GOP preparing for contested convention

The Washington Post ^ | 12/10/15 | Robert Costa, Tom Hamburger

[Amntn]

Republican officials and leading figures in the party's establishment are now preparing for the possibility of a brokered convention as Donald Trump continues sit atop the polls and the presidential race.

[V K Lee]

Praying you are correct on that.

GOD BLESS AMERICA

[Amntn]

If no one meets the standard for a first ballot win, they start trying to change the delegates minds on whom to vote for.

They can buy votes, intimidate, or any other thing they can come up with.

They can try to make a deal with the candidate like with Reagan by insisting he name GHW his running mate.

At some point they can enter another name for consideration including someone who has not even run in the priamary (Mitt or Daniels).

[TexasFreeper2009]

delegates needed to win nomination 1236
winner take all states: pledged delegates
south carolina 50
Florida 99
illinois 69
missouri 49
ohio 66
arizona 58
wisconsin 42
delaware 16
maryland 38
pennsylvania 71
indiana 54
nebraska 36
california 169
montana 27
new jersey 51
south dakota 26

Proportional states with 20% threshold
Georgia 76
Texas 152
Vermont 13
Tennessee 55
Louisiana 43
Puerto Rico 23
Idaho 32
New York 92
Washington 41

Total delegates Trump guaranteed 1448
Total needed to win 1236

I am not sure how a brokered convention happens.

[dragnet2]

Not quite, not this time. This election doesn’t fall under the, “Always happens, business as usual” scenario. Cruz might get the prize in Iowa because the MO of that place is weird and often corrupted to the core. Watch what follows after that.

[Amntn]

I honestly think they will try this if either Trump or Cruz is the nominee.

[cuban leaf]

Again, I’m a Cruz guy, but people don’t realize that trump is not conservative. If he gets the nomination he will win the presidency in a landslide. A LOT of dems and independents like him.

[laplata]

Brokered convention? Lol. I smell a Romney campaign!

---

Well, Trump endorsed Romney.

[lodi90]

Which is why Trump needs to remain in the race, even if Cruz catches him. The two together need to have enough support to prevent a GOPe overthrow. I am pretty comfortable in believing if it comes down to it, these two candidates would support the other at the convention.

---

Why would you believe that? Cruz is a career politician married to a Goldman Sachs banker. He knows who butters his bread. I’ll buy you a clue. It isn’t us.

[RightLady]

Very little mention of Cruz. The media and the GOPe will have a sh!t fit if Cruz were to win. They don’t dare not support him. If they do, we may well see a third party And Cruz is my man. Remember The Goldwater disaster. The GOP defeated him. We got LBJ, the War on Poverty, transfer of our Social Security money to pay for it. The majority of the country HATES her. It will be the end of the GOP. And possibly the end of the USA . Better worry about a third world country, rather than a third political party

[DestroyLiberalism]

I absolutely LOVE seeing all the growing vitriol across the Fruited Plain being leveled at all these leftist a-holes! It’s simply NOT possible to be too hard on them!

[Thibodeaux]

possible doesn’t matter

writing crap to earn your daily bread is the force at work in this article

drivel pays as well as wisdom among the presstitutes

[TomGuy]

I started the chart below to keep a running total of accumulated delegates by state primary:

