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RCP Moves Virginia Senate Race Out of ‘Likely Dem’ Column
weekly standard ^

Posted on 11/02/2014 9:01:37 AM PST by Perdogg

Ed Gillespie continues to close the gap on Mark Warner in the Virginia Senate race, causing Real Clear Politics to move the race from “Likely Dem” to “Leans Dem.” Virginia is currently the only Senate race in that category, which suggests it’s the GOP’s best chance to stage a substantial upset on election night.

(Excerpt) Read more at weeklystandard.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: 2014midterms; va2014
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To: wvguy

The same guy! Oh man.


21 posted on 11/02/2014 9:27:04 AM PST by MUDDOG
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To: Perdogg

If Warner loses, we will be looking at a national wipe-out. The Dems won’t have a single victory, if it’s THAT bad.

The Gillespie campaign has been largely nonexistent, and Warner is very popular, for some dammed reason. He will get reelected as many times as he wants to run, barring a scandal like him getting caught in bed with a boy or something(that COULD bring out more of his base though).

I can’t help but to wonder how many people sill thinks he’s John Warner. LOL


22 posted on 11/02/2014 9:27:57 AM PST by KoRn (Department of Homeland Security, Certified - "Right Wing Extremist")
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To: Perdogg

It sickens me what has been happening in my beloved Virginia. Bozo the Kaine was bad enough, but then the Mac the Rat was elected governor....I’m about one more tax increase from bidding adios and heading to a more conservative climate. I have written letters to the ed. asking this question, if Sen. Warner was such great shakes as a businessman, why did he vote for the ACA without reading it? In other words, why would such a “smart businessman” sign a contract without reading it first?


23 posted on 11/02/2014 9:38:43 AM PST by W.Lee (After the first one, the rest are free.)
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To: Perdogg

The trend is the GOP’s friend nationally, lifting most of the bosts. Peaking at the right time.


24 posted on 11/02/2014 9:40:21 AM PST by Ted Grant
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To: Perdogg

Hope springs eternal. No way Warner loses here. I anticipate Warner will win by at least 10.


25 posted on 11/02/2014 9:40:29 AM PST by kabar
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To: Perdogg

Always should have been listed that way anyway.


26 posted on 11/02/2014 9:46:25 AM PST by CPT Clay (Follow me on Twitter @Clay N TX)
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To: Dan in Wichita

Al Franken UGH


27 posted on 11/02/2014 9:47:30 AM PST by CPT Clay (Follow me on Twitter @Clay N TX)
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To: W.Lee

I am also disgusted with my fellow Virginians who swallow Warner’s ‘bipartisan’ pap...will do my part on Tuesday to elect Gillespie as well as Bratt.


28 posted on 11/02/2014 9:53:36 AM PST by dogcaller
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To: Perdogg

Just imagine if Gillespie didn’t run from the illegal immigration issue. He might be up 5 points. The GOPe is so dumb.


29 posted on 11/02/2014 9:56:36 AM PST by montag813
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To: kabar

No surprises here, I bet you think Comstock will lose too, right?


30 posted on 11/02/2014 9:56:45 AM PST by Perdogg (I'm on a no Carb diet- NO Christie Ayotte Romney or Bush)
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To: Perdogg
It will be very close here in the 10th District. Wolf's retirement leaves the seat wide open in NoVA. I will be voting for Comstock along with my wife and daughter. It will be a very close race. The Dem GOTV effort in NoVA is very hard to beat. I have been a poll watcher over the past six elections. Demography is destiny.

Comstock has avoided major issues. She is following the standard GOPe playbook. We will see how effective that will be. Comstock has had the funding to be successful and she has a well run campaign. A squeaker like Comstock's two races for the House of Delegates, which she won by hundreds of votes, is in the offing. Comstock only received 60% of the votes in a contested GOP primary. Lots of conservative opposition.

31 posted on 11/02/2014 10:06:27 AM PST by kabar
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To: Perdogg

When he worked for W Bush Gillespie was on the radio with Rush Limbaugh.

Rush pushed the notion of getting rid of government departments and making government ‘smaller.

Gillespie said “that’s not going to happen”.

Gillespie is part of the GOPe and would not get my vote.

He may win for all I know. Obama voters are as disillusioned as ever and I think they will stay home in record numbers on Tuesday.


32 posted on 11/02/2014 10:10:10 AM PST by Nextrush (OBAMACARE IS A BAILOUT FOR THE HEALTHCARE INDUSTRY)
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To: kabar

Cuccinelli won the 10th district in the last governor’s race.


33 posted on 11/02/2014 10:41:02 AM PST by Perdogg (I'm on a no Carb diet- NO Christie Ayotte Romney or Bush)
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To: KoRn

I’m also in Virginia, and your observation is spot-on: Gillespie’s campaign was dormant for much of the year; he didn’t start TV advertising until after Labor Day. Unfortunately, Warner and various Rat PACs were on the air months ahead of him, defining Gillespie as an Enron lobbyist and political insider.

The closest I’ve seen Gillespie in a public poll is seven points, according to the most recent survey by Christopher Newport University (which tends to skew toward the Dims). There is other polling that shows Gillespie within four, and I think that may be a bit more accurate.

For Dims to win statewide in VA, they have to rack up big pluralities in the D.C. suburbs, the Richmond area and Hampton Roads. Barbara Comstock appears headed for victory to replace her old boss, GOP Congressman Frank Wolf, in suburban D.C. Congressional race; that should help Gillespie. In fact, some have said that all of the Dim Congressional campaigns in northern VA have been lackluster and enthusiasm among their voters is low.

If that proves accurate, Gillespie has a shot. Northern VA really is the Democrat firewall, and if its cracking, Ed might be able to eek out a victory.


34 posted on 11/02/2014 11:03:02 AM PST by ExNewsExSpook
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To: W.Lee

My business-owning supposedly conservative father-in-law voted for Warner. I will never understand it.


35 posted on 11/02/2014 11:05:57 AM PST by CatherineofAragon ((Support Christian white males---the architects of the jewel known as Western Civilization.))
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To: Twotone

Falls Church is one of the nicest towns in Northern Virginia.
We lived in Fairfax county for 34 years.


36 posted on 11/02/2014 11:10:17 AM PST by billhilly (.Have you heard the latest Joe Biden whopper?)
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To: Twotone

Falls Church is one of the nicest towns in Northern Virginia.
We lived in Fairfax county for 34 years.


37 posted on 11/02/2014 11:12:20 AM PST by billhilly (.Have you heard the latest Joe Biden whopper?)
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To: Twotone

Falls Church is one of the nicest towns in Northern Virginia.
We lived in Fairfax county for 34 years.


38 posted on 11/02/2014 11:13:48 AM PST by billhilly (.Have you heard the latest Joe Biden whopper?)
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To: oblomov; mrs smith

This is Mark Warner. Pretty sure he is not related to John Warner, aka Mrs. Liz Taylor.


39 posted on 11/02/2014 11:25:50 AM PST by Bigg Red (31 May 2014: Obamugabe officially declares the USA a vanquished subject of the Global Caliphate.)
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To: oblomov; mrs smith

This is Mark Warner.

https://images.duckduckgo.com/iu/?u=http%3A%2F%2Fimages.politico.com%2Fglobal%2Fnews%2F111019_mark_warner_605_ap.jpg&f=1


40 posted on 11/02/2014 11:27:20 AM PST by Bigg Red (31 May 2014: Obamugabe officially declares the USA a vanquished subject of the Global Caliphate.)
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