Posted on 10/30/2014 3:18:41 AM PDT by SoFloFreeper
A jump in support from independent likely voters in the Florida governor's race leaves Democrat Charlie Crist with 43 percent, inches ahead of Republican incumbent Gov. Rick Scott with 40 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Libertarian candidate Adrian Wyllie has 8 percent, with 9 percent undecided.
This compares to results of an October 22 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN- uh-pe-ack) University, showing Gov. Scott and Crist tied 42 - 42 percent, with Wyllie at 7 percent.
With Wyllie out of the race, Crist gets 45 percent to Scott's 42 percent.
Men and women remain divided in the three-way matchup. Scott leads Crist among men 47 - 37 percent, with 9 percent for Wyllie, while Crist leads Scott 49 - 35 percent among women, with 6 percent for Wyllie.
Independent voters go to Crist over Scott 47 - 29 percent, with 16 percent for Wyllie. This compares to last week's result, showing Crist taking 41 percent of independent voters, to Scott's 38 percent, with 11 percent for Wyllie.
Republicans back Scott over Crist 81 - 8 percent, with 4 percent for Wyllie. Democrats go to Crist over Scott 83 - 7 percent, with 3 percent for Wyllie.
Among those who already have voted, Crist gets 40 percent to Scott's 39 percent.
"Independent voters are often the difference in swing states like Florida, but the size of former Gov. Charlie Crist's lead among them is truly remarkable," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.
"Crist, who always has sought to portray himself as a pragmatist rather than an ideologue, seems to have sold that message to independents who historically have favored problem-solvers who are less politicaI," Brown added. "It may turn out that Crist's change from Republican to independent to Democrat branded him as the kind of less political politician with the most important voter group. If Crist can win independents by 20 points on Election Day, he will be difficult to beat.
"It would be a reasonable hypothesis that the candidates' debates made a big difference in this race. Scott was ahead going into them and behind after them. It could be a coincidence, but it would be a pretty large coincidence. Crist has long been thought of as an excellent campaigner and he used those skills to his advantage.
"Wyllie is holding on to his 8 percent and if those voters decide to leave him for a major party candidate they could also make a difference."
Just five days before Election Day, 90 percent of voters who name a candidate say their mind is made up, while 10 percent say they might change their mind. Their mind is made up, say 91 percent of Crist voters, 92 percent of Scott supporters and 67 percent of Wyllie backers.
Florida likely voters give Crist a split 45 - 45 percent favorability rating, compared to Scott's negative 41 - 46 percent, while 81 percent of likely voters still do not know enough about Wyllie to form an opinion of him.
From October 22 - 27, Quinnipiac University surveyed 817 likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percentage points.
9% of Republicans? Really?
Florida news.
That won't happen.
If it’s FL, the worst usually prevails.
Libertarians are good for one thing. Electing Democrats.
Florida is purple now, if not blue.
Great...
well, we will know one way or the other by November 5, 2014. I do not trust polls, nor do I trust the voting machines. Personally, I voted for Scott, it remains yet to be seen as to how the voting machines were calibrated. The one thing I do trust is the knowledge that the Democrat Party will do everything in its power to steal the election.
I will vote and like you I expect the worst from the RATS. I vote in Broward county..home of the Tea Party but known mostly for the sleaziest vile, lowlife scum on the face of the earth.
Not really. We have one statewide democrat in office. One. Our legislature has huge republican majorities. Obama did slip by in2012, but only by 10,000 votes.
It’s not worth the paper on which it’s printed, Joe. Amendment 2 is also falling hard.
I would not take that as gospel, Joe. What I would take it as a cover for the Democrats to stuff the ballot box ,a/k/a commit vote fraud. Remember, these voting machines will do as they are programed to do and a Democrat is never honest. One thing for sure, we will know November 5, 2014. In closing, I saw a clip of Bill Clinton lying for Christ. The vernal diseases have done a number on him. Vernal diseases that he has spread far and wide among the, to use the term loosely, women in his circle of travel.
Yep. There are almost no close races in the country that the Libertarian isn’t taking votes from the Republican.
You have heard them say, "I vote for the man, not the Party."
No use telling this sort of boolshiite artist, "Yabut, the Democrat Party Controls That Man."
BTW, the voter rolls in this state are a mess. Isn't it time we dealt with the NJ, NY, MI, MA, double-dipper scumbags registrations? The Trayvon Vote? The Illegally registered illegals? The Voting Dead?
I don’t see that 9% undecided breaking for Charlie Crist
stupid women voters +14% for crist
That’s why when a TX Democrat has only a Libertarian opponent, I skip the race.
Yup, after all, we picked Rubio over Crist.
Maybe we'll get it right this time.
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