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Assad nears the tipping poin
The Washington Post ^ | 4 June 2015 | David Ignatius

Posted on 06/04/2015 7:51:12 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican

The regime of President Bashar al-Assad in Syria is facing what U.S. experts say is the most intense pressure since the early days of the four-year conflict . This new squeeze poses some stark choices for the United States, Russia, Iran and Syria’s neighbors.

“Based on current trend lines, it is time to start thinking about a post-Assad Syria,” argues a U.S. intelligence official. Until recently, U.S. analysts had characterized the situation there as more of a stalemate. But over the past month, rebel gains in northern and southern Syria have begun to tip the balance.

U.S. officials see mounting pressure on Assad from four directions. A potent new rebel coalition known as Jaish al-Fatah, or the Army of Conquest, backed by Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Qatar, seized the capital of Idlib province late last month. Fighting ferociously alongside this coalition is Jabhat al-Nusra, or the al-Nusra Front, which is affiliated with al-Qaeda. Moderate rebels known as the “Southern Front,” backed by the United States and Jordan, are finally gaining some ground in southern Syria. And the Islamic State, the most fearsome group of all, is rampaging across northern, central and eastern Syria.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Syria
KEYWORDS: assad; syriawar
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1 posted on 06/04/2015 7:51:12 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: MinorityRepublican

It’s in the interest of the U.S. and most the world for Syria to continue to be divided.


2 posted on 06/04/2015 7:52:30 PM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: MinorityRepublican

For all the Putin-worshipers out there, he’s turned out to be pretty worthless as a friend. He promised missiles to Assad four or more years ago.


3 posted on 06/04/2015 7:53:32 PM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: MinorityRepublican

What does he care? He’s got billions and he’ll just go to Switzerland and life comfortably the rest of his life.


4 posted on 06/04/2015 7:56:00 PM PDT by SkyDancer ( I Was Told Nobody Is Perfect But Yet, Here I Am ...)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Iran will just find another puppet and Hezbollah will be the proxy army.


5 posted on 06/04/2015 7:59:43 PM PDT by edpc (Wilby 2016)
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To: nickcarraway

since ISIS seems to be by far the most vicious and ambitious of the groups, shall we assume all of Syria will be part of the caliphate sooner or later? notwithstanding the much mentioned moderate force that is being trained, and which I have no faith in.


6 posted on 06/04/2015 7:59:43 PM PDT by dp0622
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To: MinorityRepublican

It’s a shame. Assad never beheaded or crucified anyone, unlike McCain’s BFFs.


7 posted on 06/04/2015 8:00:04 PM PDT by The Toll
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To: MinorityRepublican

Where are the Juan and Linda brigade?


8 posted on 06/04/2015 8:01:24 PM PDT by Paladin2 (Ive given up on aphostrophys and spell chek on my current device...)
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To: dp0622

Turkey is interested Im sure.


9 posted on 06/04/2015 8:02:08 PM PDT by Paladin2 (Ive given up on aphostrophys and spell chek on my current device...)
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To: MinorityRepublican

I don’t give a $hit about the Jew-hating Assad but his being replaced by ISIS crazies is the worse possible outcome here.

Regional war is looming in the ME.


10 posted on 06/04/2015 8:03:40 PM PDT by Bobalu (If we live to see 2017 we will be kissing the ground)
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To: Paladin2

I get confused when it comes to Turkey. do they want their own caliphate or support ISIS or neither?


11 posted on 06/04/2015 8:04:07 PM PDT by dp0622
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To: dp0622

If Damascus falls to isis... If I were Shi’ite I’d be looking for a way out NOW.


12 posted on 06/04/2015 8:04:38 PM PDT by miliantnutcase
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To: dp0622

I think Turkey wants isis to do the dirty work of creating the califate, and when the people tire of isis brutality turkey will swoop in with a slightly more palatable form of islam.


13 posted on 06/04/2015 8:08:23 PM PDT by Husker24
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To: miliantnutcase

we know Obama is garbage, but McCain is the biggest useful idiot there ever was, posing with the rebels.


14 posted on 06/04/2015 8:08:56 PM PDT by dp0622
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To: MinorityRepublican

Administration propagandists have been spreading that story for several years. The US backed terrorists are the ones that can’t get their act together there.


15 posted on 06/04/2015 8:11:32 PM PDT by PAR35
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To: miliantnutcase

I’m too confused for words. who is our biggest threat, besides Obama. iran. ISIS. a destabilized region? let them all kill each other, although it seems ISIS is winning. where do the Kurds fit in. and are they as wholesome as the claims? I seem to remember an honor killing in their group once.


16 posted on 06/04/2015 8:16:09 PM PDT by dp0622
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To: MinorityRepublican

We should have propped him up and encouraged the Russians to prop him up, too.

But, noooooo. The Euroweenies had to have their Natural Gas pipeline.


17 posted on 06/04/2015 8:18:47 PM PDT by Little Ray (How did I end up in this hand-basket, and why is it getting so hot?)
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To: dp0622

The mgt of Turkey apparently would like to be the head of the Caliphate. Kurds and the legacy of Armenians stand in their way.


18 posted on 06/04/2015 8:43:11 PM PDT by Paladin2 (Ive given up on aphostrophys and spell chek on my current device...)
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To: nickcarraway

I read that Iran just decided. They sent 13,000 republican guard to syria. That is so fantastic. Fight on all.


19 posted on 06/04/2015 8:46:29 PM PDT by mrs ippi
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To: MinorityRepublican

I really hate it when someone reaches the tipping poin


20 posted on 06/04/2015 8:49:09 PM PDT by R_Kangel ( "A Nation of Sheep ..... Will Beget ..... a Nation Ruled by Wolves.")
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