Posted on 10/18/2012 1:10:42 PM PDT by nhwingut
Tear down this blue wall! Susquehanna: Latest PA statewide, conducted October 11-13, shows Romney leading by 4-points in PA, 49%-45%.
(Excerpt) Read more at twitter.com ...
Poll to be released later...
Ping
Holy Moly! (That’s the most sophisticated post I can come up with).
What this means is the great unwashed in Philly and Pitsburgh are staying home. They know its over.
And that very likely means Casey is a goner in the Senate race there.
funny this poll ended 5 days ago..
Large pallet of O2 tanks seen being wheeled into Chicago campaign headquarters.
Margin of error?
Numbers could be reversed. Let’s hold the confetti. There is a lot of premature euphoria out there.
Defeating ANY incumbent president - especially one adored and protected by the MSM - is serious, difficult, and expensive business.
He needs a wider margin than that to overcome the crooked Philly voting.
People have made up their minds.
Its not a close race.
If Zero is in the dumps in the state that hasn’t gone GOP since 1988, you know its over.
If Romney picks up OH, he has a good chance of carrying the Keystone State.
Agreed. He needs to be up +6 just to be safe for the dead and excess Philly vote.
The polling took place 10/11-13. Then they tabulate data, weigh, et. This poll, and most polls, take about 4 days between polling end and release of data. Only Gallup and Rasmussen turn over next day.
Take a look at release of last poll from firm (Oct 8 - but polling took place oct 3-4).
http://www.susquehannapolling.com/Newsflash_100812.pdf
I talked to someone knocking on doors in Pa for Obama.They told me it was close.That was on the 13th.
Their last release was on the 8th, and that poll was done on the 4th to the 6th. Results from that below.
http://www.susquehannapolling.com/Newsflash_100812.pdf
Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney in the Keystone State by 2 points (47%-45%), with 3% voting for Libertarian Candidate Gary Johnson.
If Romney wins PA, all the other “Swing States” will clearly be his.
PA is the Death Knell for the 0bama campaign. If they can’t win there, they can’t win enough anywhere.
Normally, I’d say you’re right - but Democrats aren’t just feeling revved up enough to care.
Then there is human nature - people like to go with the winner.
Their last one conducted on the same weekdays came out on a Monday, this one not until Thursday. So for some reason this one took 3 days longer.
As I recall, AlGore and Kerry both got 115% of registered voters in their elections in some precincts.
If he wins PA, he only needs FL, VA and CO to win. Or any combination of 44 more swing EVs, but those are his 3 easiest pick-ups.
ping
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