Updated polls in 10 key U.S. Senate races [Dems hold 52-48]

Examiner.com ^ | 10/21/2012 | Ryan Witt

[JediJones]

Based on the polls and projections below, as well as polls in other contests not listed here, the Democrats are projected to keep their majority in the Senate by a 52-48 margin.

Massachusetts (D pickup) Real Clear Politics Average: Warran 48.0%, Brown 46.3%

Missouri (D hold) Real Clear Politics Average: McCaskill 45.8%, Akin 43.5%

Connecticut (D hold) Real Clear Politics Average: Murphy 47.0%, McMahon 42.7%

Nevada (R hold) Real Clear Politics Average: Heller 45.8%, Berkley 41.0%

Virginia (D hold) Real Clear Politics Average: Kaine 47.6%, Allen 45.4%

Wisconsin (D hold) Real Clear Politics Average: Baldwin 48.4%, Thompson 46.0%

Indiana (R hold) Most Recent Poll: Mourdock 47%, Donnelly 42% (Rasmussen 10/11)

Montana (R pickup) Real Clear Politics Average: Rehberg 46.3%, Tester 46.0%

Maine (I pickup!) Real Clear Politics Average: King 45.5%, Summers 31%, Dill 13.8%

North Dakota (R pickup) Real Clear Politics Average: Berg 48.5%, Heitkamp 43.5%

[JediJones]

We've been hearing so much about Romney leading, but it looks like the Senate races have been trending to the Democrats lately. Conservative sites like this and Drudge are not spending nearly enough time talking about the state of the Senate races. With 52-48 Dem control in the Senate, they will be able to sabotage Romney's entire agenda and make his first 2 years a failure. I'm also upset the Romney campaign isn't making the case in the debates as to why they need a Republican Senate to accomplish his agenda, 12 million jobs, etc.

We need help in Massachusetts, Missouri, Virginia, Wisconsin, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, etc.

[goldstategop]

If its a close election, the Democrats are safe. These polls are all taken on the basis of the 2008 turnout model. I think they are off and if its a Romney blowout - Democrats are vulnerable in all but Deep Blue States. We could even see a few upsets in this election.

Let the Democrats think they have in the bag.

[dforest]

I agree with the people that think whoever wins the WH will also win the Senate.

[ScaniaBoy]

Despite early foot-in-mouth disease I still think Akin can win in Missouri. What is happening in MA is beyond my comprehension. Montana looks it is going to be real squeeker, but hopefully there and in Virginia Romney will provide some coat-tails. A 50-50 Senate is probably the best one can hope for.

[afraidfortherepublic]

Please, Dear God, let these polls be wrong.

[Gaffer]

Even if Dems hold Senate and Pubs keep House, with a Romney win, all these Executive Orders can be undone and he can do a few Obama-workarounds for a change......

He can also work to have agreeable Dem Senators to not vote for Reid and send that SOB back to Nevada.

[PLD]

Ignorant people that do not vote these criminal democrats out of the Senate we will still have all the old crooks like Reid in Majority and nothing can be done..The rats will vote for what they want not what the people want..We need a change so the Obama Communist won't be able to vote for and harm this country any more..

People do not be ignorant..

[thedrake]

Romney wins OH, and Josh Mandel is an R pickup in the senate.

Not on the list.

[JediJones]

I’m sure the liberal base will be hitting the Senate Dems hard to block absolutely everything Romney wants to do once that is their one outlet to attack Republicans.

The Romney administration will be off to a very bad start if he can’t repeal Obamacare.

[oldbrowser]

I don't really understand how the republican candidate could possibly be behind in Massachusetts, Missouri, Wisconsin with the awful candidates that the democrats are fielding.

In Mass. Warren is a fake indian and real communist.
Miss. has Mccaskill with her corrupt husband selling favors out of the senate cafeteria.
Wisc. has baldwin, a classic liberal with vague ideas of fairness and strong supporter of Obamacare against well known ex governor.

[carlo3b]

I can’t find what all of this pearl clutching is about.. The states that are shone with a Dem lead are clearly within margin of error, or a bit old.. The MO is in our favor, and barring a massive snafu, I’m feeling comfortable..

[KansasGirl]

I think Rs win VA and WI.

[surrey]

Boy, I agree with you on the MA. race. Elizabeth Warren is the phoniest, most unlikeable candidate but she seems to be pulling ahead. They counted Scott out against Coakley but I fear for this seat.

[KansasGirl]

If MA vots for Warren, they are dumber than I thought.

[JediJones]

I think they left Mandel off the list because Ohio is not as close a race as any of these listed here (except Maine). The Dem is winning it by more than 5 points.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/senate/oh/ohio_senate_mandel_vs_brown-2100.html

Ohio (D hold) Real Clear Politics Average: Brown 47.8%, Mandel 42.2%

[nutmeg]

bookmark

[KansasGirl]

Yep, forgot OH. Rs will pick that one up also in addition to WI and VA.

[BuckeyeGOP]

interesting, I don’t see any dem hitting 50

[goldstategop]

Could be split ticket voting. A lot of that going on. Democrats are abandoning Obama and are not being seen within a mile of him.

They can make life difficult for Romney but if they have a near death experience at the polls, it will make them cooperative at least in the short term. Then again, its the House that appropriates and spends money.

[thedrake]

Any incumbent below 50 should be on the list.

Sherrod Brown is an Obama clone.

I think if R/R takes OH, Josh Mandel will win also.