Posted on 05/28/2015 9:12:38 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
Marco Rubio skidded. Jeb Bush slid. Ben Carson zoomed. Mike Huckabee bounced. Scott Walker stayed steady. And that’s how you end up with a five-way tie for first place in the latest Quinnipiac University national poll on the GOP Sixteeners. Put another way: With five candidates evenly dividing half of the vote, there is no first place. While Rubio lost a third of his support and Bush continued to droop, losing three points for the second month in a row, all five can say with confidence that they will meet the polling criterion for the first GOP debate, hosted by Fox News and Facebook on Aug. 6 in Cleveland.
Aside from having filed as candidates – including required financial disclosures – and paid their candidate filing fees, a candidate must be among the top ten in the average of five methodologically sound national polls taken before the debate. Huckabee, Bush, Carson and Rubio may be sowing some volatility, but they can expect to be there with Walker on the big day.
But the real drama right now is about the bottom, not the top. Quinnipiac looks at the back half of the pack: “Rounding out the top 10 for televised debates are U.S. Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky at 7 percent, U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas at 6 percent, Donald Trump at 5 percent, New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie at 4 percent and Carly Fiorina and Ohio Gov. John Kasich at 2 percent each.”
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonexaminer.com ...
I wonder how big a bounce he will get.
Another poll: Real Clear Politics average
Cool - I’m trending towards Carly myself. I like what she has to say and the way she handles herself...
She’s a pistol.
NOt Kasich. He is Jeb version 2.0.
I agree that Fiorina has more cajones that the rest of the pool combined. She says what she thinks and she won’t be bullied by the media. She smoked the MSM jerks on their “gotcha” questions.
Yep - and Jeb can “slide” all that way out as far as I’m concerned...
NOt Kasich. He is Jeb version 2.0.
I won’t be supporting him but he’s much better than Jeb.
Fiorina and Kasich at 2 percent. MoE at 3.5%.
More people jumping in is good for Ted Cruz; my first choice (while I have some issues with Walker, I could enthusiastically support him).
Tea Party conservatives WILL show up for the primaries and they will vote for Cruz. The moderate candidates will split the GOPe vote and hnd victories to Cruz or Walker.
It turns out that having a white version of a man-card is a big liability.
Walker’s Quinnipiac trend line: 16, 11, 10, ?. The good news for Walker boosters in he has slowed the decline and still hangs on to a top 5 slot.
I propose a drinking game. Every time he uses the descriptor "really" you gotta take a shot. You won't remember the end of the debate.
I could really get behind a Cruz-Fiorina ticket.
She can get away with going after Hillary.
He is not better than Jeb. Trust me. The clown is my governor. He is the Ohio version of Huckabee - a stalking horse for Jeb. As Huckabee aims to splinter Christian votes - thus lowering the winning percentage Jeb needs in each state, so too will Kasich splinter the Ohio primary vote by splitting off “He’s MY Gov!” votes.
Kasich is aiming for Jeb’s Veep slot because he is Jeb 2.0 and is from the essential swing state of Ohio.
The fix is in and Milquetoast Kasich is an integral part of the plan.
Other key finding: Clinton gets between 45 and 48% against everyone except the toupee. That means that the election will be about turnout, turnout, turnout. We need someone who excites the base, not another mittoast moderate. Milquetoast. I mean milquetoast. Honestly.
Interesting take, I hope you're correct!
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