I’m also in Virginia, and your observation is spot-on: Gillespie’s campaign was dormant for much of the year; he didn’t start TV advertising until after Labor Day. Unfortunately, Warner and various Rat PACs were on the air months ahead of him, defining Gillespie as an Enron lobbyist and political insider.
The closest I’ve seen Gillespie in a public poll is seven points, according to the most recent survey by Christopher Newport University (which tends to skew toward the Dims). There is other polling that shows Gillespie within four, and I think that may be a bit more accurate.
For Dims to win statewide in VA, they have to rack up big pluralities in the D.C. suburbs, the Richmond area and Hampton Roads. Barbara Comstock appears headed for victory to replace her old boss, GOP Congressman Frank Wolf, in suburban D.C. Congressional race; that should help Gillespie. In fact, some have said that all of the Dim Congressional campaigns in northern VA have been lackluster and enthusiasm among their voters is low.
If that proves accurate, Gillespie has a shot. Northern VA really is the Democrat firewall, and if its cracking, Ed might be able to eek out a victory.
If Warner lost, I probably wouldn’t be able to eat or sleep for a week, because I wouldn’t be able to stop laughing! LOL
As I said, if that happens, the Dems are looking not at a wave, but a Tsunami!
Honestly, I believe a great candidate with funding and organization could have defeated Warner. He has been nothing but a rubber stamp for the 0-Tard. It’s like the G0P gave up on this one before it started.
I live in northern Virginia also. I’m in the 8th District, where used car salesman ‘Rat Don Beyer has raised over $2.5 million, while his GOP challenger, a young promising Black man named Micah Edmond, has raised only $82,000.
Capitalism for Beyer; socialism for the rest of us. Scumbag.
I went to Mass at the wonderful St. Athanasius church on Route 7 beyond Tysons Corner, and drove the back roads over to the junction of the Beltway and Old Georgetown Pike. The ‘Rat candiate in the 10th district, Foust, was clearly winning the yardsign battle in this area (mostly $800k+ homes). I sure hope that Barbara Comstock wins.
I hear that a true ‘Rat scumbag, Gerry Connolly, may be in trouble in the 11th district. I don’t understand why any thinking, breathing human being could ever vote for him.