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SurveyUSA Ohio Poll 47%O 44%R (Internals are devastating for Obama)
SurveyUSA ^ | 10/23/2012 | SurveyUSA

Posted on 10/24/2012 7:10:07 AM PDT by apillar

In an election in Ohio today for President of the United States, Barack Obama remains where he has been for the past 2 SurveyUSA weekly tracking polls -- ever-so-slightly ahead of Mitt Romney in the battle for the Buckeye State's 18 electoral votes, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WCMH-TV in Columbus. 15 days until votes are counted, it's Obama 47%, Romney 44%. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 1 week ago, Obama and Romney are both up 2 points. Obama led by 3 points last week, leads by 3 points today.

(Excerpt) Read more at surveyusa.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Ohio
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012swingstates; polls; surveyusa
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To: edwinland

The 2010 exit polls were:

Senate: 36 Dim, 37 GOP, 28 Independent
Govenor: 36 Dim, 36 GOP, 28 Independent


21 posted on 10/24/2012 7:41:45 AM PDT by JLS
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To: GreenAccord
Just for consideration and discussion, what part does the Black Church membership disgust at Obama’s outward support for gay marriage have?

About the same as Obama's support for abortion, Obama's black unemployment problem and probably many other policies of Obama but when push comes to shove, Obama's still black and 22% of blacks aren't going to vote for the white guy anywhere in the 57 states.

22 posted on 10/24/2012 7:42:56 AM PDT by Holly_P
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To: Holly_P

yes it is believeable unless you think ALL black people are stupid enough to vote for a proven incompetant boob, just because he is black

I know two close black friends who are EMBARRASSED about Obama and who will be voting Romney. I had to tell them that he is NOT a reflection on ‘all blacks’ (unless they all vote for him again)


23 posted on 10/24/2012 7:51:16 AM PDT by Mr. K ("The only thing the World would hate more than the USA in charge is the USA NOT in charge")
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To: Holly_P

I think that this election,you may be incorrect.That is my hope.


24 posted on 10/24/2012 7:51:32 AM PDT by georgia peach (georgia peach)
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To: Holly_P

That’s the only demographic figure I don’t believe.

Mitt Happens will be lucky to get 10% of the black vote - Obama will get 90% - less than his 2008 figure of 95% but still a margin he’ll never get with other segments of the electorate.


25 posted on 10/24/2012 7:53:57 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved FrieGrnd Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: snarkytart
I see the poll is very off when you look at the internals but still, I just wanna see ONE POLL with Romney ahead in OH to feel a little better.

Exactly. The internals don't matter that much. People may prefer Romney when asked specific questions but will vote Obama for nebulous reasons as reflected in this polling. People are not rational actors.

Romney seems to need Ohio, hopefully Ohio can be delivered in spite of its better than average recovery.

26 posted on 10/24/2012 7:54:38 AM PDT by newzjunkey (Osama's dead... and so is our ambassador - Coulter.)
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To: apillar; KC_Conspirator

I don’t trust this poll. Any poll that gives Obama only 70% of the black vote and still ends up with Obama up 3 is somehow broken. I don’t have time to analyze the poll, but that alone is all I need.

Rasmussen and Suffolk Univ. are probably right about Ohio. It’s a tie.


27 posted on 10/24/2012 8:05:44 AM PDT by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! True supporters of our troops pray for their victory!)
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To: Holly_P

I think the gay marriage angle may in fact depress black turnout to some extent. They won’t vote for Romney, but some who voted in 2008 may not show up this time.


28 posted on 10/24/2012 8:05:44 AM PDT by babble-on
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To: apillar

Obama is getting the “anti-cowboy” vote, the anti-reagan vote, the anti-captalism vote, the anti-profit vote, the anti-family vote, the anti-marriage vote, the anti-husband vote, the anti-’get a job’ vote.

IOW obama is the candidate for the “anti-”


29 posted on 10/24/2012 8:07:27 AM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: newzjunkey

The media just simply will not show Romney leading Ohio until the very, very end. They have way too much hope invested into this meme that they can win if they win Ohio. Democrats have become so obsessed with this strategy/story or whatever one wants to call it of Ohio that they can’t let it go.

I have almost humorously wanted if I could figure out how to create a map that the MSM would produce in which the whole country is red except Ohio which would be blue.


30 posted on 10/24/2012 8:07:56 AM PDT by ctpsb (Thanks.)
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To: apillar
I don’t think Ohio will be deciding factor. With Ohio, Romney will get 300+, without 280+.
31 posted on 10/24/2012 8:08:32 AM PDT by tobyhill (Obamacare, the final nail in the US coffin.)
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To: apillar

I guess the public schools have done their job> 47% for Obama????

