Posted on 08/17/2015 5:05:14 PM PDT by SkyPilot
The plan seems simple doesnt it? All you need for the best chance of survival for your family is a well-stocked bug out bag, a keen attention to your surroundings and careful monitoring of what is happening in the news. With these bases covered you will be a very informed prepper and will be able to get the jump on all of the clueless sheeple if something bad happens. You will load your family up with your bags and hike off into the sunset way ahead of the approaching death and destruction. You have a plan to bug out.
It sounds perfect, but in this article I am going to try and convince you how that might not be the best and first option you should consider. There are many reasons and situations I can think of why you do not want to bug out from your home. You may be asking yourself, how can I even say those words on a prepper blog such as this without getting struck by lightning? Its true that hunkering down is not the option that gets the most press, but in my opinion during most (but not all) scenarios, it is the better choice. That is unless you are a combat trained Navy Seal. If you are like me, just an average guy with a family and a giant subterranean monster unleashed by nuclear experiments is not headed your way, you might want to stay put. Here are a few reasons why:
You live where your stuff is.
Ill be the first to admit that a lot of these reasons are going to seem incredibly simple and obvious, but I think sometimes that is the best way to approach a problem. As a prepper you have probably started collecting some supplies to help you get through short and long term emergencies. Some of you have stored a TON of supplies because you have been doing this for a long time or else you are independently wealthy and you just blew up the Black Friday sales.
Even if you only have a weeks worth of food and water, that is nothing to sneeze at. Everything you have is stored probably in nicely organized bins for easy retrieval. You dont have to carry it and the supplies arent subject to the elements. Leaving your home will make you potentially have to leave most, or all of your survival supplies at home. You could put them all in your best bug out vehicle, the diesel Ford F-250 with the trailer, right? Sure you could, but are you sure that truck will always be in your possession? Its just better to stay at your home base because there are tons of advantages like Ill be the first to admit that a lot of these reasons are going to seem incredibly simple and obvious, but I think sometimes that is the best way to approach a problem. As a prepper you have probably started collecting some supplies to help you get through short and long term emergencies. Some of you have stored a TON of supplies because you have been doing this for a long time or else you are independently wealthy and you just blew up the Black Friday sales.
Even if you only have a weeks worth of food and water, that is nothing to sneeze at. Everything you have is stored probably in nicely organized bins for easy retrieval. You dont have to carry it and the supplies arent subject to the elements. Leaving your home will make you potentially have to leave most, or all of your survival supplies at home. You could put them all in your best bug out vehicle, the diesel Ford F-250 with the trailer, right? Sure you could, but are you sure that truck will always be in your possession? Its just better to stay at your home base because there are tons of advantages like
Even your kitchen floor is more comfortable than sleeping in the woods
Yes, I know that some people sleep perfectly well in the woods and I can too, once I am exhausted from hiking all day. Honestly, you would have to agree that your old lumpy Serta Posturpedic mattress would be preferable to sleeping in the woods or an abandoned building or even a hammock. Why is that important?
Getting plenty of good sleep has a huge impact on our health. It not only affects your moods, but alertness and even immune system. In a disaster you will be stressed in ways you havent even considered. You may be working like a dog and having a comfortable and relatively safe place to rest your head, even if that is the living room floor will be an advantage that the people who think they can just bug out into the woods wont have.
Built in Community whether you know it or not
In times of crisis, you can almost guarantee that communities will band together in some ways. You probably dont consider your small neighborhood or dead end street a community but let some disaster happen and you will see humans come together for support, safety and to help each-other out. Being around even just a few neighbors who know you can give you advantages if you need assistance for things like a neighborhood security plan.
Even neighbors you dont get along with will probably overcome grudges if the disaster is severe enough. Of course there is the potential that your neighbors could turn on you for being the lone prepper but I think in most cases, things wont go Mad Max for a little while. If it does you will have to adjust, but I believe that most people would benefit by banding with their neighbors for support. You could have an opportunity for leadership here or compassion by helping out others who havent prepared. It is much better to strive for this kind of relationship with people than head out the door and face the world with only what is on your back.
Being Cold Sucks and it can kill you
I bet that most of you like to keep the thermostat somewhere in the upper 60s to low 70s during the winter. There might be some play in that range, but there are no thermostats outside. Whatever the temperature is outdoors is what you are going to be living with. Can you start a fire or wear warm layers to regulate your body temperature? Of course, but the last place I want to be on a cold winter night is huddled up in my sleeping bag under a tarp even if I did have a nice roasting fire beside me.
