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Are the 10 Poorest U.S. States Really Republican?
Forbes ^ | 06/09/2012 | Dr. Mark W. Hendrickson, Grove City College

Posted on 06/09/2012 9:58:46 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

“Most of the 10 poorest states are Republican” is a quote of CNN’s Jack Cafferty. It appeared in his “Cafferty File” blog last September 22, and was accompanied by the opinion, this is “something the GOP can’t be too comfortable with.” Indeed, in an election year, you can bet that Democrats will try to make hay with those data.

My previous column made the case that Democratic Party policies have induced the impoverishment of America’s poorest cities. Turnabout is fair play. If Republican policies have led to the economic stagnation of entire states, whereas Democrats are only responsible for ruining cities, then the Dems might have the stronger campaign talking point. Let’s examine the 10 poorest states to see if Republicans are to blame for their relative economic standing.

The poorest states, based on per capita income, are, from first to last: Mississippi, Arkansas, Tennessee, West Virginia, Louisiana, Montana, South Carolina, Kentucky, Alabama, and North Carolina. Of these, exactly half—Arkansas, Kentucky, Montana, North Carolina, and West Virginia—have Democratic governors and three have Democratic majorities in the lower house of their legislature, so these state governments can hardly be classified as completely Republican. On the other hand, only North Carolina voted for Obama in 2008, so in that sense, these states may be leaning Republican.

(Excerpt) Read more at forbes.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: mississippi; poverty; republican; states
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A common analytical error is the “post hoc ergo propter hoc” fallacy—“after this, therefore because of this.” For example, chronic federal deficits became chronic in the 1960s. What changed in America at that time? Alaska and Hawaii were added to the union in 1959 and 1960, respectively; therefore, the erroneous assertion to follow is that we need only expel those two states from the Union to solve our deficit spending problem. Absurd, right? Similarly, we can’t facilely assume that the lower per capita incomes in the 10 poorest states were caused by Republican policies.

Looking at the list of the 10 poorest states, all except Montana are east of the Mississippi River. That means they are older states. Those nine also happen to be concentrated in the South. This is significant: They were all slaveholding states. They focused on producing commodities, whereas the northern states produced more value-added goods, more manufactured goods, more capital-intensive goods.

In short, those nine erstwhile slaveholding states have been lagging behind the northern states economically for two centuries. Just because one generation of leaning Republican has not eliminated a disparity that was entrenched for centuries, it is not an indictment of Republicans.

1 posted on 06/09/2012 9:58:57 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

The more important factor is not the economic ranking of states at a point in time, but the overall trends. An important article by John Merline compared the economic performance of blue states and red states during the presidency of Barack Obama. The trend of economic indicators clearly favors Republican states.

Democratic states have experienced lower growth in both jobs and income in the last few years. Home prices have fallen further in blue states, and their unemployment rates are higher.

In other words, a dynamic economic analysis of the states casts a far more favorable light on Republican states than static analysis. Since real life is dynamic, not static, Republicans can make the stronger case about which party is best suited to lead the way to greater prosperity.


2 posted on 06/09/2012 9:59:47 AM PDT by SeekAndFind (bOTRT)
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To: SeekAndFind

I very much disagree with article, and I will use a real life simple analogy. Who is versus appears poorest among a hardworking frugal indiviudal versus one who runs up a big credit card bill?


3 posted on 06/09/2012 10:03:04 AM PDT by catfish1957 (My dream for hope and change is to see the punk POTUS in prison for treason)
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To: SeekAndFind

This simplistic comparison based on raw income levels is worthless. The question has to consider the cost of living too, among other factors. I moved from Colorado to Alabama and found my standard of living increased dramatically even though my income actually decreased a bit.


4 posted on 06/09/2012 10:05:36 AM PDT by Laserman
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To: SeekAndFind

Let’s face it, if we look at individuals and not States, the more successful people tend to be Republicans while losers tend to be Democrats. There are exceptions, of course. The Democratic leadership is extremely rich, but the Democratic base is full of poor bastards who are played by the elites and are envious of their more successful neighbors.


5 posted on 06/09/2012 10:06:05 AM PDT by sagar
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To: SeekAndFind

In this years Primary Election Mr. Barack Obama (incumbent) beat an unknown by a whopping 53% to 47% in Arkansas. When I say unknown, I mean unknown. Republicans just can’t seem to find good conservative candidates for the state elections that (1)resonate with the people or (2) don’t have a lot of baggage. I think many Arkansans are seeing the light. I look for a strong Romney vote this year.