2016 Republican Primary dates and delegate counts
Date	State/	Calculated	Type	Cumulative Total
[110]	territory	delegates	[113]	1305 to Win
[111]		[112]	[b]	(includes bonus delegates)
		[a]
February 1, 2016	Iowa	30	Closed caucus	30
February 9, 2016	New Hampshire	23	Modified primary	53
February 20, 2016	South Carolina	50	Open primary	103
February 23, 2016	Nevada	30	Closed caucus	133
March 1, 2016	Alabama	50	Open primary	183
	Alaska	28	Closed caucus	211
	Arkansas	40	Open primary	251
	Georgia	76	Modified primary	327
	Massachusetts	42	Modified primary	369
	Minnesota	38	Open caucus	407
	Oklahoma	43	Closed primary	450
	Tennessee	58	Open primary	508
	Texas	155	Open primary	663
	Vermont	16	Open primary	679
	Virginia	49	Open primary	728
	Wyoming	29	Closed caucus	757
March 5, 2016	Maine	23	Closed caucus	780
	Kansas	40	Closed caucus	820
	Kentucky	45	Closed caucus	865
	Louisiana	46	Closed primary	911
March 8, 2016	Hawaii	19	Closed caucus	930
	Idaho	32	Closed primary	962
	Mississippi	39	Open primary	1001
	Michigan	59	Closed primary	1060
March 12, 2016	District of Columbia	19	Closed caucus	1079
	Guam	9	Closed caucus	1088
March 13, 2016	Puerto Rico	23	Open primary	1111
March 15, 2016	Ohio	66	Modified primary	1177
	Florida	99	Closed primary	1276
	Illinois	69	Open primary	1345
	Missouri	52	Modified caucus	1397
	North Carolina	72	Modified primary	1469
March 22, 2016	Arizona	58	Closed primary	1527
	Utah	40	Modified primary	1567
April 5, 2016	Wisconsin	42	Open primary	1609
April 19, 2016	New York	95	Closed primary	1704
April 26, 2016	Connecticut	28	Closed primary	1732
	Delaware	16	Closed primary	1748
	Maryland	38	Closed primary	1786
	Pennsylvania	71	Closed primary	1857
	Rhode Island	19	Modified primary	1876
May 3, 2016	Indiana	57	Open primary	1933
May 10, 2016	Nebraska	36	Semi-closed primary	1969
	West Virginia	34	Modified primary	2003
May 17, 2016	Oregon	28	Closed primary	2031
May 24, 2016	Washington	44	Closed primary	2075
June 7, 2016	California	172	Closed primary	2247
	Montana	27	Closed caucus	2274
	New Jersey	51	Modified primary	2325
	New Mexico	24	Closed primary	2349
	South Dakota	29	Closed primary	2378
TBA	North Dakota	28	Closed caucus
TBA	Colorado	37	Closed caucus
TBA	American Samoa	9	Open caucus
TBA	Northern Marianas	9	Closed caucus
TBA	Virgin Islands	9	Closed caucus

==

It could all be over after the March 15 primaries.

[Amntn]

Rush and Hannity talked about this earlier today and said the excuse by the GOPe would be that Trump would lose to Hillary.

Check what the other candidates and the headlines are saying today.

[Buckeye McFrog]

Popcorn!

Ammo. If Trump wins the nomination fair and square, and the elite weasels try and yank it away from him the Revolution will be ON!!!

[dp0622]

wow. i am an IDIOT for voting for them all these years.

some FReepers have gotten angry that I regret voting for them.

But I dont care that they have held obama back on some “bad things”.

who gives a @#$@#$.

Let the dam break instead of plugging the holes if that’s what it takes.

I will vote for Trump. I hope he is on the conservative ticket, as Cruz should be.

I DONT CARE if republicans lose the house and senate, I am voting conservative,

Got NEWS for ya folks, we’re ALREADY @#$@#$3ed!!!

20 trillion in debt. No national presence. A traitor letting in terrorists.

We need a Trump revolution.

I can’t believe i’m saying this about the Donald Trump i knew a year ago and my whole life in NYC.

strange times indeed.

[Buckeye McFrog]

Well, Trump endorsed Romney.

Just proves that Trump is WAAAAY more loyal to the Republican Party than they are EVER going to be to him.

[TexasFreeper2009]

Just in case people dont understand what a proportional state is that has a threshold, such as the ones that I listed that have a 20% threshold.

No candidate that gets less than 20% of the vote gets ANY delegates

So if Trump gets more than 20% and no one else gets above 20% in a 20% threshold state. Trump gets ALL the delegates just as if it were a winner take all state.

[Amntn]

As I recall (a slippery slope for sure) any candidate can release his delegates to vote for someone else. That’s what actually happens. In this case Cruz throws his support to Trump or vice versa. Not all delegates go along but I believe most would.
___________________________________________________________

But the bargaining consists of buying off/intimidation and who knows what else they would come up with. blackmail maybe?

[stanne]

Preparing for?

They’ve been contesting their base, disrespecting our awareness, and attacking conservatives and Trump and anyone else that tries to get this country running the way it’s supposed to since Poppy Bush slammed Reagan in the primaries.

[Dacula]

Depending on how things go... I am contemplating voting in the Democrat primary.