Surprise! Oversampling Dems Puts Obama in Lead

Breitbart ^ | Sept 14,2012 | Mike Flynn

[Innovative]

Obama's convention bounce seems to have evaporated. Rasmussen today has Romney up 3 points. Today's Gallup tracking poll had Obama up 5, a loss of 2 points over two days. Gallup uses a 7 day rolling average, so expect this number to continue to come down over the next several days. Undaunted, the media are trumpeting new polls with show Obama with 3 point lead nationally and significant leads in the battleground states of Florida, Ohio and Virginia. As is becoming routine, these new polls again oversample Democrats.

I realize oversampling Democrats is simply part of an effort to create an air of inevitability for Obama's reelection. Its a narrative the media is desperate to foster.

[Innovative]

The author is correct, the media is trying to suppress the anti-Obama vote, by making people feel that there is no point in voting, because Obama will win anyway.

I hope people won't oblige the media and will get out and vote and not give Obama a second term to finish destroying the US.

[reefdiver]

Going to be like 2 years ago

[Hotlanta Mike]

There won’t be any oversampling on November 6th...

Here in the north metro Atlanta area there are no Obama/Biden signs or bumper stickers to be seen anywhere.

[Slyfox]

"Voter suppression is a strategy to influence the outcome of an election by discouraging or preventing people from exercising their right to vote."

They used to do that to blacks in the South. Now the intended target is Republicans.

[Sacajaweau]

Ya think?? Polls are “mind benders” these days....not honest injun stats.

[Traveler59]

... the media is trying to suppress the anti-Obama vote, by making people feel that there is no point in voting, because Obama will win anyway.

Just like the KKK did for the Democrats back in the day, the media is doing it today. Now that would be a fun campaign advertisement; "In 1920 the KKK told the minorities that it was useless to vote Republican because the Democrats (Dixiecrats) were going to win anyways. Today the media is doing the same thing as the KKK." Think this would get the LSM's panties in a wad?

[kempster]

They know that oversampling and skewed poll results have a tendency to encourage one side while deflating the other side and believing they don’t have a chance. Don’t let this happen to any of you.

[Cheerio]

"The Marist poll out of Ohio that showed President Obama with a 7% lead among likely voters over Governor Romney used a sample that had 10% more Democrats than Republicans --a 2% greater advantage than occurred in 2008 at the height of Obamamania! I'll ask the poll's director, Professor Lee Miringoff, for an explanation of the sample on the first segment of today's program and will post the transcript here later today."

Read interview transcript at Marist Institue for Public Polling Director Lee Miringoff

[Mr. K]

If Oversampling democraps was accidental (random) then you would expect they would occasionally have a poll result that oversampled Republicans.

I dare them to present the the results of such a poll broadcast all over as factual.

[WashingtonSource]

Excellent interview with Dr. Mengele, I mean Dr. Miringoff. He refused to acknowledge how patently absurd his poll was on the surface, using a simple common sense rule-of-thumb. Was he being dense? Or dishonest? I think he’s dishonest.

[John in Wisconsin]

Mike....We need to learn from history. The Dem's have a new strategy. In Wisconsin, during the recall election there were very few signs leading up to the Walker recall vote. Suddenly, within the last 5 days massive signage across the state. Their plan all along was to make a sudden massive attack. The goal was twofold; First hope the the GOP would fall asleep and feel no strong need to get out to vote, secondly try to discourage GOP turnout. Many of the top union/DNC strategies were field tested in Wisconsin this past year.

[over3Owithabrain]

He took shots at Rasmussen too in that interview. I wish Hewitt would have pointed out that Ras was the most accurate pollster in 08.

[kenmcg]

The most corrupt poll of the lot has to be the NBC/Wall St. Journal which puts Obama out of reach in Fl. Oh. & Va. Just goes to prove Rupert Murdock’s love is with the RATS. When the WSJ was purchased by Murdock many thought we’d get a conservative voice.....not!

[JLAGRAYFOX]

You are absolutely correct. My, my.....wasn’t the 2010 mid term electoral outcome a stunning surprise to the Obamabot media!!! Same thing here!!! Fear not kindred spirits, the Obamabot media is in panic mode....and, will do anything to lie, cheat and steal to get Obama re-elected.

Just hang in there, vote the Ropmney/Ryan ticket, and then remember the real outcome on election day, Novmember 6, 2012: Romney/Ryan, 57%, Obama/Biden, 40%, Others, 3%!!! Obama will carry between eight and ten states, if he is lucky!!!

[Optimus Prime]

What did the polls at the time say?

[maine-iac7]

michelle’s been a busy little 5-day old NOOB searching out poll threads to bash expectations for Romney...

Call out the Viking kitties!

http://www.freerepublic.com/tag/by:michellewsc2/index?brevity=full;tab=comments

[LoveUSA]

I don't know what the definition of oversampling is.

If the Dems are polling in a city such as Philadelphia, wouldn't they have to have a sampling skewed towards Dems because there ARE more of them in Philly.

I guess my question is: does oversampling mean above an equal average? or does it mean above the known sampling ratios?

[dennisw]

The author is correct, the media is trying to suppress the anti-Obama vote, by making people feel that there is no point in voting, because Obama will win anyway.

I remember the Republican voter suppression scam the media tried to pull election night 2000. Midway through (about 10PM) I and other freepers tumbled to the fact that the media was skewing election coverage and vote tallies in hopes of discouraging George Bush voters. To discourage them from showing up at the polls because it was going to be AlGore's night. Florida was a lot closer than it should have been because the media effers called Florida for AlGore when the Western panhandle (conservative there) had not even finished voting yet due to being in a one hour later time zone than most of Florida

Same thing here in 2012 but done via polls to discourage all us conservatives and Romney supporters etc etc.  So we don't do things to get Romney elected such as put up yard signs, volunteer and speak with neighbors. So they issue messed up polls up until the last one or two before the election. Those are more accurate so the polling company can preserve some shreds of credibly for the next election merry go round so they can get hired.

[reefdiver]

They did not say zer0 and the dopes were going to get their clock cleaned, that I remember for sure.