The hippy/commies in the 70s were right when they said it would take about 50 years to indoctrinate and they did it!

It’s shocking that so many people in this country would vote for that liar! I have some in my own family and it saddens me!


32 posted on 10/24/2012 8:09:16 AM PDT by notaliberal
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To: goldstategop
"I think that an 8 to 10 point national win for Romney is pretty realistic."

That's what it 'feels' like and I was pretty close with my instincts in the last 20 years And I dont think they can 'manufacture' 7% votes to overcome. They have tyo invent votes in city districts- for example in NY state there are 4 main cities that swing the entire state, out of some 18 (i think) major areas. That means they would have to have enough dead people voting in those 4 areas to offset A 7% DEFICIT in other places in the state There are some places where turnout was 100% (or more) in the Al Gore debacle, but that came down to a couple of votes. I dont think anyone will be sitting still and taking it if the turnout is 120% in some of these districts, which is what he will have to do in order to overcome a 7% deficit. Am I making any sense? BOTTOM LINE: There is not enough dead people voting to overcome what seems to be a Romney +7 race.

33 posted on 10/24/2012 8:25:40 AM PDT by Mr. K ("The only thing the World would hate more than the USA in charge is the USA NOT in charge")
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To: ctpsb
Survey USA is not a shill for the media. It is one of the better polling firms out there when it comes to state polls. Not to mention this is not all that far off from every other Ohio poll out there now. Romney just can't break through there. But if he does, it's game over for Obama.

Not to mention, check out the Senate numbers: "An election today for United States Senator from Ohio is too-close-to-call. Democrat Sherrod Brown today is at 43%, Republican Josh Mandel is at 42%. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll 1 week ago, Brown is flat, Mandel is up 4 points. Brown had led by 5, now leads by 1."

34 posted on 10/24/2012 8:33:39 AM PDT by paul544
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To: apillar
I've been on FR for over 12 years (diff. accounts). Every election, the polls are deemed totally off, and every year they are within a few points almost always the margin of error is pro-democrat. Too many here dismiss the polls or assume the margin of error is 10 points. If you give Romney 2 pts it's 45-O, 46-R, so Romney may very well win Ohio.

Personally I want to see a nationwide blowout and bask in the wailing of liberals for a few years. It will likely be a close call with Romney on top and 4 years of leftists blaming voter fraud, tainted voting machines or the Supreme Court (because they will sue anywhere its close).

35 posted on 10/24/2012 8:42:54 AM PDT by douginthearmy
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To: edwinland

                   Party ID in Ohio according to exit polls

2004 Bush    Kerry    GOP     Dem      Indy
     50.8    48.7     40      35       25

2008 McCain  Obama    
     46.9    51.5     31      39       30

Kasich (R) defeated Strickland (D) by 49% - 47% in 2010 in the Tea Party wave election. I could not locate exit poll party ID for that election.
36 posted on 10/24/2012 10:17:32 AM PDT by AFPhys ((Praying for our troops, our citizens, that the Bible and Freedom become basis of the US law again))
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To: kevkrom

Bingo...I think you hit the nail on the head. I’ve been thinking the same.


37 posted on 10/24/2012 11:02:32 AM PDT by mandaladon (Hit the road Obama!)
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To: HamiltonJay

Monday, my husband caught part of a radio news article to the effect that there are active indictments and convictions (?) ongoing in MN in regard to the Franken election. We get MN and IA news here as part of a Tri State area.

Can anyone comment further on that? I would think if it is accurate, it will suppress the MN fraud.


38 posted on 10/24/2012 11:02:54 AM PDT by reformedliberal
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To: Holly_P
“Obama is only getting 70% of the black vote with 22% going for Romney.” This is entirely believable. In May 20% of Blacks in NC said they would vote for Romney as did 20% of Blacks in Georgia. A poll in Michigan in early Sept found 26% of Blacks would vote for Romney. An unreleased Florida NAACP poll (I know the source and it is good) said 26% of Florida Blacks would vote Romney. 70% for Obama from Blacks is very believable.
39 posted on 10/24/2012 2:20:05 PM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberalism is lies.)
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To: Mr. K
yes it is believeable unless you think ALL black people are stupid enough to vote for a proven incompetant boob, just because he is black

I don't think all black people are stupid, those are you words. Only the 90%, bare minimum of them who will vote for Obama.

I know two close black friends who are EMBARRASSED about Obama and who will be voting Romney.

Two? You gotta be joking. Like I said, 90% bare minimum.

40 posted on 10/24/2012 2:28:52 PM PDT by Holly_P
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