Polls Were Horribly Exaggerating Trump Leads.

Various Poll Publications, including RCP and HPP | Dangus

[dangus]

Just a sampling of how bad polls were lately. Incredible. Cruz typically outperformed polls by 6 to 20 points.

OKLAHOMA
Actual Results: Cruz 34, Trump 28, Rubio 26. (Cruz +6 over Trump)
Sooner/News 9: Trump 34, Rubio 21, Cruz 18 (Trump +16 over Cruz. Off by 22)
Survey Monkey: Trump 34, Rubio 19, Cruz 19 (Off by 21)
Monmouth: Trump 35, Cruz 23, Rubio 22 (Off by 18)
The Oklahoman: Trump 29, Rubio 21, Cruz 20 (Off by 15)

TEXAS
Actual Results: Cruz 44, Trump 27 (Cruz +17 over Trump)
Survey Monkey: Cruz 33, Trump 31 (Cruz +2 over Trump. Off by 15)
ARG: Cruz 33, Trump 32 (Off by 16)
Emerson: Cruz 35, Trump 32 (Off by 14)

ARKANSAS
Actual Results: Trump 33, Cruz 31 (Trump +2 over Cruz)
Survey Monkey: Trump 34, Cruz 27 (Trump +7 over Cruz. Off by 5)

VIRGINIA
Actual Results: Trump 35, Rubio 32 (Trump +3 over Rubio)
Survey Monkey: Trump 36, Rubio 26 (Trump + 10 over Rubio. Off by 7)
CBS: Trump 40, Rubio 27 (Off by 10)
Monmouth: Trump 41, Rubio 27 (Off by 11)
Roanoke: Trump 38, Rubio 13 (Off by 22)

MINNESOTA
Actual Results: Rubio 37, Cruz 29, Trump 21 (Rubio +16 over Trump)
Mason-Dixon/Star Tribune: Rubio 23, Cruz 21, Trump 18 (Rubio +5 over Trump. Off by 11)

TENNESSEE
Actual Results: Trump 39, Cruz 25 (Trump +14 over Cruz.)
Survey Monkey: Trump 48, Rubio 18, Cruz 15 (Trump +30 over Rubio, +33 over Cruz. Off by 19)

ALASKA
Actual Results: Cruz 36, Trump 34 (Cruz +2 over Trump)
Ivan Moore (R): Trump 28, Cruz 24 (Trump +4 over Cruz. Off by 6)

[dangus]

Trump gets shellacked in general-election polls. CNN said he should lose to Clinton by 8, whereas Cruz (or Rubio) would win. Trump fans say, "Just you wait to see the turnout he brings! He'll bring out black voters! He'll bring out young people!" But if black people won't vote for him in the primary, why would they vote for him in the general election when doing so means going against the people they ALWAYS want to vote for?

I support Cruz because I like his issues, and Trump has a 30-year-long history of conning everyone he's ever worked with. I'd love the opportunity to proven wrong about Trump, though. But so many people simply respond "WINNER!!!!" when they are pressed why Trump is better. The ugly truth is conservatives are about to kick away their best chance to govern ever... even better than the Reagan years... and they're about to kick it away by nominating someone most of America hates and is terrified of.

[Sam Gamgee]

Thing is Cruz’s wife is Goldman Sachs. So how can we be sure of his commitment to never do another bail out?

[fwdude]

Polls lied, people died.

[jospehm20]

So Trump wins 7 out of 11 and he got shellacked? I will wager that Cruz or Rubio would love to get shellacked like that.

[stocksthatgoup]

It’s a good thing nominations don’t count. When the GOPe wants your opinion it will give it to you.

[MNJohnnie]

Haa RIGHT, IGNORE the actual votes/

Tell you want Cruz Yrsm . Win someone where other then Cruz’s home town or by more then skin of the teeth margins and we will listen. Until then don’t waste our time with these absurdists fantazies.

[CA Conservative]

Thing is Cruz’s wife is Goldman Sachs. So how can we be sure of his commitment to never do another bail out?

You do know that Trump was a big fan of the stimulus and bail-out, right?

[Fai Mao]

Polls measure support not turnout.

Perhaps some Trump supporters did not vote.

That term, “ground game” comes to mind.

[HiTech RedNeck]

We’ll see.

[dforest]

Trump won in a blow out. Cruz peaked because after those wins, he is toast! he has nowhere to break out.

[Viennacon]

Hello George Will

For crying out loud this is pathetic. Cruz doesn’t have a path to the nomination. None. He could force a brokered convention with little Marco, and if he does, Hillary wins by default.

Cruz would be crushed by Clinton in a general. The guy cannot even win the Bible Belt! what the hell is wrong with you? Cruz is supposed to be the evangelical candidate and got swatted in Alabama, South Carolina, Georgia, and Tennesee. Just to put this in context: This would be like if Romney lost New Hampshire to Rick Santorum and you said “he could beat Obama!”

[HarleyLady27]

#President Trump!!!

[Sam Gamgee]

I do. Which is why I am not excited by either of them.

[mabelkitty]

I’m not voting for anybody aligned with the Glenn Beck.
Absolutely not.

[for-q-clinton]

Good analysis, but trump supporters won’t believe it.

[dangus]

His wife is a mid-level foreign investment manager. How would that bias him? He’d bail out Goldman-Sachs to keep her job? They’d slip an entirely illegal huge departing bonus? You really think she’s going to commute from DC to Houston while being a first lady?

Contrarily, Trump owes billions to Deutchebank (the people who finance the 99% movement, and who bankrupted the hatefully named “PIIGS”), JP Morgan, etc. If Trump doesn’t dance to their tune, they could destroy him financially; you do NOT want a $500-million loan called in.

So who’s indebted to banks?

Also, just how is Trump going to pay for the general election? That could cost a billion dollars, and he has made no motion liquidate the necessary assets.

[NoDRodee]

Media is trying to push Trump because they know they will destroy him in the general. They don’t want Cruz because they know he will destroy them

[for-q-clinton]

I’m not voting for anyone aligned with Hillary.

[Sam Gamgee]

Just the mindset of a person working for one of the most sinister corporations in American history could mean she whispers in his ear for another bail out.

[HiTech RedNeck]

This is very shallow looking. Everybody and his uncle was doing polling, so some cherry picked polls prove just what? Someone’s secret sauce was sour?