There are some situations where you wouldnt be able to start a fire. Maybe if it was raining and you couldnt find any dry wood or tinder, or there were people that didnt look so friendly following you. Staying in your home, even without power can give you advantages of shelter that you wont easily find outdoors. You can seal off rooms and even your body heat will generate a little warmth. You can black out your curtains with heavy gauge plastic sheeting and even the heat from a lantern or a couple of candles can put out an amazing amount of heat.
You may put yourself in a worse situation
The problem with most bug out plans are that you dont have a destination. Where are you bugging out to? Do you think the National Forest is going to be reserved solely for you and your family? Do you think you will just set up a tent and start hunting for small game? In a large regional disaster, there could be millions of people leaving the cities. The concept is called the Golden Horde and they will be competing with you for natural resources. With even a few dozen hunters in the same area game will be depleted in days if not sooner. Then you will be stuck near a bunch of other hungry people who blame you for catching the last squirrel.
Being on the road makes you an easier target
One of the advantages of staying put at home is the home field or defenders advantage. When you go out, you do not know what you are walking or driving into. The best you can do is recon very deliberately which will only slow you down more. By staying put in your home, you can set up a neighborhood watch with your fellow neighbors and monitor who is coming in. This gives you the opportunity to set up defensive positions and plans that anyone walking in with thoughts of taking advantage of you, wont be aware of.
If nobody knows you, you are a stranger
Have you ever been walking your dog and seen someone strange walking through your neighborhood? This was someone you didnt know so obviously they fell under suspicion. Had they been one of your neighbors kids you would have recognized them, but this new person stuck out. That is what you will be faced with if you leave your home and go wandering through other towns and cities. In your home neighborhood you will be dealing with known people that you can grow a deeper relationship with. There is a built-in level of trust because they have lived near you for years. If you start walking into a strange town with your bug out bags and AR-15 slung over your bulletproof vest, you may not like the attention you receive.
Gear is heavy and a lot of gear is heavier.
Speaking of walking around in your bulletproof vest and gear, how many of you have walked for 3 days with your bug out bag? OK, now add a full complement of bullets and anything else you think you might need to defend yourself. It adds up quickly even when you try to reduce the weight of your bug out bag as much as possible. These werent meant to live for a long time out of. Your food will run out, possibly your ammo and that will help you with the weight, but in a disaster where you are walking out the door in full combat gear, do you think Walmart will be open when you run out of something?
In a grid down you wont get to call AAA
Maybe you are one of the lucky ones that have a place to go up in the mountains. If you dont get out before everyone else starts leaving, you could be stuck on the road. What if your old bug out vehicle breaks down? All those supplies you stored in the back of that trailer are either going to feed a lot of other people on the highway or you will most likely die defending them. If you arent already living at your retreat before the disaster happens, you will have to be incredibly fast to avoid getting stranded. Lets say you are ready to go, do you know when you would actually leave? Do you know when the S has actually HTF and its time to leave or will you debate leaving with your wife and mother for two days because they think it will all blow over soon?
If you get hurt you want to be near a secure shelter not under a tarp
I have a decent first aid supply kit. I dont have IVs and a ton of medicine but I can take care of garden variety injuries pretty well. Imagine you somehow break your leg after the grid is down. Would you rather drag yourself into the house, or be stuck in the woods for weeks unable to move? Most hospitals dont stick their patients out in the back yard for a reason so you will convalesce better with a good roof over your head that is hopefully providing some climate protections. If nothing else, it will be a relatively clean and safe place to get better that beats lying under a log.
So what does staying home mean?
I will write a post about reasons why you may have to bug out later, but staying home doesnt guarantee you will be safe and secure either. I think each situation has to be taken into consideration as to what is the better option for you and your family. Naturally if there is a fire heading your way staying at home is stupid. It is something to think about that and that may help you begin to form different plans for different scenarios. What are your plans?
Good post. For 90+% of the time bugging in is the option to go to. Bugging out needs to be properly assessed against a threat evaluation that would require it. One guy on ‘doomsday peppers’ put it well - “When the S hits the fan, you don’t want to stand in front of the fan”.
