Posted on 02/08/2016 11:10:20 AM PST by GonzoII
MANCHESTER, N.H. (WHDH) - This time tomorrow, some of the voting places in New Hampshire will already be open. And our final tracking poll gives us a last look at where the candidates stand right now.
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The Republicans are the big story...Because we know who's on top, but that's about all we know. The Democratic race is much easier to predict:
Bernie Sanders is now beating Hillary Clinton by 16 points- 56% to 40%, after he lost a point overnight, and she kept what she had.
Undecided is up to 4%, an increase of two points since yesterday.
Related: Sanders returns to N.H., Clinton heads to Michigan in final days of campaigning
The tracking poll shows Sanders is too far ahead of Clinton for her to catch him by Tuesday.
All she can do now is try to cut the margin her loss..
But the Republican race is more complicated, and the outcome is a mystery.
Donald Trump stays in the top spot, with 34%, after dropping two points overnight..
Related: Trump seeks to reverse fortunes in New Hampshire
Then, a tie for second--at 13%--after Marco Rubio lost a point, and there was no change in Ted Cruz's support.
John Kasich and Jeb Bush also are now tied, at 10%. Kasich gained one point...While Bush held steady.
(Excerpt) Read more at whdh.com ...
We are going to have to because according to RCP overage of head to head matchups Trump loses to both Hitlary and Sanders. And then there is this:
http://www.gallup.com/opinion/polling-matters/188936/trump-negative-image.aspx
No NO, Ted Cruz is suspending his campaign.
Watch Jeb, he may be comeback kid.
Trump’s turnout machine is weak.
Cruz’s turnout machine is strong.
Rubio is losing steam.
Christie is rising.
I doubt the Bush / Kasich numbers a bit.
Therefore, my prediction (which will hopefully be closer than my Iowa missed forecast!):
Trump: 33%
Cruz: 18%
Christie: 12%
Rubio: 11%
Bush: 9%
Kasich: 8%
Carson: 6%
Fiorina: 3%
Cruz was behind in Iowa.
Upset...as in winning NH primary?
Since polling for a normal primary is much more accurate than for caucus, I would think Trump's lead is unsurmountable...even for Canuck Teddy. Perhaps the Canuckster is importing some voters from Calgary?
I’m wondering if Democrats will cross over and vote for Cruz because they, mistakenly, think he would be easier to beat in November.
Actually I think it was Rubio and Cruz. Not an outright endorsement but close.
Of course he was all in for Trump last week, read that right here on Free Republic.
If I were CRUZ I would be saying “Bush and Kasich are obviously not electable and will be out after super tuesday. We had heard that Carson was going to be out by now, but he’s still hanging on by life support. We expect him to be out before super Tuesday. I’m the candidate who can beat Hillary. Don’t waste your vote on one of those guys who will be dropping out.” Is that dirty politics?
The one we have now reads about it in the paper or from the ABCDE networks.
But...but Cruz is not a politician {snark}
Polls are designed to get us to accept the fraud they are going to impose on us, nothing more.
Certainly he’s a politician. That’s a no brainer. He’s a conservative politician.
Switched documented here.
Anecdotal evidence has emerged that some voters who had intended to back Carson changed their minds after hearing the news. And perhaps more significantly, a pile-on by Cruz’s opponents has kept the pressure on the Texas senator’s campaign.
In at least one case, the misinformation left its mark. Waterloo resident Becky Smith said she stepped into the George Washington Carver Academy to cast her first-ever vote in the Iowa caucuses for Carson. She registered onsite as a Republican, switching her affiliation as an independent, so she could cast her ballot. But a man helping distribute ballots - she didn’t know his name or campaign affiliation - said he had just heard that Carson was “suspending his campaign.”
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3393635/posts
Bush will be no less than 3rd. Bush Political machinery in New Hampshire is strong. New Hampshire State Republican Party has assured everyone that Trump will not win N.H., but will probably settle for a stronger than expected Bush finish.
Trump does not have a poll watcher system set up, because things are more corrupt than even he knows.
Hopefully, we will be aided by the Democrat poll watchers, they always send multiple election attorneys, but don’t hold your breath...
It will all happen at the precinct to county tabulation. unfamiliar with their polling apparatus. It would be surprising if the mail ins go against the Repub. establishment in N.H.
“What kind of leader does not know what his people are doing? Do we really want another POTUS who’s only source of information is the newspaper? “
Are you talking about Donald trump? Because he is a CEO who delegates jobs, he has too. It isn’t like he is te one pouring concrete.
But oh, i see, charges of impurity are only good against Cruz. Not against Trump, or even Carson who had a staffer blabbing about his leaving the campaign trail.
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