We need help in Massachusetts, Missouri, Virginia, Wisconsin, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, etc.
If its a close election, the Democrats are safe. These polls are all taken on the basis of the 2008 turnout model. I think they are off and if its a Romney blowout - Democrats are vulnerable in all but Deep Blue States. We could even see a few upsets in this election.
Let the Democrats think they have in the bag.
I agree with the people that think whoever wins the WH will also win the Senate.
Despite early foot-in-mouth disease I still think Akin can win in Missouri. What is happening in MA is beyond my comprehension. Montana looks it is going to be real squeeker, but hopefully there and in Virginia Romney will provide some coat-tails. A 50-50 Senate is probably the best one can hope for.
Please, Dear God, let these polls be wrong.
People do not be ignorant..
In Mass. Warren is a fake indian and real communist.
Miss. has Mccaskill with her corrupt husband selling favors out of the senate cafeteria.
Wisc. has baldwin, a classic liberal with vague ideas of fairness and strong supporter of Obamacare against well known ex governor.
I can’t find what all of this pearl clutching is about.. The states that are shone with a Dem lead are clearly within margin of error, or a bit old.. The MO is in our favor, and barring a massive snafu, I’m feeling comfortable..
I think Rs win VA and WI.
bookmark
We need to REMOVE McConnell. AND Boehner from leadership positions in Congress.
Its sort of incongruous for Obama to be behind Romney and theGOP behind in Congress.
Exactly! If we do not win the Senate, OBAMACARE is here to stay.
I'm talking about it, but the mods keep pulling my reports from the sidebar because I'm not a published journalist, as if that somehow gives me less credibility than Candy Crowley.
I have two more weekends of reports to go before the election.
-PJ
Something occurs to me as I read all this polling stuff...
What ever happened to Charlie (I think it was Charlie) Cook of the “Cook Political Report? He used to be a big go- to guy on all this stuff and I haven’t heard a word from him this time around.
Any Cook sightings from anyone?
Hank
-PJ
These polls are off. Real Clear Politics Average has a large amount of Dem shill polls factored in.
Massachusetts (Tossup) Poll within the margin of error, Warren is the worst candidate ever fielded for office anywhere. Liar, fraud, and commie.
Missouri (Leaning Repub) I don’t care what the polls say here, the fact that Akin (after being crucified as Satan by every media outlet) is close, tells me he will win. People in Missouri hate McCatskull.
Connecticut (Leaning Dem) Big caveat, if Romney wins the election, I think McMahon gets carried over the finish line.
Nevada (Dem hold) We’re unlikely to win this one, just like Connie in Florida.
Virginia (Tossup) Within margin of error, and Allen is a better candidate, with more enthusiasm behind him than the democrat.
Wisconsin (Tossup) If Romney wins, even if he doesn’t win Wisconsin, I see this seat going for us.
Indiana (Repub hold) In the bag.
Montana (Repub) No questions asked, this seat belongs to Rehburg. Tester is a POS.
Maine (Indie who will vote Dem) King will probably win, but there’s a chance, if we can peel liberal support away for Dill instead. Split the vote.
North Dakota (Repub) I didn’t think we’d win this one a few months ago, but it’s safe now
Republicans will win back the Senate. Count on at least a 52-48 margin, maybe more. Romney is going to win with MASSIVE coattails. He is going to sweep some who would otherwise lose over the finish line. Most of the polls are over-counting Democrats and under-counting Republicans. TT in Wisc., Mandel in Ohio, Allen in Va, and Smith in Pa will all be elected. If you want to help these predictions become reality, go to senateconservatives.com to donate $10 to the conservative Senate candidate of your choice.
Dems will focus their voter fraud on Senate races to disable Romney if he wins.. Al Franken’s fraudulent victory with car trunks full of ballots is all they needed to tip the balance in the Senate.
It’s a little dated. Rasmussen is out with a poll in Missouri that puts McCaskill up by 8 points with a 5% rolling average.
If this is a very close election, BO could lose, and the Democrats keep the Senate. If Romney wins by a wide margin, there won't be enough ticket splitting to keep Harry Reid the majority leader.
All the more reason to keep working.
Only problem is these have D incumbents polling under 50% holding their seats. That is highly unlikely.