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Betting and Prediction markets say Rubio most likely GOP nominee
American Thinker ^ | 10/24/2015 | Ed Straker

Posted on 10/24/2015 4:37:00 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

Betting and prediction markets say that Marco Rubio is most likely to be the Republican nominee.  There.  Now how much are you willing to put down on Marco's candicacy?  I personally will have to look into some of these markets to see if there is a way to short them.

It’s official: Jeb Bush is no longer the leading contender to become the Republican candidate for president. Instead, prediction markets now rate Marco Rubio as far more likely to get the nod.

One broad measure of the betting markets puts Mr. Rubio’s chances at 34 percent versus Mr. Bush’s at 23 percent.

Traders at Betfair, which is the world’s largest betting exchange, but which doesn’t take bets from Americans, rate Mr. Bush a 20 percentchance to win the nomination, while Mr. Rubio is given a 29 percentchance. Over at PredictIt... traders have moved more decisively, giving Mr. Bush a 24 percent chance, compared with Mr. Rubio’s 40 percent.

The outsiders Donald Trump and Ben Carson continue to dominate the polls, each well above 20 percent in national polls, while typically neither Mr. Rubio nor Mr. Bush registers double-digit support.

Yet prediction markets see neither Mr. Trump nor Mr. Carson as likely to win the nomination. Mr. Trump is rated around a one-in-six chance to win, with Mr. Carson’s chances at about half that.

(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: California; US: Florida; US: New York; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: 2016; 2016election; americanthinker; amnesty; bencarson; california; carlyfiorina; dondi2016; edstraker; election2016; florida; gop; jebbush; marcorubio; newyork; predictionmarket; rubio; tedcruz; texas; trump
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1 posted on 10/24/2015 4:37:00 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Ew.


2 posted on 10/24/2015 4:38:33 PM PDT by martin_fierro (< |:)~)
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To: SeekAndFind

Trump might pick him for VP.....and take him under his wing.


3 posted on 10/24/2015 4:39:01 PM PDT by Sacajaweau
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To: Sacajaweau

No way. Don’t even start that rumor.


4 posted on 10/24/2015 4:39:55 PM PDT by proust (Texan for Trump!)
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To: Sacajaweau

Or pick him to wash his car.


5 posted on 10/24/2015 4:40:33 PM PDT by rockrr (Everything is different now...)
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To: proust

OK....


6 posted on 10/24/2015 4:41:21 PM PDT by Sacajaweau
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; cardinal4; ColdOne; ...
The exchange floor gives a great view of the huge wall mural showing the inauguration of Harold Stassen.

7 posted on 10/24/2015 4:42:02 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (Here's to the day the forensics people scrape what's left of Putin off the ceiling of his limo.)
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To: SeekAndFind

He and Jeb are the two GOP candidates I could never vote for. Rubio is as fake as they come, and there are rumored scandals that could derail the GOP ticket. I would take even Romney over Rubio.


8 posted on 10/24/2015 4:42:26 PM PDT by Jane Austen (Recall Gov. Nikki Haley aka Nimrata Randhawa)
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To: SeekAndFind

Raise your hand if you are going to vote for Marco or know anyone who has expressed an interest in voting for Marco. Personally I don’t know a soul. :-)


9 posted on 10/24/2015 4:43:23 PM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: SeekAndFind

American Thinker gone the way of the RATS—subterfuge disguised as news.


10 posted on 10/24/2015 4:44:21 PM PDT by Fungi
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To: SeekAndFind

Folks underestimate the tenacity of Trump’s supporters.
They can’t believe what they’ve been seeing for months,
and don’t want to.


11 posted on 10/24/2015 4:44:27 PM PDT by sparklite2 (All will become clear when it is too late to matter.)
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To: SeekAndFind

...Now how much are you willing to put down on Marco’s candicacy?...

Not a proverbial plug nickel for this gang of eight member and “ undocumented immigrant” illegal alien invader supporter. If he wiggles on this, he’s dangerous. That is what PO’s me


12 posted on 10/24/2015 4:46:52 PM PDT by Sasparilla
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To: Fungi

RE: American Thinker gone the way of the RATS—subterfuge disguised as news.

Why are you shooting the messenger?


13 posted on 10/24/2015 4:46:56 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Rubio ended his political career when he schemed with Schumer against the citizens.


14 posted on 10/24/2015 4:47:23 PM PDT by Lurkinanloomin (Know Islam, No Peace - No Islam, Know Peace)
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To: SeekAndFind

Not Cruz?


15 posted on 10/24/2015 4:49:09 PM PDT by Lopeover (2016 Election is about allegiance to the United States)
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To: Lurkinanloomin

Rubio/Kasich wins both states...I’d rather Cruz/Gowdy ticket...


16 posted on 10/24/2015 4:51:48 PM PDT by oust the louse (The LEFT has no principles, it only has goals !)
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To: SeekAndFind

I would be more than happy to lay a hundred on Trump, just give me even money.


17 posted on 10/24/2015 4:52:50 PM PDT by heights
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To: SeekAndFind

He certainly is the most like RINO to win, Bush will never be the nominee.

But I feel pretty confident at this point, that Trump will win.


18 posted on 10/24/2015 4:59:00 PM PDT by TexasFreeper2009 (You can't spell Hillary without using the letters L, I, A, & R)
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To: oust the louse

I don’t vote for amnesty, so Cruz is the only viable name you posted.


19 posted on 10/24/2015 5:00:12 PM PDT by Lurkinanloomin (Know Islam, No Peace - No Islam, Know Peace)
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To: SeekAndFind

Imagine if you will a world in which a Trump supporter switched to Rubio. :=)


20 posted on 10/24/2015 5:00:28 PM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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