Posted on 04/24/2015 4:58:34 AM PDT by UKrepublican
NIGEL FARAGE'S hopes of becoming an MP have been given a massive boost with an opinion poll showing the Ukip leader has a commanding nine-point lead in South Thanet.
Research privately commissioned by the anti-Brussels party revealed he has opened up a significant gap ahead of Tory candidate Craig Mackinlay in race to win the Kent seat on May 7.
Figures also show that Mr Farage has met more voters over the past month than his Labour and Tory rivals put together.
Raising a pint of bitter to celebrate St George’s Day in the constituency today, Mr Farage said: “There is a buzz and momentum about the Ukip campaign with two weeks to go.”
He insisted the findings demolish claims that he has been barely visible in the constituency and is heading for defeat.
The poll of over 1,000 voters in South Thanet put Mr Farage on an expected vote share of 39 per cent at the general election.
The Tories were on 30 per net and Labour candidate Will Scobie was lagging behind on 26 per cent.
Polling firm Survation carried out the survey, which was funded by Ukip donor Alan Bown.
The findings contrast starkly with a ComRes poll last month that gave the Tories a one-point lead over Ukip in South Thanet.
It also showed that more than 18 per cent of voters in South Thanet have met Mr Farage over the past month.
The figure compared with 8 per cent who have met the Labour candidate and 7 per cent for the Tory candidate.
And nearly a third (31 per cent) of voters in South Thanet say they have had a knock on the door from Ukip activists over the past month compared with 13 per cent for the Tories and 15 per cent for Labour.
A Ukip source said: “This shows up the lies from the other parties that Nigel is never in the constituency.
“Our support has been really galvanised over recent weeks. We have had coachloads of members and supporters coming down to deliver leaflets and knock on doors."
Mr Farage marked St George’s Day by drinking with Army veterans at the Northwood Club in Ramsgate in the constituency.
He said: “We’re nicking a bit of vote from everybody. We’ve clearly hurt Labour more than we’ve hurt anybody else.
“The thing that really strikes me about these figures is the number of non-voters, the people who did not engage in 2010, who have said they are going to vote Ukip. I think that is really exciting.
“Nearly a quarter of our voters didn’t vote in 2010. Some have not voted in 20 years, some have never voted in their entire lives.
“I get criticism every day - they say ‘Nigel’s not here enough, is he?’ You know, I don’t actually do everything in the full glare of cameras, there is something called hard work, knocking on doors and meeting people and I’ve done loads of it.
“The number of voters who say they have actually met me is more than the Labour and Conservative figures combined.
“We have taken a big lead here.
“And this whole narrative here - Ukip’ fading away, it’s not doing any good, it ain’t going to take any seats; actually we take the very opposite view.”
He added: “In the last 72 hours we’ve become very excited about how we are doing in some of our target seats.
“I think we are the party in this campaign now with the optimism - which I think Mr Cameron appears to be lacking ever so slightly - and the energy and we are pretty bullish with two weeks ago.
“I’ve said all along we are confident but not complacent, but I now feel much more confident.
“If you give me evens, I’ll have ten grand with you!
“The one dilemma for Ukip is the very large number of people who are not in the habit of voting. Making sure they actually turn up, that’s our challenge for us in the next couple of weeks.”
He also attacked the “political class” for “sneering” at St George’s Day and England flags.
After stepping behind the social club bar to pull himself a pint of John Smith’s, the Ukip leader said: “St George’s Day, we shouldn’t be ashamed of that.
“St George’s Day is something our political classes look down upon, they sneer at it.
“I think we should be proud to be English. We should not be ashamed of the St George’s Flag, we should not be ashamed of St George’s Day, we should make it a national holiday.”
He accused other parties of “appeasing” the “terror of Scottish nationalists.”
“We’ve just about had enough of that. We want a fair deal for the English.”
Earlier, Ukip held a press conference in London to highlight its plan - revealed last month by the Daily Express - for a new Bank Holiday in England to mark St George’s Day - April 23 - with another in Wales for its March 1 St David’s Day, to mirror Scotland’s and Ireland’s widely celebrate St Andrew’s and St Patrick’s Days.
Ukip culture spokesman Peter Whittle said St George’s Day would be an “inclusive opportunity” for people in England to celebrate their common values.
“A country is not just its economy and its identity cannot just be read on a balance sheet. We believe in our hearts and our minds that this is a great country to be proud of and part of,” said Mr Whittle.
He is a great man.
UKIPs policies are a mix of center right/libertarian.
The two are compatiable and indeed many UKIP voters, members were former member of the Tories - in fact the only two UKIP MPs defected from the conservatives and Farage himself many years ago was a member of that party.
No seat projection I’ve seen has UKIP winning more than 6 seats. One article I read said the party hopes to win....22
US Congressional District is something like 700,000 people. A UK member of House of Commons represents around 100,000 people.
Libertarian but for borders (without which one has no representation). Pretty much what I thought. It would indicate that as soon as the voters realize that UKIP can be elected they might just dump the Tories wholesale. Now that would be historic. Farage would make a most interesting PM.
I hope he has a proper security detail
Nigel is doing well and they are starting to get scared using fear, the only weapon the political and business elites have left.
HSBC is threatening to move its headquarters out of the UK.
That poll shows Farage up by 9% *in his own district*, right? That’s like touting a poll showing Pelosi up big in her San Francisco district. If Farage leads a coalition of 6 UKIP members, it won’t be much of a “victory,” personal or otherwise.
I was curious about numbers earlier, and your post made me look it up. An MP seat has a constituency of about 65,000 - 80,000.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_United_Kingdom_Parliament_constituencies
By comparison, a Congressional seat is approaching 700,000 (!).
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_congressional_apportionment
So, obviously, it’s much easier to know your MP than your Congressman, in general.
haha yes this is very true.
Go UKIP!
Yes, and even working class labout voters, are jumping ship for UKIP.
Interesting times ahead.
Any conservative Republican who is serious about immigration here will see the same thing.
Not quite, since him not winning his own seat at all is a very real possibility while Pelosi even coming close to losing is not.
Even if it’s 22 seats, that’s still nothing. That’s like 15 seats in the US House. Sure it’s a big breakthough compared to the zero they had after the last election but......
This makes me wish that the instant runoff vote referendum had passed. If all UKIP does is take enough votes from the Tories that Labour wins, that will suck.
Third party running against the failure of the main parties. He unapologetically tells the truth.
Room for that here too.
UKIP wants to reform the electoral system in the UK to replace first past the post which is what they have and what we have here in the US.
If Labour wins it will be the fault of the fake Conservatives of David Cameron who doubled the country’s national debt, delayed talking about the EU until UKIP won the EU Parliament election last year and gave the final blessing to gay marriage etc. etc. etc.
Cameron’s party is rightly called by some of its detractors the “Lavatories”.
All of the MSM projections were giving UKIP no seats
He wants the UK out of the EU (he is a current member of the European parliament).
Cameron promised a vote, and then weasled out of it. So a referendum is more likely if Farage wins.
UKIP has a youtube channel and the Farage clips are fun to watch.
I heard the media narrative is that UKIP gets no seats at all in their projections and that its to be a 272-272 Von-Lab split with LDP making up the difference
Not exactly a safe seat for the FIFTH party though,not even a 3rd party but a 5th!!
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