Posted on 09/01/2015 11:50:37 AM PDT by RoosterRedux
Donald Trump is maintaining a commanding 2-1 lead in the latest poll of GOP caucus goers in Iowa, and his only rival in double digits is another political novice, Dr. Ben Carson.
Former frontrunner FL Gov. Jeb Bush has tumbled into eighth place despite his $100-million bankroll.
In a Gravis Marketing poll of 507 Iowa Republicans conducted last Friday and Saturday, Trump has 31.7 percent to Carson’s 15.8 and Bush’s 4.1 percent. A Monmouth University poll released yesterday had showed Trump and Carson running neck and neck with 23 percent – much to the excitement of the GOP establishment, including Fox News Channel.
But today’s Gravis poll seems more in line with other recent surveys in the Hawkeye State, where the first caucuses of 2016 will be held five months from today on Feb. 1.
Trump is dominant across almost all demographic groups, leading Carson and Cruz among Hispanics with 29 percent. He also won a plurality among GOP voters who described themselves as both pro-life and pro-choice, those in the 18-49 age group, and Republicans declaring themselves moderate or “slightly liberal.”
Among Roman Catholics in Iowa, the Presbyterian Trump polls 40 percent to 11 percent for Carson. Bush, a Catholic convert who often claims to be guided by his faith, polled at 0.8 percent among his coreligionists.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
Interesting about Univision and Fiorina!
Carly can dominate the entire “lower tier” debate and focus her attacks on Trump, unchallenged. The same way she did the first debate.
It is part of the GOPe strategy against Trump. Wish conservative treehouse guy would write an article about Carly and the “lower tier” debate.
I found the same thing as you. No evidence of the manipulation that was alleged.
Thx.
See post #102.
Hey old marine, how did you come up with your breakdown for the Monmouth poll?
So how to account for the discrepancies in Trump’s Iowa numbers?
And that helps Cruz/hurts Trump how?
I’ll feel better when its Jebbie at 0 percent.
Gotcha. Thanks.
I knew that 23-23 tie poll Trump/Carson was a crock.
Yes, you did!! You posted so!!
You were right!!
Waiting for “theoldmarine” to ‘splain himself.
His post was a big lie unless he can explain to us how he came up with that formula.
And if he can’t explain himself, he’s leading the new GOPe Troll charge against Trump.
Whatever, the discrepancies in the polls are evidence enough that the Rove GOPe is busy playing around with poll numbers to trick the electorate and to keep Trump out.
See my link at #102. Poll may still be a crock, but I get the feeling the “combined first and second choice” theory is debunked by reading through the poll itself.
I knew there was something wrong with that Monmouth poll yesterday. No way Carson is neck and neck with Trump.
If “theoldmarine” is a GOPe troll, it wouldn’t be the first time the Rove GOPe uses situations like this to take our attention off the fact: Trump is winning ... to the vagaries of poll taking and possible manipulation.
Trump is winning and the MSM/GOPe is freaking.
Diggerent people supplying the list to poll.
Sometimes the % is based on registered voters in past primary
In our county it is not uncommon for one party to have three candidates for sheriff while other has only one. Since we can chose either ballot many chose the party with most candidates as they wanted or didn’t want a person running. But it throws the polling population off
Something is a bit strange about it. The numbers are so vastly different than every other poll, that it kind of tosses the poll into doubt.
We’ll have to wait and see what other polls look like. If they can find support for this, there will be lots of polls to make sure Carson is trumpeted for his strength.
Once Trump is damaged, watch Carson drop like a rock. Job done. I’m not attributing that to him, but rather the press and other special interest groups.
Sounds like someone has been gaming the situation.
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