Posted on 02/20/2016 9:21:50 PM PST by smoothsailing
February 20, 2016
by sundance
In August of 2015, against considerable backlash, we stood firm on a fundamental position that Senator Ted Cruz did not have a pathway, a roadmap, to victory in the 2016 GOP presidential primary.
Despite the fundamentally sound reasoning for our prediction, which was entirely based on congressional district by district analytics, our position drew an immense amount of criticism and even a quick response from the Cruz campaign itself (Brian Phillips).
Unfortunately, tonight’s South Carolina results vindicate a massive amount of historical research. There simply is no pathway to victory when you rely almost exclusively on “proselytizing as an electoral strategy“:
(link)
It’s not personal, it is simply a factual reality. The Ted Cruz Road Map is non-existent; and beyond the SEC primary states there is little to no organization at all. Nothing in the state of Florida. The campaign is NOT what most people have been led to believe it is.
We strongly urge people to do their own research and to connect their own dots. The campaign will NOT stop sending you donation requests, that much is certain.
Cruz is toast. If he can’t win in the south, he can’t win anywhere.
He needs to cut a deal for SCOTUS and endorse Trump.
I think that’s unfortunate. He’s the best one of the bunch to bring back the Presidency to what it should be.
He’d make an excellent choice to replace Scalia though.
It sure looks that way. How sad...he’s the only candidate that truly believes in the constitution, federalism, fiscal sanity, and true conservative principles.
SC was a state tailor-made for Cruz with an overwhelmingly evangelical conservative electorate.
All he had to show for it tonight was a humiliating tie with establishment favorite Marco Rubio.
Not a pathway to SEC on March 1st - and Trump should do a clean sweep there.
“the obvious GOPe VP choice with Rubio”
Maybe, they are absolutely cut from the same cloth.
Now THAT’S an ass-kicking!
Go Trump.
Ted Cruz was never going to win the GOP nomination. He is just too conservative for the average GOP voter. Couple that with the alleged dirty trix and its just not working out. Trump is getting blamed for Cruz’s poor performance but truthfully if Trump was not running Jeb and Rubio would be leading and Ted would still be likely a distant third.
SC was a must do in my opinion because if he can’t win SC then what state is he going to win. The SEC isn’t that different from SC. Southern states are southern states. I think we are going to watch Cruz do the long goodbye going forward. Or if he runs out of money the short goodbye.
Secret Army is heading towards http://www.tedcruzforamerica.com/
If he can't win SC, he'll p[probably not win Texas or OK or TN or AL or GA either.
And, at some point he HAS to win one that counts. Otherwise he's just wasting somebody else's money and time.
Listening to Ted talk tonight, you would think he had won. LOL The good news is, 226 years of precedent isn’t going to be undone.
Stick a fork in it.
All S. Carolina delegates go to TRUMP!
South Carolina awards 50 delegates tonight.
29 delegates are awarded to the winner of the statewide vote (Winner-take-all).
21 delegates are awarded to the winners of each congressional district (3 delegates per district).
3 for each congressional district, plus bonus for winning the state.
Trump has taken a clean sweep.
http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/SC-R
“SC was a must do in my opinion because if he canât win SC then what state is he going to win. “
Exactly what every CNN panelist said. SC is taylor made for Cruz and they put in the money and effort to come up with nada.
Iowa was peak Cruz. Slipping ever since.
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