Essentially, if you live in hurricane, flood or forest fire country for example, you better have a good bug out plan and preps. Top of that list is having a place identified to go to. Second is having back roads and alternative routes. Main highways become parking lots in mass evacuations. And third - don’t forget your pets. Too many get left behind to fend for themselves.
That reminds me of the First two seasons of Walking Dead. The Interstate Highway leaving out of Atlanta Georgia where jammed tight with abandoned vehicles and “Walkers” eating people who couldn’t get away.
...and hope someone hasn't beat you to it first!
Welcome to FreeRepublic.
Thank you. Prepping as a liveaboard is kind of a nautical offshoot of the subject.
What do you do for fresh water?
Lots of tankage and use the mainsail to catch rain. Instead of raising it all the way you leave a pounch at the bottom, all the rain that hits that square yardage comes out the end of the boom like a gusher, conduct it by bucket usually. Anchored out bring water with every trip to stay topped up. I also scavenge likely looking wood/driftwood for fuel, have a little wood locker, use that in the grill.
Keep your gas tank half full at all times.
Always carry a stack of detailed paper printed maps in your vehicle to find the back way out of a situation. Stock maps not just of your city but of the suburbs, the county and surrounding counties. These maps will not be found at the corner convenience store so you’ll have to do a net search for them or find them at some tourist info centers. Update them every few years but keep the old ones in case the new ones don’t show ALL the back roads.
Good idea. Where are you at? Roughly
Guaranteed most will starve if the power is out and their electric can opener won’t work. If they even own a can opener or have anything in their kitchen than leftover take out. Most of those who manage to get the can open will starve because they’d be too afraid to eat canned corn without heating it. And most of those who throw caution to the wind and decide chance eating the canned corn will drain the liquid down the sink first. Guaranteed, the vast majority of the zombies will do themselves in before they get outside their immediate neighborhood.
bkmk
Wow, you know it’s bad when Ronald McDonald has to go to a shelter.
I never did understand why a few years ago it was all bug out this and bug out that. I’m staying put as long as possible. I’ve asked for years where the heck people are stashing their caches and have yet to get an answer. Unless you happen to live next door to government land, the land is privately owned so you’re going to get shot stashing or retrieving your stuff. Bugging out down a road makes you an easy target. Hiking off across someone’s property is also going to get you shot.
Good thing the photographer had a flash on his camera or dad wouldn’t be able to read his newspaper.
Extreme hot and cold temps in a garage will quickly deteriorate that food.
Prop the first guy out by the road with a bottle of bbq sauce. That should send the message.
We would have a very good standard of living in this big house (not the townhouse) for about a month before food ran out. A lake is within easy walking distance to have water - have fine Berkey to sanitize the water. Actual living conditions would be good at this location due to we have a big bus RV, looks like a greyhound bus, it's that big. It is kept full of water and gas and has a generator and is kept on trickle charge so it will always be ready to roll or to stay here to have the water, generator to run its cooling if its major hot in the house, so go to bus to sleep, cook, whatever.
With all that good stuff in two houses, a big house and a townhouse, HERE'S A QUESTION I HAVE ABOUT THIS BIG HOUSE:
This house is in an upscale neighborhood. There is one upscale condo group, very new, about a mile away and no regular apartment building(s) within several miles due to the high cost of building in this upscale area. There is no substandard housing here and no place for poor people to live. This area is mostly white and if other races live here, they have to be fairly wealthy. Houses are half a million dollars and up, a lot up to a million and more.
There is no inner city mob bad guys in this area. They would have to come from another location as far as at least 15 miles away in all directions from here. Naturally, the largest inner city mob bad guys would be in Dallas, twenty miles away and from there to here is city, just the town names change. There are many thousands of homes from there to here. I don't think they could make it here before they stopped or were killed.
So, the main question is, present mob bad guys wouldn't get here, but would the upscale people here turn into a type of inner city mob bad guys and attack their upscale neighbor(s) when they realize the neighbor(s) isn't/aren't dying like they are?
I sit in this fancy house in this fancy area and wonder how secure it is among it's fancy neighbors. This being Texas, I'm sure they all have guns. Would they use them on me and other fancy neighbors to stay alive?
Good article.
Some did but the vast majority stayed behind because they were too stupid to take heed of the advanced warnings.
That’s a big Chihuahua.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.