Posted on 12/10/2015 1:28:12 PM PST by Amntn
Republican officials and leading figures in the party's establishment are now preparing for the possibility of a brokered convention as Donald Trump continues sit atop the polls and the presidential race.
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
How does a brokered convention work? If Cruz wins Iowa and
Trump wins all the rest, what are they brokering?
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You have to win a majority of the delegates on the first ballot.
If not then it becomes a brokered convention and delegates are released.
And the barganing begins......
Delegates to the convention: 2,470
Delegates needed to win the nomination (50%+1): 1,236
EXCLUSIVE: TIME Guide to Official 2016 Republican Nomination Calendar
Many states award proportional delegates. Which means if a candidate wins say 40% of vote in the state, he gets only 40% of delegates, not all delegates.
So it is conceivable Trump could win 49 states and still not go over 50% of delegates. To complicate matters more, there are so called super delegates, which are party bigwigs, who are additional delegates on top of state delegates.
Re: Post 40.
As I recall (a slippery slope for sure) any candidate can release his delegates to vote for someone else. That’s what actually happens. In this case Cruz throws his support to Trump or vice versa. Not all delegates go along but I believe most would.
Does anybody believe that Trump or Cruz delegates will switch to Rubio or Bush? Not me.
But I am no expert on how the individual delegates are actually chosen. The GOPe might try to mess with that process.
A brokered convention is a situation in United States politics in which there are not enough delegates won during the presidential primary and caucus elections for a single candidate to have a pre-existing majority, during the first official vote for a political party's presidential candidate at its nominating convention.
We haven't even had the primaries yet, the people haven't even voted yet and here are the GOPE and the RINO base trying to save their ‘gravy train’ and they don't care about you, or me or anyone else, and especially America and Her Citizens...
Tells you how much they really care about us huh?
that’s what my husband says. He says it is all part of the grand scheme of things.
The Party always holds some votes above and beyond the state delegations. Remember how in 2008 Hillary won the primary states but Obama won the caucus states? Neither reached the nominating threshold, so the candidates fought for the so-called "super-delegates," party insiders who also get votes. The super-delegates threw their votes to Obama, which is why the Clintons rightly say that the party turned against them the first chance they got.
If I recall, Republicans were not so heavily weighted with their own super-delegates, at least not back then. They are hoping to prevent Trump from reaching the nominating threshold by changing their rules to convert some winner-take-all states to proportional delegations in order to reduce Trump's delegate count. That's why the 1%-3% candidates are staying in the race, because even that amount will steal a few delegates here and there from Trump. If they can keep Trump under the limit, then the GOP super-delegates can throw the nomination to someone else.
Sundance at Conservative Treehouse laid it out nicely a few months ago here (warning: there is math involved).
-PJ
Why vote for Republicans that do nothing to advance a conservative agenda.... I am not a Republican I am a Conservative, if the left had any integrity at all they would denounce Hillary and rally behind Bernie Sanders but they are all lockstep with the Debbie Blabbermouth Shultz DNC.... I am not a slave to politicians, I am an American this country is governed with my consent.....
My worry about a third party run would be that more states would enact sore loser laws that would keep him off the ballot. You know Ohio would if Kasich had anything to do with it.
He would have to depend on people writing him in in those states.
Some states already have them and it’s probably too late to get on most primary ballots as a third party.
I too had never considered going “Third Party”, because I actually don’t think the Country can survive Hillary, after enduring Hussein, but if the GOP-e tries to force THEIR BOY, whether Yeb or someone similar, down our throats, I doubt that their candidate will win anyway, so I’d go “Third Party”.
We're on the cusp of doing just that.
And the RNC is threatening to go 3rd Party!! hehe
The GOP is dead no matter what it does.
Something smells...really really bad......backroom deals, you name it...I smell it.
Brace for a civil war.
If the GOP does anything to change the rules, stack the deck or undercut a legitimate Trump or Cruz primary victory, then I am looking for a new party. A party needs to stand for something, or it is no longer a party. It just becomes a random collection of names without purpose.
Yep. The two seem to have won the electorate so far. Not PC but also they stand their ground.
They DON’T seem to be liars like Obama....he pretended to be moderate. Even Juan McInsane said we had nothing to fear from having Hussein seize power. Of course, not everyone was fooled.
What would be the excuse?
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Their excuse will be that Trump can’t beat Hillary.
If fact, they have already started it.
Listen to all the other candidates and media start pushing this line.
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