6 posted on 06/09/2012 10:07:52 AM PDT by BipolarBob
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To: SeekAndFind

Classic Cafferty ... how to lie with “statistics”

Per capita income shouldn’t be the standard, given the wide variations in cost of living. Purchasing power is what money and income is all about.

And furthermore, why not compare by counties, wouldn’t you get a better idea usually a more accurate measurement? Or doesn’t that fit this jackass’ agenda?


7 posted on 06/09/2012 10:08:55 AM PDT by A_Former_Democrat (Fat, drunk and stupid = Dumb, dependent, and Democrat)
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To: SeekAndFind

If that information persuaded even 10 people to change the way they vote - or think - I would be surprised.


8 posted on 06/09/2012 10:09:11 AM PDT by Past Your Eyes (What if there is no tomorrow? There wasn't one today.)
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To: SeekAndFind

When Jack was merely a local New York newscaster, he was bearable. After that, he became unbearable. End of story.

The biggest problem with the media (a problem Jack epitomizes) is a key problem they share with academia - they are so full of themselves.


9 posted on 06/09/2012 10:14:28 AM PDT by Wuli
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To: SeekAndFind

If you are fighting for your survival, you don’t ask your enemy to lead you.


10 posted on 06/09/2012 10:32:21 AM PDT by Kirkwood (It's not a lie. It's a composite.)
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To: duffee; onyx; DrewsMum; Tupelo; mstar; jdirt; Vietnam Vet From New Mexico; wardaddy; KLT; ...

PO STATE PING


11 posted on 06/09/2012 10:34:52 AM PDT by WKB (There are too many coincidences in this world...... for this world to be a coincidence.)
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To: catfish1957

Agree ... Common sense says states shouldn’t be “rich”.... They should be efficent, frugal an competent with a stable emergency fund.

If this presstitute gauges success in such a manner his opinion is moot.


12 posted on 06/09/2012 10:37:22 AM PDT by Squantos (Be polite. Be professional. But have a plan to kill everyone you meet)
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To: SeekAndFind

At this point, given the article was authored almost nine months ago by liberal moron, who gives two craps?!?


13 posted on 06/09/2012 10:45:20 AM PDT by harpu ( "...it's better to be hated for who you are than loved for someone you're not!")
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To: SeekAndFind
If you think about it, what Cafferty is say is that poor people trust the Republican party more than the Democratic party to represent them.
14 posted on 06/09/2012 10:51:53 AM PDT by MCF
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To: SeekAndFind
It's a meaningless statistic.

The median household income for New York City is $50,285.

I'll go out on a limb here -- by virtually every measurable parameter, someone can live a lot better on $50,285 in Mississippi than someone can live on $50,285 in New York City.

I also betcha it costs an employer a lot more to attract an employee in New York City than it does in Mississippi.

15 posted on 06/09/2012 11:03:14 AM PDT by Sooth2222 ("Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of congress. But I repeat myself." M.Twain)
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To: SeekAndFind

of course, if one wants to go down the road “of the ___ poorest ______,” we could proceed to the 10 poorest, 20, 30, 40, even 50 poorest cities and examine their political leanings.


16 posted on 06/09/2012 11:03:58 AM PDT by NonValueAdded (I can see November from Wisconsin)
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To: SeekAndFind

Jack Acidly...


17 posted on 06/09/2012 11:06:46 AM PDT by OrangeHoof (Our economy won't heal until one particular black man is unemployed.)
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To: WKB
Thanks for the ping WKB. I've been over here in poor ol' Southeast Jackson Co., Ms for more than 10 years now. I live a block from the Escatauwpa River and 5 miles from the Gulf of Mexico. Life is tough. We have to deal with all the fish, oysters, crabs, year-round gardens, pecan groves, squirrels, white tails, etc., etc.

Folks around here don't have much money at all but hey, we wouldn't know what to do with it if we did.

-houeto.

18 posted on 06/09/2012 11:07:54 AM PDT by houeto (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: SeekAndFind

I would what this would look like if you defined a “poor” state by state government deficits and debts. I’ll sure you see a big difference as to which party has the “poorer” states.


19 posted on 06/09/2012 11:18:44 AM PDT by kosciusko51 (Enough of "Who is John Galt?" Who is Patrick Henry?)
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To: Laserman

Welcome to America’s best kept secret.


20 posted on 06/09/2012 11:20:36 AM PDT by Himyar
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