning in ME or Trump losing.

When 12% of precincts report in and then nothing for over an hour and then the establishment comes out with the final results and who won then are you seriously trying to say that is not fishy?
Are you saying you have ever seen that before?

Asking for proof is what liberals do when it comes to fraud.

[manc]

If cruz comes third again in this and then third in FL another swing state then third in OH another swing state then it surely tells even the most ardent voter for cruz that their guy could never win these states against Clinton.

Still judging on here a couple of them they will never admit they lost in another 10 years and think the race is still on.

[grania]

Prediction markets give John Kasich better odds than Marco Rubio to win the nomination

Dear Cruz supporters: I TOLD YOU SO!! All along, their strategy was to ignore Kasich because he was irrelevant. I kept cyber-screaming that he is a very effective, focused campaigner when he gets going. He's very good at exploiting the weakness in opponents. We're seeing his ads in OH, and they're real good. I'd be surprised if they don't bring in some Michigan voters.

I can imagine a scenario where Kasich's delegates matter.

[Beagle8U]

Cruz has more support in MI than some here think.

There are a ton of sportsmen in MI, and a ton of gun owners.

GOA (Gun Owners of America) was making robo-calls yesterday in support of Ted Cruz in MI.

[mtrott]

Yeah, in MI, Trump may win with ~34% or so! With Cruz and Kasich around 28%, and Rubio around 10%.

In MS, I’m hoping for a Cruz late tsunami from both Rubio’s collapse and yesterday’s Governor Bryant endorsement.

Idaho, I have no idea.

[TornadoAlley3]

Poor Little Marco

[grania]

The wild card is that really dumb early voting. A lot of folks who had decided not to vote for Trump have already wasted their votes on someone who is not viable, some not even in the race. While that was happening, I’d assume that a good percentage of those early voters are with Trump.

[rrrod]

Let’s see...gun on table, snacks, more ammo and cold drinks...yep Im all set.

[Dr. Sivana]

Prediction markets give John Kasich better odds than Marco Rubio to win the nomination

Dear Cruz supporters: I TOLD YOU SO!! All along, their strategy was to ignore Kasich because he was irrelevant.

Saying Kasich's odds are better than Rubio's is kind of like saying the Cleveland Browns odds are better than the Detroit Lions. Technically true, but inconsequential.

There's gonna be an Establishment candidate. It will be either Rubio or Kasich. Both in splits the Establishment vote. Cruz has good, but limited resources, and he doesn't do as well in the northeast, where Kasich is strong. When Kasich gets stronger, it is at the expense of Rubio, not Cruz or Trump.

My Pre-Calculus/Trigonometry teacher in high school was a wise Turkish man, Dr. Ararat. He likened fighting variables with secret agent. The Secret Agent (James Bond, John Drake) wins fights when it is one on one, but not two on one or three on one. Same with variables in higher math, same with presidential races. Trump himself focuses his eye of Sauron on only one candidate at a time. Right now it is Rubio. He also mostly ignores Kasich. It's good strategy.

[TomGuy]

The islands seem to like Rubio. He won Puerto Rico. FoxNews says he is ahead in Hawaii.

==

[Maine Mariner]

You will have a very long wait. I attended the Republican caucus in Hancock County, Maine. During registration, my address and Republican party affiliation were verified. I was given a card that entitled me to vote which I did. In Maine, the caucus vote was done on paper ballots and put in a ballot box. I saw NO evidence of fraud. For full disclosure, I am a Trump supporter and voted for him proudly!

[Beagle8U]

Kasich won’t win his own state, much less MI!

[grania]

Ignoring Kasich IS NOT good strategy. As I've said, he's an effective campaigner. I always wondered if Kasich was "plan B" for the puppetmasters. By being invisible for so long, nobody is aware of just how much of a Democrat and deep-pockets slave he is.

On the other hand, in this crazy year, could Trump choose him as VP and put together a majority? Kasich says he wouldn't be VP, but he's a long-term strategist. It might not be a bad idea, actually. He isn't evil or corrupt, just typical.

[Maine Mariner]

First, the times of the county caucuses were staggered.
Second, the ballots were taken from the caucus site in each county to Republican headquarters in Augusta where the ballots were counted. Some of the sites are two hours or more from Augusta.