If Warner loses, we will be looking at a national wipe-out. The Dems won’t have a single victory, if it’s THAT bad.
The Gillespie campaign has been largely nonexistent, and Warner is very popular, for some dammed reason. He will get reelected as many times as he wants to run, barring a scandal like him getting caught in bed with a boy or something(that COULD bring out more of his base though).
I can’t help but to wonder how many people sill thinks he’s John Warner. LOL
I’m also in Virginia, and your observation is spot-on: Gillespie’s campaign was dormant for much of the year; he didn’t start TV advertising until after Labor Day. Unfortunately, Warner and various Rat PACs were on the air months ahead of him, defining Gillespie as an Enron lobbyist and political insider.
The closest I’ve seen Gillespie in a public poll is seven points, according to the most recent survey by Christopher Newport University (which tends to skew toward the Dims). There is other polling that shows Gillespie within four, and I think that may be a bit more accurate.
For Dims to win statewide in VA, they have to rack up big pluralities in the D.C. suburbs, the Richmond area and Hampton Roads. Barbara Comstock appears headed for victory to replace her old boss, GOP Congressman Frank Wolf, in suburban D.C. Congressional race; that should help Gillespie. In fact, some have said that all of the Dim Congressional campaigns in northern VA have been lackluster and enthusiasm among their voters is low.
If that proves accurate, Gillespie has a shot. Northern VA really is the Democrat firewall, and if its cracking, Ed might be able to eek out a victory.
Not true Gillespie is surging and has run a decent campaign. He easily won the debates, Warner looked bad. His TV ads are pretty good.Plus nova doesnt seem as excited about voting dem this time.