Posted on 08/05/2014 5:50:07 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
(VIDEO-AT-LINK)
CNNs Dr. Sanjay Gupta spoke about six patients in New York City that were tested for Ebola and one who had recently traveled to Africa that is undergoing tests for the Ebola virus on Mondays broadcast of Wolf. Gupta said, I would guess by tomorrow sometime we'll have a better idea what malady the individual has.
He also pointed out that even though the patient isnt in isolation, This isn't the kind of thing that they worry about spreading to other patients in the hospital, spreading to people who are walking around the hospital. This is not an airborne virus. This is something that spreads only when somebody is very sick and they start to actually shed the virus in their bodily fluids. So, it's somebody who comes in contact with those bodily fluids who is not protected. While we don't know the particular story with this patient, we don't know if in fact he has the Ebola infection, in terms of concern for the hospital population at large or the population around the hospital, it's still very minimal.(continued)
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
...by none other than everyone's known duplicitous liar....
Zaire ebola virus is not a strain, it is a sub-species (EBOV). The virus manifest during the current outbreak is a strain; moreover we don't have to guess at the case fatality rate for this strain, it is derived easily from the case data and has consistently been around 56%. The Canadian observation was not well controlled and there could be other explanations. BTW, the Reston ebola virus (RESTV) sub-species has similar anectdotal evidence for airborne transmission, but again it was an observation made under poorly controlled conditions that permitted other avenues of infection (cross contamination).
I don't think there are any liars, it is complicated. See [Bausch, et. al., Assessment of the Risk of Ebola Virus Transmission from Bodily Fluids and Fomites, Journal of Infectious Diseases, Volume 196, Issue Supplement 2, Pp. S142-S147] for a detailed discussion.
When a viurs replicates, it eventually leaves the infected cell/tissue; this is called shedding. How concentrated it is in any particular cell/tissue is highly variable, and how this correlates with symptom severity is variable as well. So, you could have in one case someone who is infected by briefly brushing up against someone's exposed skin who beats the odds and gets infected, because the diseased person was shedding at the just the right time, and because the person who brushed against them was susceptible (broken skin).
On the other hand, you could have someone working with infected persons closely, who never gets infected. I've worked with dangerous pathogens, and chemical agents, and it only takes one little mistake to get exposed. I once got several million toxic doses of tetrodotoxin dumped on me (beaker got bumped and spilled in my lap), but no broken skin, so no symptoms. Could just as easily have been dead in seconds. It is the nature of the beast, and it is not a simple black and white always this or always that. Best to err on the side of caution.
1st the CIA developed the AIDs virus to wipe out Africa, it didn’t work, so now they made the Ebola virus. s/ I can see it coming via the Conspiracy nuts.
Bushmeat Sold on Open Market in U.S.
http://abcnews.go.com/Nightline/IntoTheWild/bushmeat-africa-sold-open-market-us/story?id=9312518
Bushmeat in NYC!
http://www.earthtimes.org/health/bushmeat-nyc/1757/
***********Didn’t ebola jump from monkeys and other animals to humans? Confucius say: Man who savor bushmeat play Russian Roulet
Well I feel so much better now about the whole thing.
You state that you worked with dangerous pathogens before.
Could you explain your 56% mortality rate please. Are you using total number of cases reported which includes all those suspected of having contracted Ebola and lab verified cases?
Using only the verifiable lab cases, a smaller number and total deaths one comes up with a number in the mid and high 80 % range, consistent with the upper range for the ZEbola.
I heard that Ebola has a 21 day incubation period. If this is true.......it aint good. Time to go to the cabin till this blows over.
What precautions should I take? Avoid contact with Ebola patients and their bodily fluids, the WHO advises.
Do not touch anything - such as shared towels - which could have become contaminated in a public place.
Washing hands and improving hygiene is one of the best ways to fight the virus
Carers should wear gloves and protective equipment, such as masks, and wash their hands regularly.
The WHO also warns against consuming raw bushmeat and any contact with infected bats or monkeys and apes. Fruit bats in particular are considered a delicacy in the area of Guinea where the outbreak started.
In March, Liberia's health minister advised people to stop having sex, in addition to existing advice not to shake hands or kiss. The WHO says men can still transmit the virus through their semen for up to seven weeks after recovering from Ebola.
A BBC reporter in the Liberian capital Monrovia says that public awareness campaigns around Ebola have been stepped up following the death in July of renowned Liberian doctor Samuel Brisbane.
Liberia has now closed schools, most of its border crossings and communities hit by an Ebola outbreak face quarantine to try to halt the spread of the virus
Ebola is a viral hemorrhagic fever not a respiratory virus. The mortality rate in West Africa for this Ebola outbreak is 55.3% (887 deaths out of 1603 cases.)
Ebola is transmitted through direct contact with bodily fluids. It is important to note, however, that the virus can and does survive on surfaces for a couple of days. So one can contract Ebola from contaminated surfaces.
I’m not doing this professionally, just out of curiousity. Yes, I was using the suspected cases rather than lab confirmed, since earlier in the outbreak it was necessary due to small sample size. Of course there is the error that you are getting some cases of lassa (and others) thrown in the mix, but from what I recall from WHO’s methodology, suspected means Ebola as the primary diagnosis so it seems reasonable. I haven’t run the numbers for confirmed cases, but if it is that much difference then the cause for the disparity would need to be nailed down.
The mortality rate in West Africa as of yesterday is 55.3% of confirmed, probable, and suspect cases. (887 of 1603)
You (incorrectly) assumed that the reported deaths are only those resulting from confirmed cases to get the 80%+ figure; this is NOT the case. You would have to find a data source for deaths only in the confirmed cases, I have not seen this data published by WHO or CDC. I stand by my assertion that the ~56% rate is correct for this outbreak, unless someone can show me a breakdown of the subset of deaths for confirmed cases vs all suspected cases.
Thanks Buckeye, that 55.3% is the same number I came up with.
That’s ok, I’ve done the ‘rithmatic for you.
Using the laboratory confirmed ebola cases and deaths by my calculations the mortality rate is:
Aug 01 887/1009=87.90%
July 30 826/953 = 86.67%
July 27 729/909 = 80.19%
Possible case in Columbus Ohio.
The numerator in your figures is for ALL suspected cases, and hence incorrect. For example, for August 1, there were 887 deaths for all suspected cases of Ebola. You would need to find the number of deaths corresponding to the subset of cases that were laboratory confirmed, which would be much smaller.
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